TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc360…dbb2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
134
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Middle East, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 54 out of 100; worst Venezuela at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT6365.1%41 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,567Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,567.11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$285
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.01
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$6,316Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+64.4%+$4,066.33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$6,723Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,723.36
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$111.99
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,206Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$914.8
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$4,551Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$1,962.23
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$263.99
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$303.81
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13,889Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+45.9%+$6,370.57
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$8,376Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$2,523.99
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$820Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$241.45
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,024Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+64.8%+$1,959.4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11,804Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,804.12
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$5,894Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$2,251.86
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$3,957Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$1,000.29
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$557Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$557.49
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,010Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+79.2%+$3,177.29
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$6,116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+27%+$1,653.58
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,034Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$380.37
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$855Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+74%+$632.66
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$5,381Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$1,933.06
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-33.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$312
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,650
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$242.68
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$589Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$589.22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,908Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,907.95
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+265.9%+$119.9
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,006Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,006.19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$4,447Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$1,635.29
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+131.2%+$71.65
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$196
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,744Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$1,073.31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,611Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,610.89
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$4,182Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,181.51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11,982Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,982.45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.42
Will Iran strike Dimona by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.34
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$183
All 17 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+26.6%+$3.57
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$431Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$430.9
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$5,836Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+29.9%+$1,746.56
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$188
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$305.77
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+32.7%+$13.09
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+28.3%+$22.63
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$230
Will Zohran Mamdani disparage Donald Trump on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+36.1%+$10.6
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+113.9%+$160.11
All 11 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-70.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$155.18
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$451.73
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$35.64
Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$18
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$861Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$861.37
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$220
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$92.52
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.13
Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+29.4%+$29.37
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-66.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.33per pick45cpaid-75.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-41.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+72.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+48.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Aug 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kanye launch a coin in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.