Middle East · resolved market
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24026080b17f4e88729eab0ac2929ee37c13bfbb4a159179ec63deb4a242d9c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,954,917
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,220,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,954,917 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,888 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fba…433abacked Yes | 26c | 772,668$204,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204,425.46 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x593d…7d5dbacked Yes | 29c | 367,409$108,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108,128.73 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 67c | 155,790$104,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,375.83 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 72c | 115,813$83,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,074.08 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0f…9556backed Yes | 15c | 98,567$15,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,100.34 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 3c | 67,628$2,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,213.72 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 77c | 52,411$40,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,891.23 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6286…f59cbacked Yes | 20c | 52,266$10,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,518.66 | 255 | 18%46 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 21c | 52,062$11,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,186.96 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…4597backed No | 65c | 45,483$29,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,960.99 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +18.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 25c | 45,129$11,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,098.9 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…cde1backed No | 65c | 43,169$28,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,149.44 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac3e…3b0fbacked Yes | 3c | 39,055$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.61 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 77c | 35,870$27,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,367.18 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb84…4fbcbacked No | 77c | 31,870$24,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,205.88 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…5826backed No | 68c | 31,469$21,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,222.49 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…e3e2backed No | 78c | 29,935$23,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,546 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +9.1wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +138.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…2202backed No | 78c | 29,914$23,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,488.59 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 71c | 29,029$20,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,458.61 | 312 | 41.7%130 W · 182 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe4…ee11backed Yes | 5c | 27,924$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 17c | 25,186$4,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,245.16 | 68 | 25%17 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked No | 65c | 25,056$16,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,782.68 | 215 | 31.2%67 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…220ebacked No | 76c | 24,626$18,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,898.76 | 109 | 28.4%31 W · 78 L | -15.2wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb8…e48fbacked Yes | 33c | 24,421$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Yes | 24c | 22,152$5,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,272.68 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 70c | 21,963$15,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,493.9 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e89…5593backed No | 73c | 21,825$15,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,834.69 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 28c | 21,753$6,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,086.59 | 126 | 34.9%44 W · 82 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…276cbacked No | 75c | 19,778$14,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,857.91 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed No | 77c | 18,653$14,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,311.6 | 241 | 49.4%119 W · 122 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc360…dbb2backed No | 76c | 17,629$13,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,274.69 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff91…ab3abacked No | 77c | 17,560$13,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,966.67 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d2…68cabacked Yes | 29c | 17,419$4,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,967.48 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe4…13eebacked Yes | 16c | 17,104$2,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,660.76 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed No | 73c | 16,914$12,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,524.75 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed No | 73c | 16,800$12,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,558.44 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +12.7wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed No | 70c | 15,221$10,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.61 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b7…1622backed Yes | 29c | 14,658$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,320.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4e…edb0backed Yes | 11c | 14,536$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.83 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 25c | 14,292$3,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,555.01 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20fe…f411backed No | 73c | 14,210$10,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,904.86 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.27per pick | 64cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8129…5f30backed Yes | 4c | 14,193$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.25 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed No | 70c | 14,014$9,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,148.39 | 199 | 30.7%61 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed No | 70c | 13,675$9,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,130.35 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 67c | 13,561$9,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,521.7 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe24…cc8bbacked Yes | 33c | 13,554$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a7…02fabacked Yes | 29c | 12,603$3,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,675.62 | 85 | 15.3%13 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a01…7c0abacked No | 78c | 12,500$9,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,720 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 12,023$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.24 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed No | 79c | 11,938$9,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,566.34 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 15c | 11,571$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.68 | 442 | 24.4%108 W · 334 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371c…c236backed Yes | 16c | 11,161$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.34 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…6415backed No | 80c | 11,039$8,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,247.76 | 258 | 43.4%112 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…be78backed No | 70c | 11,000$7,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,349.1 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked No | 71c | 10,880$7,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,108.49 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda45…5fa4backed Yes | 17c | 10,662$1,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,796.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 78c | 10,609$8,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,385.56 | 261 | 38.7%101 W · 160 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 17c | 10,410$1,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.16 | 366 | 26.8%98 W · 268 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f7…2501backed No | 73c | 10,144$7,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,729.17 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4b…541bbacked No | 73c | 10,000$7,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,735 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.2wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…355ebacked No | 69c | 10,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…bb68backed Yes | 35c | 10,000$3,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,518.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf19…6402backed Yes | 24c | 9,964$2,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,428.47 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Yes | 28c | 9,822$2,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,780.29 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbf…dac3backed Yes | 4c | 9,812$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 11cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed No | 73c | 9,732$7,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,668.27 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3e…65e4backed Yes | 33c | 9,635$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd95…e333backed No | 80c | 9,634$7,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bf…f74bbacked Yes | 21c | 9,500$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,993.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…fbeabacked No | 77c | 9,430$7,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.12 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde8f…8fd8backed No | 77c | 8,887$6,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,001.83 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 31c | 8,830$2,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,733.31 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x86d6…8a05backed Yes | 34c | 8,615$2,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,896.53 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +143.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 72c | 8,600$6,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,424.19 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbc…8323backed Yes | 31c | 8,571$2,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,645.85 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed No | 69c | 8,500$5,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,605.97 | 225 | 47.1%106 W · 119 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…ba0bbacked Yes | 32c | 8,436$2,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,732.43 | 177 | 55.4%98 W · 79 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 76c | 8,416$6,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.35 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…d012backed Yes | 26c | 8,357$2,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,144.55 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…dbbbbacked Yes | 25c | 8,273$2,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035.97 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed No | 75c | 8,214$6,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065.34 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked No | 58c | 8,050$4,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,362.88 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 36c | 8,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.91 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…11c5backed Yes | 25c | 7,736$1,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,901.07 | 143 | 25.9%37 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f1…15f9backed Yes | 2c | 7,650$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…2c91backed Yes | 27c | 7,650$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca44…6d4ebacked Yes | 17c | 7,636$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a85…fe9dbacked Yes | 12c | 7,622$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.52 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…d5fdbacked Yes | 28c | 7,579$2,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,133 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 5c | 7,500$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.87 | 419 | 5.3%22 W · 397 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 32c | 7,500$2,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,434.34 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Yes | 18c | 7,283$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.54 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked No | 76c | 6,999$5,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.3 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…93c8backed No | 72c | 6,984$5,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,939.14 | 130 | 22.3%29 W · 101 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…659cbacked Yes | 2c | 6,867$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed No | 76c | 6,845$5,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.15 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 77c | 6,792$5,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.42 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00e1…b679backed Yes | 34c | 6,788$2,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,292.02 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -57%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…f95abacked Yes | 37c | 6,686$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 75c | 6,660$5,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.96 | 178 | 39.9%71 W · 107 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.