AI · resolved market
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe750299495394f27e37ef59b9574fb3f69d1ff420b6d59972ff470009ea72745
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $416,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $459,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $416,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 401 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked Yes | 75c | 37,778$28,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,257.46 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…78bdbacked No | 26c | 17,389$4,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,552.15 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -53%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x593e…b5ebbacked No | 36c | 15,646$5,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d1…3c4dbacked Yes | 75c | 11,288$8,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.51 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked No | 1c | 10,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…5458backed No | 48c | 9,285$4,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,433.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +170.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 3c | 8,816$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.55 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e1…b679backed Yes | 80c | 8,247$6,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.39 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb9…3870backed Yes | 76c | 6,500$4,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.87 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…ac60backed No | 48c | 6,002$2,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,864.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 63c | 5,608$3,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102.27 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf258…e4b0backed No | 30c | 5,534$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.09 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a85…08ddbacked No | 1c | 5,356$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5895…7406backed No | 2c | 5,026$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.87 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 7c | 4,670$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.5 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e8…ab20backed No | 34c | 4,474$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.73 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6a…3cbebacked No | 7c | 4,327$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…78a0backed No | 66c | 4,281$2,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,829.92 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…a99bbacked No | 2c | 4,184$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 42c | 4,089$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.95 | 257 | 31.5%81 W · 176 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe005…14fdbacked No | 24c | 3,900$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x749f…9501backed Yes | 46c | 3,793$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058.94 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fb…b8debacked Yes | 77c | 3,788$2,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca52…0cdfbacked Yes | 79c | 3,246$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.42 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed Yes | 48c | 3,128$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.81 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 19c | 3,063$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.95 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87c9…22d8backed No | 17c | 2,873$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.47 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d95…158cbacked No | 29c | 2,583$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…5e8bbacked No | 32c | 2,435$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 24c | 2,434$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.76 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x763d…d0f2backed No | 5c | 2,340$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -73%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4217…8bf7backed No | 1c | 1,979$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 29c | 1,978$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.16 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5170…9158backed Yes | 24c | 1,858$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.74 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d83…0bb9backed No | 46c | 1,733$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.62 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Yes | 67c | 1,679$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.33 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked Yes | 64c | 1,638$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.99 | 275 | 36.4%100 W · 175 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 53c | 1,571$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.71 | 243 | 15.2%37 W · 206 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…99f3backed No | 39c | 1,552$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb79f…d749backed No | 1c | 1,259$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6856…b578backed No | 8c | 1,253$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7749…5c5bbacked No | 10c | 1,139$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e8…5b74backed No | 35c | 1,118$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.25 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -5.3wins | -0.24per pick | 60cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes | 76c | 1,100$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.99 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e9…f75ebacked No | 19c | 1,064$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…bf31backed Yes | 79c | 1,021$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d43…bec0backed Yes | 78c | 1,000$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Yes | 66c | 1,000$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e3…f4a0backed Yes | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 22c | 983.4$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.05 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | +13.1wins | +0.14per pick | 21cpaid | +167%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…559abacked Yes | 71c | 897.12$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb83b…dfbebacked No | 27c | 891.04$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.54 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf626…8a12backed Yes | 72c | 888.89$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.89 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d71…87d5backed Yes | 76c | 847.41$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.18 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…1ed4backed No | 7c | 828.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked No | 31c | 827.86$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.11 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 15cpaid | -88.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…5941backed No | 4c | 823.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 33c | 807.83$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.19 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 23cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8acb…63b2backed No | 9c | 752.7$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.69 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Yes | 73c | 734.9$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9a…7991backed Yes | 71c | 701.85$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.85 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…20c5backed Yes | 68c | 698.26$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.48 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30b2…9e25backed Yes | 62c | 678.66$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.7 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…78d0backed Yes | 76c | 661.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.91 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b4…2a97backed Yes | 66c | 659.99$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.09 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +6.7wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x81be…2d58backed No | 15c | 655.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked No | 26c | 635.99$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.8 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 71c | 602.27$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.3 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…417bbacked Yes | 72c | 600$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 25c | 599$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.75 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes | 76c | 586.43$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.43 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 12c | 577.54$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.54 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…7c64backed No | 36c | 553.05$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4baf…5fdfbacked Yes | 74c | 553$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.78 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked No | 21c | 552.87$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.68 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ace…611dbacked No | 17c | 546.64$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 13c | 524.15$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.33 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…8d1cbacked Yes | 77c | 522.34$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf85c…3f74backed Yes | 73c | 514.17$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ca…3b87backed Yes | 75c | 505.86$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.47 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b54…bac5backed Yes | 69c | 500$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…58f5backed Yes | 75c | 500$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.33 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…c4e4backed No | 31c | 500$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fa…23a9backed Yes | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88cb…e808backed No | 3c | 499.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked No | 8c | 482.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7717…fa4dbacked No | 28c | 467.98$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.24 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3b…6ba5backed Yes | 72c | 462.21$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 68c | 455.06$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.71 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x173a…eb85backed No | 13c | 445.63$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a69…30bfbacked Yes | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1210…cf24backed No | 41c | 415.42$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.13 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb949…d8e0backed No | 27c | 407.25$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5518…46c8backed No | 29c | 405$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.1 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 17c | 401$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.3 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2c…32a2backed No | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0060…4cc4backed Yes | 70c | 383.86$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f9…f017backed No | 4c | 373.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…d95cbacked No | 41c | 373.19$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.84 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a17…4664backed Yes | 80c | 345.59$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?this page
- Will Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?No won
- Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?No won
- Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?No won
- Will Mistral have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?No won
- Will Moonshot have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?No won
- Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?No won
- Will Z.ai have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?No won
- Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.