Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $107K August 25–31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a8270611e823748b85e556ec9a1407037e010e5c2c4818c53a9e9b415f4c2e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $559,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $492,312
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $559,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb68a…c568backed Yes | 23c | 112,435$25,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,431.06 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 27c | 28,393$7,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,568.66 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 76c | 21,056$15,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,150.87 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 43c | 17,969$7,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,699.01 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf7…da78backed No | 54c | 14,481$7,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,625.9 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…ac12backed Yes | 12c | 12,879$1,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,605.15 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 28c | 11,350$3,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,217.3 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f66…b986backed No | 37c | 8,000$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,040 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed Yes | 39c | 7,712$2,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,979.05 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed No | 72c | 6,780$4,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,892.58 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2adf…d89cbacked No | 77c | 5,753$4,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335.32 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +16.5wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed No | 79c | 5,500$4,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -34%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 19c | 4,600$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.15 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked No | 68c | 3,929$2,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.25 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9b…f652backed No | 38c | 3,144$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,948.95 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…bfc5backed No | 48c | 3,076$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.61 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed No | 66c | 3,029$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed No | 76c | 2,600$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.52 | 138 | 63%87 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…5822backed No | 31c | 2,375$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +136%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 36c | 1,918$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.46 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ac…7935backed Yes | 16c | 1,542$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2154…715cbacked No | 77c | 1,500$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a75dbacked No | 33c | 1,493$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Yes | 6c | 1,327$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.49 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed Yes | 30c | 1,285$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.33 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 34cpaid | -88.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 57c | 1,074$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.38 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97bc…30cdbacked Yes | 7c | 998.57$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…2370backed No | 50c | 916.3$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.15 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4290…e2c0backed Yes | 35c | 893.07$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.35 | 84 | 28.6%24 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08e4…25abbacked Yes | 32c | 805.24$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1462…156ebacked Yes | 32c | 750$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc53c…0eb4backed No | 30c | 705$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.85 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked No | 46c | 700$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2e…517ebacked Yes | 6c | 666.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…d849backed Yes | 27c | 539.43$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.69 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…17e6backed Yes | 29c | 510.83$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…c931backed No | 66c | 469.64$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.33 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…9bb6backed Yes | 29c | 419.05$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.29 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f57…f904backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 4cpaid | +570.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x832a…ca6bbacked No | 30c | 400.44$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebd…4671backed Yes | 23c | 399.6$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.91 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…51d4backed No | 74c | 398.76$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.86 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 23c | 360.69$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.11 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…54efbacked No | 30c | 350$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed No | 78c | 346.36$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.62 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5d…8d58backed No | 59c | 339.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…3f1bbacked No | 69c | 320$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x88f5…828abacked No | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Yes | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…406ebacked Yes | 31c | 293.49$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab9…99d0backed No | 50c | 254.91$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.51 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 29c | 246.32$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.36 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1501…abd5backed Yes | 11c | 236.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…ac85backed Yes | 7c | 222.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76de…caf5backed No | 53c | 220.27$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.01 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03be…f6d9backed Yes | 31c | 217.38$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.39 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf44f…cd17backed No | 69c | 151.83$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c3…eccfbacked Yes | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2880…fa70backed No | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0f84…f1c4backed No | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee0…1c08backed No | 78c | 147.29$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16d1…8810backed No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x059b…343abacked No | 74c | 139.53$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…7d33backed No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b7…c8a8backed No | 67c | 132.56$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb71c…dd68backed No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce2…5f90backed No | 79c | 120$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…de81backed Yes | 21c | 118.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 15c | 112$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25a2…af53backed No | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa663…438dbacked Yes | 35c | 102.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf59f…3be9backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9b…303ebacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9e…dc6abacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…16e6backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 21 | 90.5%19 W · 2 L | +4.4wins | +0.21per pick | 69cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0b98…d5d8backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdab…088abacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d9…eec0backed No | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…fe10backed No | 60c | 94.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.79 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88fe…f516backed No | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc536…ae66backed No | 75c | 69.77$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa44e…4d45backed No | 28c | 67.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +63%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a0…9684backed No | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -7.7wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -35%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…3335backed No | 21c | 60.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.07 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…c59fbacked No | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5d…7af4backed No | 59c | 53.69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36ce…0e38backed No | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47af…799bbacked Yes | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…b17ebacked No | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 68cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4a…b8cfbacked No | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.24per pick | 38cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c0…93e6backed No | 74c | 47.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec9…e7abbacked Yes | 27c | 46.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…0b68backed Yes | 69c | 45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1128…d574backed No | 60c | 42.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0462…da6dbacked No | 62c | 42.12$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9c…07f6backed No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +147.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…1dd5backed No | 72c | 30.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8e…e5b0backed No | 74c | 28.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfcd…5d8ebacked No | 46c | 25.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8a…02efbacked No | 56c | 24.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $107K August 25–31?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100K August 25–31?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $102K August 25–31?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $105K August 25–31?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $106K August 25–31?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $108K August 25–31?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $109K August 25–31?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $110K August 25–31?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $114K August 25–31?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115K August 25–31?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $116K August 25–31?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $117K August 25–31?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120K August 25–31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.