Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41e183923d05cd3e717f2891f38ba4058bd9182bd314e1c62f75849657df04ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $401,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $498,319
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $401,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3413…5204backed Yes | 6c | 37,919$2,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,287.25 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 12c | 23,418$2,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,926.81 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebaa…abacbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 6c | 9,415$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.46 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…f3d2backed Yes | 2c | 7,660$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 4c | 7,433$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.47 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 3c | 6,687$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.63 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 10c | 3,397$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.44 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed Yes | 3c | 3,000$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 132 | 16.7%22 W · 110 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c3…da06backed Yes | 10c | 3,000$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 1c | 2,965$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,664$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.5 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 6c | 2,547$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.81 | 142 | 8.5%12 W · 130 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 6c | 2,463$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.65 | 110 | 10%11 W · 99 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…5ba1backed Yes | 8c | 2,305$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.74 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 2,257$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.57 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8196…ab69backed Yes | 6c | 2,122$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.9 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…adabbacked No | 79c | 2,077$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.63 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,993$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.44 | 60 | 15%9 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 1,967$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 73 | 6.8%5 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 11c | 1,897$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.71 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 1,630$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.77 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 4c | 1,570$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.33 | 78 | 7.7%6 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 4c | 1,508$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 4c | 1,440$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.71 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 9c | 1,400$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.33 | 103 | 24.3%25 W · 78 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,314$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.42 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 8c | 1,172$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.93 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 6c | 1,009$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.02 | 115 | 29.6%34 W · 81 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 5c | 1,009$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.53 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 5cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0a…c642backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…77ccbacked Yes | 16c | 979.78$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.11 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2148…639ebacked Yes | 6c | 926.02$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.68 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 5c | 901.39$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 82 | 7.3%6 W · 76 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Yes | 6c | 866.31$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.36 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…7388backed Yes | 4c | 819.89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Yes | 3c | 786.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa703…6a73backed Yes | 15c | 676.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 5c | 635.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…cbdcbacked Yes | 10c | 576.58$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.85 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf00…33a7backed Yes | 17c | 520$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 11cpaid | +264.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…84febacked Yes | 12c | 512.85$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.48 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…a09cbacked Yes | 2c | 507.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6974…1287backed Yes | 10c | 501$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…272dbacked Yes | 3c | 500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…9d2dbacked Yes | 9c | 499.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59fb…eceabacked Yes | 17c | 490$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 7c | 400$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 7c | 400$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 72 | 8.3%6 W · 66 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8e…e857backed Yes | 17c | 400$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 3c | 400$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2333…7ebfbacked Yes | 4c | 396.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ed…b788backed Yes | 4c | 387$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…36f6backed Yes | 14c | 372.26$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b73…4766backed Yes | 7c | 371.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa89…a673backed Yes | 5c | 350.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a3…c2f9backed No | 80c | 347.47$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked Yes | 5c | 334.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +87%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f9…2697backed Yes | 19c | 323.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…7222backed Yes | 12c | 321.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff8d…57dcbacked Yes | 4c | 313.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 5c | 306$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 6c | 300$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a21…d26abacked Yes | 10c | 299.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Yes | 7c | 285$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…9969backed Yes | 7c | 276.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe008…8ff5backed Yes | 18c | 251.81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 8c | 246.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 146 | 24.7%36 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17fa…1f89backed Yes | 9c | 240.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 13c | 233.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ed…6dbabacked Yes | 10c | 212$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28d5…8433backed Yes | 9c | 210.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 28cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…32c5backed Yes | 6c | 200.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed Yes | 11c | 200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 10c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 193 | 28.5%55 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 10c | 199.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada4…48babacked Yes | 8c | 199.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 15cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed Yes | 8c | 195.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 126 | 31.7%40 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8864…2c6abacked Yes | 11c | 177.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 26cpaid | -88.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x078e…8b4bbacked Yes | 8c | 175.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb53…0412backed Yes | 6c | 158.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 17c | 150$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3521…4054backed Yes | 10c | 145$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9d…e9cebacked Yes | 15c | 135.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 8c | 133.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 11c | 133.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1877…847dbacked Yes | 9c | 133.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…e0a9backed Yes | 15c | 119.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 12c | 116$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6305…d70cbacked Yes | 16c | 112.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c8…0e01backed Yes | 25c | 104.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f77…a9a9backed Yes | 14c | 102$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8662…0731backed Yes | 15c | 101.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc97a…838ebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ab…4481backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +129.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b4…2a97backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 14c | 92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -64%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?this page
- Will Trump pardon Antoine Massey in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Bob Menendez in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Do Kwon in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon George Santos in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Himself in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Roger Stone in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Rudy Giuliani in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Young Thug in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.