TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x88f5…828a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
98
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Commodities, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 63 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1392.3%12 W · 1 L+4.4wins+0.34per pick59cpaid+61.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
Commodities — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+122%+$61.02
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$119.72
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$141.03
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$32.66
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+55.7%+$111.4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+76.4%+$22.93
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$85.71
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$49.2
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+177.3%+$88.64
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,450 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+85.5%+$128.19
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+150%+$150
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+27.6%+$55.28
All 13 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+45.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Sentient FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+81.4%+$24.41
Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Ranger FDV above $30M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+944.4%+$472.22
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+78.6%+$39.29
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Over 150,000 bidders in the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$26.14
Will Monad perform an airdrop by September 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
All 12 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.99
Will Bitcoin dip to $110,000 October 27-November 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin dip to $106,000 October 13-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$323.27
Will Bitcoin dip to $118,000 October 6-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Bitcoin reach $118,000 September 29-October 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$105
Will Bitcoin reach $116,000 September 22-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$96.66
Will Ethereum dip to $4100 September 8–14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$147
Will Ethereum dip to $4100 September 1–7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$63.16
Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Will Bitcoin dip to $107K August 25–31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$99
Ethereum all time high before October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.25
Will Bitcoin reach $117K in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+25%+$25
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Getafe CF vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.3
Athletic Club vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+69.5%+$20.85
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+31.6%+$31.58
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+47.6%+$47.61
Will Barcelona win on 2025-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.6
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$64.29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$434Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.9%+$129.57
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.24
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$73.88
Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$41.49
Will Trump say "Crimea" or "Donetsk" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$118.18
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-48.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$32.62
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$16.8
Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$373.32
Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+99.4%+$149.11
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+30.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-41.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-39.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+59.2%+$59.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$120
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rare Earths Americas' market cap be between $300M and $400M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$47.82
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.