World Politics · resolved market
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf831ea34f7a6cd4bc96cb43dc53f087b15c25f515d00c9251f9c546eaba4840b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,398,248
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,527,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,398,248 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 435 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90b6…a1b0backed Yes | 2c | 259,722$6,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,442.64 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ce…beecbacked Yes | 0c | 158,735$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.02 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9117…f87cbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cba…b43fbacked Yes | 1c | 71,990$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed Yes | 0c | 65,000$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.56 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f23fbacked Yes | 0c | 60,249$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.5 | 182 | 14.8%27 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +218.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa03f…a7dabacked Yes | 0c | 57,723$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 0c | 52,998$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 52,000$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bf…7042backed Yes | 0c | 51,853$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9379…2e25backed Yes | 0c | 50,345$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 5c | 41,255$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200.38 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…22a9backed Yes | 17c | 39,862$6,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,649.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…7ec4backed Yes | 0c | 37,595$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6507…b64abacked Yes | 0c | 36,507$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Yes | 0c | 35,174$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.17 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8e…f36dbacked Yes | 0c | 28,440$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee71…7111backed Yes | 0c | 25,761$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7dd…dbbdbacked Yes | 0c | 25,259$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781f…c9febacked Yes | 6c | 24,863$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Yes | 6c | 24,056$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ce…f5aabacked Yes | 0c | 23,425$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed36…b80dbacked Yes | 0c | 23,425$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde46…a454backed Yes | 0c | 23,425$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x373f…fe44backed Yes | 0c | 23,425$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06c5…ace7backed Yes | 0c | 23,425$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x468a…f943backed Yes | 0c | 23,425$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1625…820abacked Yes | 0c | 23,425$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf933…4663backed Yes | 0c | 23,425$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x563a…be53backed Yes | 0c | 23,425$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe725…1c84backed Yes | 0c | 23,425$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x784d…cfe6backed Yes | 0c | 23,425$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…f555backed Yes | 0c | 23,425$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd70c…d9e2backed Yes | 0c | 23,425$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf3…3019backed Yes | 0c | 23,425$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…9c5abacked Yes | 0c | 23,425$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8251…7508backed Yes | 0c | 23,425$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f6…0a9fbacked Yes | 0c | 23,425$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1026…1e3fbacked Yes | 0c | 23,425$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked Yes | 3c | 21,953$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.36 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 13c | 20,149$2,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,680.07 | 88 | 21.6%19 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd24…4dacbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d01…6489backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd83…c24fbacked Yes | 0c | 19,998$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x662b…eb47backed Yes | 0c | 17,126$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57bc…c211backed Yes | 0c | 16,394$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaddd…9407backed No | 72c | 15,349$11,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,247.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda4…13b1backed Yes | 12c | 14,222$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeed4…c1c2backed Yes | 1c | 12,500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x205e…1925backed Yes | 40c | 12,332$4,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,898.03 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 28c | 11,310$3,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,156.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 3c | 11,236$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.57 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aaa…b0a1backed Yes | 1c | 10,467$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cef…0709backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…8e8abacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead7…c6e0backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe16b…3383backed Yes | 0c | 9,918$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +263%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9041…187dbacked Yes | 0c | 9,515$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…4710backed No | 77c | 9,481$7,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,184.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…245ebacked Yes | 0c | 8,800$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5792…7731backed Yes | 0c | 8,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c69…9e30backed Yes | 39c | 7,635$2,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,990.69 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed Yes | 1c | 7,434$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.65 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…afc4backed Yes | 26c | 7,308$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,905.25 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…20ccbacked Yes | 0c | 7,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 113 | 31%35 W · 78 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x037b…47f4backed Yes | 0c | 6,667$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51de…c5e9backed Yes | 0c | 6,667$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3b…6ba5backed Yes | 2c | 6,600$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed Yes | 46c | 6,557$3,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,041.7 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…93f4backed Yes | 2c | 6,524$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.68 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8376…feb4backed Yes | 0c | 6,111$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17a5…e00abacked Yes | 0c | 6,056$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…b038backed Yes | 11c | 5,718$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3106…d672backed Yes | 6c | 5,713$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.48 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…2423backed Yes | 4c | 5,590$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.09 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b91…ae77backed Yes | 1c | 5,538$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a65…25adbacked No | 72c | 5,500$3,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6989…b412backed No | 74c | 5,467$4,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb969…089ebacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0308…c839backed Yes | 41c | 4,857$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…943abacked Yes | 4c | 4,786$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed No | 68c | 4,750$3,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.17 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…6c5dbacked Yes | 13c | 4,723$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.27 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…aecebacked No | 72c | 4,517$3,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.16 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f20…ace1backed Yes | 25c | 4,478$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.01 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.29per pick | 42cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Yes | 25c | 4,136$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed Yes | 0c | 4,124$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed Yes | 6c | 4,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.4 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8af…2a91backed Yes | 0c | 3,758$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0c…6b3cbacked Yes | 7c | 3,680$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.03 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d01…1645backed Yes | 28c | 3,626$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.19 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5117…49b3backed Yes | 1c | 3,580$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.18 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 2c | 2,778$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a13…4593backed Yes | 25c | 2,701$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.26 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…ee81backed Yes | 23c | 2,675$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0522backed No | 73c | 2,531$1,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked Yes | 29c | 2,519$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.06 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac8b…1cd7backed Yes | 4c | 2,504$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,500$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e12…1c24backed Yes | 30c | 2,481$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.29 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?this page
- Will Jorge Nelson Ávila Gutiérrez win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?No won
- Will Mario Rivera Callejas win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?No won
- Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes won
- Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.