Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Ethereum all time high before October?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02007d909546b9bc291b9b26fb1145a27158bb2be7d75db6d53638de3d7ef03b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $228,508
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $258,019
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $228,508 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb68a…c568backed No | 40c | 20,314$8,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,196.62 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed No | 49c | 16,747$8,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,270.92 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d54…65d8backed Yes | 36c | 11,726$4,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,502.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa601…d54ebacked Yes | 57c | 8,365$4,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,585.34 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a38…bfe8backed Yes | 80c | 7,495$5,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.03 | 124 | 31.5%39 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0408…3166backed Yes | 52c | 7,198$3,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,437.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97fa…f9b0backed No | 58c | 5,906$3,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,406.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed Yes | 75c | 5,800$4,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.31 | 138 | 63%87 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aee…83debacked Yes | 63c | 5,423$3,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,986.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04fc…b9b1backed No | 70c | 5,253$3,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,677.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0dc…84e0backed No | 69c | 4,266$2,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,955.15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…1e77backed Yes | 71c | 4,216$3,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.38 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed No | 60c | 4,110$2,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,463.38 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f29…9d73backed Yes | 66c | 4,000$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe2…87c5backed No | 59c | 3,852$2,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,283.83 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed No | 37c | 3,629$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.14 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeec0…5b9cbacked No | 65c | 3,381$2,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,183.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ca…a694backed No | 41c | 3,368$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.58 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x249b…5df1backed Yes | 46c | 3,188$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,727.3 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0750…86dcbacked No | 51c | 3,139$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…6a7cbacked Yes | 37c | 3,034$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,915.74 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01f4…d22dbacked Yes | 29c | 2,774$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,970.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…3232backed No | 73c | 2,484$1,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa53d…b9edbacked Yes | 61c | 2,476$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8354…739dbacked Yes | 61c | 2,444$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2751…1678backed Yes | 39c | 2,106$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.66 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…ea4ebacked No | 45c | 2,084$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.15 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 5c | 2,000$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.67 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…a698backed No | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.94 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd2…d91ebacked Yes | 43c | 1,988$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.9 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d8…ab12backed No | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 74c | 1,612$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.31 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa853…da85backed No | 71c | 1,433$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.41 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 40c | 1,423$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.67 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4490…9bfdbacked Yes | 40c | 1,328$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a0…186fbacked Yes | 30c | 1,317$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +232.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 28c | 1,100$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.38 | 81 | 16%13 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63aa…a9ccbacked No | 65c | 1,047$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.63 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacb3…feefbacked No | 32c | 1,042$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.13 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa8…5d61backed Yes | 39c | 1,031$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84e8…d6c3backed Yes | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e97…b339backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x247e…128fbacked No | 75c | 999.96$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.97 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb07f…8fd3backed Yes | 34c | 960.49$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.38 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x432d…bda6backed Yes | 35c | 913.34$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.89 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ead…ba24backed No | 12c | 900$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35b6…39bebacked No | 60c | 832.52$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…e808backed No | 20c | 830.66$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9c…3421backed No | 40c | 743.9$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -71%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5c…7d29backed Yes | 30c | 743$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.1 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe5…0309backed No | 27c | 733.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…0b68backed Yes | 69c | 700$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3904…0cafbacked Yes | 45c | 668.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b5…d117backed Yes | 39c | 590$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcd…1943backed No | 58c | 549.03$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcb…324dbacked No | 69c | 534.64$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.02 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed No | 46c | 500.63$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.54 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…3bd0backed Yes | 63c | 489.08$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.96 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc20e…0a5ebacked Yes | 30c | 488.97$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.68 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed No | 66c | 479.99$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.29 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8824…30babacked Yes | 32c | 475$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.05 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e2…d8f6backed Yes | 26c | 465.7$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +94%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…8d81backed Yes | 80c | 463.75$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…d308backed Yes | 80c | 452.6$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.73 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked Yes | 60c | 450$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ac…6f52backed No | 66c | 439.39$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked No | 73c | 400.32$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.16 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…9c77backed Yes | 26c | 388.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ac…a767backed Yes | 26c | 383.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e8…21b7backed No | 75c | 372$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b26…9bc4backed Yes | 29c | 359.75$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.42 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…9074backed Yes | 28c | 350.78$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.56 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ea…60c2backed No | 38c | 350$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d78…ffa6backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 33cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…8070backed No | 62c | 340$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.8 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe13…7163backed Yes | 43c | 329.94$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…96a7backed Yes | 23c | 300$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13cb…a48abacked Yes | 40c | 296.57$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.94 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked No | 49c | 295.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.05 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc8…68a4backed No | 63c | 294.13$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453c…37e4backed Yes | 29c | 274$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…d849backed Yes | 75c | 266.84$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.84 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f27…1219backed Yes | 25c | 256.22$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.35 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…c557backed No | 79c | 253.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80dc…7cf8backed Yes | 64c | 240$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…f5eabacked No | 73c | 239.97$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f9…ed67backed Yes | 42c | 235.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3338…8181backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a26…8acbbacked Yes | 39c | 196.58$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.88 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13cd…245dbacked Yes | 35c | 194.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.54 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c31…6d35backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7976…d6b2backed Yes | 51c | 176.69$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.69 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8864…2c6abacked Yes | 75c | 166.94$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1809…4eb7backed No | 66c | 166.48$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.63 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f1…f229backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…9592backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfc…e607backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…8c9dbacked No | 51c | 144.91$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187f…69a8backed Yes | 57c | 140.05$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac99…1380backed No | 60c | 139.98$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.59 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.