World Politics · resolved market
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf8d3c113339a9212ca0f263aede776db4a34762aedc006f70a8703215954863
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,185,435
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,627,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,185,435 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,795 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1295…5cfdbacked Yes | 42c | 424,201$177,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177,109.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4f…6678backed Yes | 6c | 198,233$11,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,920.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ab…383dbacked Yes | 29c | 159,188$46,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,999.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +235.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Yes | 25c | 115,840$28,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,674.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 13c | 93,167$11,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,995.9 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a65…25adbacked Yes | 39c | 88,553$34,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,139.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205e…1925backed Yes | 34c | 77,192$26,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,027.72 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 8c | 76,150$6,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,093.59 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed Yes | 12c | 75,535$9,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,420.75 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…6896backed No | 58c | 74,970$43,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,487.55 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…4d73backed Yes | 13c | 70,809$9,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,415.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c19…0e31backed Yes | 67c | 60,136$39,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,996.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…aec1backed Yes | 49c | 49,485$24,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,002.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 68c | 43,936$29,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,230.11 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f52…8cbbbacked Yes | 8c | 41,787$3,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,548 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 4c | 41,454$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,568.29 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4e…411abacked Yes | 30c | 40,432$12,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,331.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…f412backed Yes | 35c | 40,065$14,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,055.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad67…8cd3backed Yes | 12c | 39,752$4,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…a1b0backed Yes | 33c | 37,225$12,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,131.56 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…aecebacked Yes | 32c | 36,592$11,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,747.04 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 14c | 35,879$5,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,148.7 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781f…c9febacked Yes | 13c | 35,412$4,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,682.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 19c | 35,206$6,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,712.51 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f62…e744backed Yes | 44c | 33,933$14,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,794.23 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…5b0fbacked Yes | 6c | 33,038$1,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,886.16 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 7c | 32,874$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.63 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6989…b412backed Yes | 54c | 31,997$17,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,244.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e12…1c24backed Yes | 51c | 31,786$16,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,119.07 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa51c…db68backed Yes | 3c | 30,000$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0173…c32fbacked Yes | 14c | 26,590$3,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,665.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 50c | 26,529$13,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,296.7 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 21c | 26,315$5,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,642.57 | 166 | 12.7%21 W · 145 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc781…59d7backed Yes | 11c | 25,591$2,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,858.77 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -7.2wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked Yes | 41c | 25,549$10,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,509.52 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x101e…eaf4backed Yes | 19c | 25,088$4,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,769.43 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7177…ddefbacked No | 54c | 24,829$13,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,318.55 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…22a9backed Yes | 61c | 24,227$14,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,820.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 34c | 24,221$8,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,120.28 | 88 | 21.6%19 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked Yes | 2c | 24,205$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.91 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec8…5709backed Yes | 66c | 24,060$15,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,946.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f62…d3a9backed Yes | 75c | 24,006$17,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,979.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 18c | 22,837$4,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,098.81 | 150 | 26%39 W · 111 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…2125backed Yes | 8c | 22,119$1,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,844.25 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb659…c375backed Yes | 42c | 22,072$9,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,248.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…053fbacked Yes | 54c | 22,033$11,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,875.19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba5…f684backed No | 65c | 21,391$13,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,586.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e6…2f0fbacked Yes | 46c | 21,168$9,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,835.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x442a…7c94backed Yes | 24c | 20,008$4,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,809.16 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9b…36a5backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 50c | 19,916$9,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,905.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab5…1d6ebacked Yes | 5c | 19,764$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.59 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Yes | 38c | 19,615$7,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,516.79 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed Yes | 25c | 19,331$4,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,827.12 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8db0…3b50backed Yes | 16c | 19,311$3,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,138.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…4b9fbacked No | 68c | 18,777$12,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,007.98 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc060…8956backed Yes | 30c | 18,260$5,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,405.4 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…69babacked Yes | 6c | 17,768$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…cb10backed Yes | 35c | 16,944$5,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,972.17 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed No | 68c | 16,924$11,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,481.31 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 37c | 16,769$6,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,150.73 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Yes | 43c | 16,663$7,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,091.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0c…6b3cbacked Yes | 23c | 16,451$3,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,710.51 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…47f3backed Yes | 37c | 16,263$6,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,042.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 27c | 15,947$4,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,289.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +135.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…14a1backed Yes | 54c | 15,117$8,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,208.03 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked No | 32c | 15,066$4,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,196.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x607b…2592backed Yes | 40c | 15,000$5,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,991.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd5…8971backed Yes | 45c | 14,325$6,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,402.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5718…db20backed No | 59c | 13,806$8,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,629.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab66…ed33backed Yes | 27c | 13,740$3,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,642.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1711…d1acbacked No | 42c | 13,538$5,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,912.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfe…2530backed No | 43c | 13,333$5,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,599.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ad…12d4backed Yes | 57c | 13,333$7,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,599.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9187…4309backed Yes | 34c | 13,135$4,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,505.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1728…c190backed Yes | 9c | 13,083$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…e36dbacked Yes | 44c | 13,067$5,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,701.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Yes | 51c | 13,000$6,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,580 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4e…65ddbacked Yes | 30c | 12,830$3,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,911.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Yes | 35c | 12,776$4,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,489.85 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 9c | 12,561$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.34 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x049e…dddebacked Yes | 7c | 12,560$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Yes | 47c | 12,147$5,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,721.71 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fc…85a7backed Yes | 39c | 11,911$4,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,654.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…f7a8backed Yes | 19c | 11,842$2,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,297.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 66c | 11,195$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,794.63 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…c855backed Yes | 33c | 11,158$3,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,674.19 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead7…c6e0backed Yes | 3c | 11,063$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 15c | 10,934$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.89 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe96…65acbacked No | 77c | 10,812$8,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,492.72 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb974…f09bbacked Yes | 45c | 10,324$4,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,668.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda1e…f3cdbacked Yes | 73c | 10,121$7,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,365.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 45c | 10,000$4,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,450.86 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…245ebacked Yes | 8c | 9,985$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.45 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…3da2backed Yes | 32c | 9,969$3,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,198.68 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x448b…181abacked Yes | 8c | 9,800$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 23cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb74e…e0a6backed Yes | 8c | 9,730$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2278…3188backed Yes | 11c | 9,709$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3749…7ad0backed No | 75c | 9,578$7,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,356.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe232…042dbacked Yes | 26c | 9,544$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?this page
- Will Jorge Nelson Ávila Gutiérrez win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?No won
- Will Mario Rivera Callejas win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?No won
- Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes won
- Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.