World Politics · resolved market
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaeb190c9a31c5e7f8ac193393ab05e55a9de86f0a945aac59feac0576aa86fc8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,902,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,145,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,902,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,274 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x758b…4bfbbacked Yes | 70c | 368,146$257,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110,383.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed Yes | 56c | 291,188$162,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128,968.07 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 48c | 111,529$53,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,585.35 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7177…ddefbacked Yes | 62c | 55,501$34,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,903.38 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 51c | 47,778$24,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,603.41 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 59c | 46,545$27,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,972.72 | 180 | 36.7%66 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4e…411abacked No | 42c | 45,096$19,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,121.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 4c | 43,401$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.57 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1588…66e4backed Yes | 17c | 41,085$6,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,261.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +502.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e1…ec41backed Yes | 16c | 39,939$6,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,676.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +537.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781f…c9febacked Yes | 42c | 34,007$14,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,823.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eda…75ddbacked Yes | 80c | 32,570$25,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,613.34 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +76%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ab…383dbacked Yes | 15c | 31,796$4,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,062.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +235.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed Yes | 76c | 30,755$23,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,247.74 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 40c | 29,575$11,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,737.63 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…053fbacked Yes | 61c | 28,626$17,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,093.27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked No | 8c | 27,181$2,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,173.51 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a65…25adbacked Yes | 76c | 26,393$20,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,285.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed No | 51c | 25,000$12,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,650 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x607b…2592backed Yes | 77c | 23,512$18,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,409.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes | 69c | 23,032$15,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,109.63 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +131.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed No | 40c | 22,694$9,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,038.27 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb659…c375backed Yes | 62c | 22,214$13,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,361 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 6c | 22,046$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.19 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe96…65acbacked No | 21c | 20,107$4,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,171.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf67f…31cfbacked No | 36c | 20,044$7,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,215.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…a1b0backed Yes | 44c | 18,985$8,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,548.84 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb7…3297backed No | 12c | 18,761$2,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,183.88 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ef…563bbacked Yes | 53c | 18,752$9,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,803.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…a8efbacked Yes | 17c | 17,683$3,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,636.31 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1295…5cfdbacked Yes | 53c | 17,550$9,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,248.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0c…6b3cbacked Yes | 72c | 17,411$12,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,822.85 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x712b…37aebacked Yes | 52c | 16,980$8,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,101.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 77c | 15,191$11,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,547.77 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed No | 44c | 14,678$6,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,431.9 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 30c | 14,542$4,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,325.82 | 88 | 21.6%19 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…ee81backed Yes | 30c | 14,203$4,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,892.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb3…2868backed Yes | 55c | 13,685$7,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,127.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33e0…7d46backed Yes | 44c | 13,315$5,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,429.14 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd5…8971backed Yes | 33c | 12,504$4,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,366.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca47…3ef4backed No | 38c | 12,439$4,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,770.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x604a…da1abacked Yes | 76c | 12,316$9,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,946.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 62c | 12,200$7,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,592.55 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b9…ad8fbacked No | 60c | 12,127$7,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,219.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…cb10backed No | 56c | 11,838$6,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,659.83 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed No | 46c | 10,803$4,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,998.02 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66f1…2dd9backed No | 12c | 10,789$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -47%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 67c | 10,777$7,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,596.62 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa225…b903backed Yes | 51c | 10,694$5,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,233.36 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -72%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5718…db20backed Yes | 55c | 10,673$5,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 18c | 10,553$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.53 | 121 | 33.1%40 W · 81 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 38c | 10,547$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,049.9 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed No | 19c | 10,526$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015.33 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a6…8117backed Yes | 14c | 10,445$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,954.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +600.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa112…d215backed No | 67c | 10,409$6,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,962.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 74cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…4b9fbacked Yes | 64c | 10,263$6,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,703.35 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3749…7ad0backed Yes | 65c | 10,121$6,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,507.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb609…11e5backed Yes | 15c | 10,095$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,552.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 12c | 10,000$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,805.55 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 21c | 10,000$2,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,060.6 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x897d…90c9backed Yes | 62c | 9,947$6,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,745.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fd…3228backed Yes | 67c | 9,700$6,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,164 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed No | 43c | 9,689$4,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,166.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…c855backed Yes | 64c | 9,393$6,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,383.68 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…18a5backed No | 9c | 9,307$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cf…fa69backed Yes | 72c | 8,951$6,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,489.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205e…1925backed Yes | 45c | 8,873$3,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,909 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…8f03backed Yes | 63c | 8,809$5,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,269.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Yes | 11c | 8,777$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,776.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +195.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…e9adbacked Yes | 32c | 8,516$2,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,761.64 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed No | 7c | 8,327$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.06 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6989…b412backed Yes | 64c | 8,324$5,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,992.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 69c | 8,160$5,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +135.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e39…07ddbacked Yes | 61c | 8,143$4,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,163.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 72c | 8,125$5,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,273.44 | 284 | 34.2%97 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…3da2backed Yes | 63c | 8,034$5,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,972.83 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…f7a8backed Yes | 63c | 7,817$4,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,883.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x101e…eaf4backed No | 9c | 7,570$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.98 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…6c63backed No | 79c | 7,184$5,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,655.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb74e…e0a6backed No | 7c | 7,027$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 60c | 6,900$4,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,787.9 | 247 | 36.8%91 W · 156 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x037b…47f4backed Yes | 17c | 6,809$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,682.51 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…129ebacked Yes | 63c | 6,708$4,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,489.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed Yes | 56c | 6,567$3,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,857.94 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked Yes | 44c | 6,429$2,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,574.14 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…86a9backed Yes | 56c | 6,114$3,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,706.5 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17a5…e00abacked No | 10c | 6,105$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.08 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…c092backed No | 66c | 6,000$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,960 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…cc64backed Yes | 24c | 6,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,580 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Yes | 54c | 5,932$3,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,748.21 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -52%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed Yes | 60c | 5,693$3,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,261.83 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed Yes | 65c | 5,623$3,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,963.52 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0deb…9b0fbacked Yes | 64c | 5,600$3,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,002 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb242…31a0backed No | 6c | 5,503$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ce…beecbacked No | 14c | 5,458$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.93 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked No | 35c | 5,453$1,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.71 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked No | 16c | 5,449$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.52 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2510…471abacked Yes | 61c | 5,410$3,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,135.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad67…8cd3backed No | 6c | 5,380$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.75 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe26c…c705backed No | 10c | 5,332$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?this page
- Will Jorge Nelson Ávila Gutiérrez win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?No won
- Will Mario Rivera Callejas win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?No won
- Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?No won
- Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.