Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb80de907dbcdfc4efe8219c3f9544f02f4267556982a1013b641bf348aff21d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $851,756
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $839,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $851,756 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3413…5204backed Yes | 6c | 50,120$3,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,187.94 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 9c | 29,766$2,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,569.78 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 8c | 28,480$2,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,169.28 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 6c | 27,501$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.55 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 11c | 24,974$2,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,795.78 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebaa…abacbacked Yes | 0c | 19,994$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe899…0899backed Yes | 24c | 19,621$4,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,615.51 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +127.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f68…1a2dbacked Yes | 12c | 15,331$1,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,783.68 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…13b9backed Yes | 7c | 14,083$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.37 | 52 | 7.7%4 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 2c | 9,497$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.56 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 4c | 9,068$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.1 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…f2cbbacked Yes | 5c | 7,696$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.6 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 5c | 6,446$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.97 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 6c | 6,082$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.12 | 130 | 29.2%38 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 1c | 6,000$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.31 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 13c | 5,705$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.58 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f6…a94cbacked Yes | 17c | 5,646$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd399…d13ebacked Yes | 5c | 5,575$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 5c | 5,555$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.79 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 5c | 5,323$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.46 | 142 | 8.5%12 W · 130 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 7c | 5,049$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.86 | 103 | 24.3%25 W · 78 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…99f3backed Yes | 3c | 4,714$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.62 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked No | 76c | 4,681$3,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.54 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5242…7aa6backed Yes | 15c | 4,526$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed Yes | 2c | 4,500$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 4,244$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 12c | 4,000$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.42 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf56b…3a22backed Yes | 7c | 3,749$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3af…146fbacked Yes | 7c | 3,726$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 7c | 3,500$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.42 | 187 | 25.1%47 W · 140 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed Yes | 4c | 3,373$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.21 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…f919backed Yes | 22c | 3,337$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,198$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.64 | 110 | 10%11 W · 99 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdde1…ea9bbacked Yes | 9c | 3,172$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.47 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x59da…ee69backed Yes | 1c | 3,072$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…cb78backed Yes | 13c | 3,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed0c…5e23backed Yes | 15c | 2,940$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 4c | 2,847$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.18 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -89%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 7c | 2,800$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.79 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 10c | 2,689$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.58 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9612…0a13backed Yes | 8c | 2,669$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,637$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 16c | 2,578$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.45 | 110 | 31.8%35 W · 75 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff05…fad7backed Yes | 0c | 2,548$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 29 | 3.4%1 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb708…8856backed Yes | 4c | 2,536$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c87…9bd4backed No | 71c | 2,500$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 137 | 14.6%20 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…84febacked Yes | 3c | 2,486$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5273…d975backed Yes | 23c | 2,449$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb675…3d65backed Yes | 15c | 2,434$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x78e4…62cabacked Yes | 1c | 2,400$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,139$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.56 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Yes | 14c | 1,991$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.54 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…7d33backed Yes | 5c | 1,982$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.16 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 1c | 1,881$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 78 | 7.7%6 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2148…639ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,812$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71e5…50a4backed Yes | 7c | 1,808$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.14 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 1,713$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…5ba1backed Yes | 1c | 1,653$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 7c | 1,636$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.36 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3217…7d40backed Yes | 20c | 1,582$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedf…c648backed Yes | 13c | 1,575$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 1c | 1,572$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 1c | 1,525$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 5cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb029…94afbacked Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 71c | 1,399$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.1 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,393$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8864…2c6abacked Yes | 4c | 1,375$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 26cpaid | -88.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…2d41backed Yes | 18c | 1,294$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…ba0bbacked Yes | 27c | 1,246$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.9 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6358…cc23backed Yes | 7c | 1,215$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.05 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +157.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd18d…fc51backed Yes | 33c | 1,180$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.43 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 18c | 1,169$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.14 | 283 | 20.5%58 W · 225 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 14c | 1,152$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.91 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e79…ecf8backed Yes | 17c | 1,150$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc099…2ea5backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe8…f492backed Yes | 28c | 1,102$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,076$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.71 | 60 | 15%9 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e3…f4a0backed Yes | 13c | 1,066$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.54 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6f…70edbacked Yes | 1c | 1,048$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…7388backed Yes | 1c | 1,042$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 1c | 1,030$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 10c | 1,008$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…9a71backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 132 | 16.7%22 W · 110 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…9452backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x919e…d915backed Yes | 21c | 984$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.52 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…1867backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 5c | 892.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd39f…d494backed Yes | 13c | 853.85$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 12cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 7c | 840.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.89 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Yes | 3c | 777$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…77ccbacked Yes | 6c | 750$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…7c22backed Yes | 24c | 748.22$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6721…c965backed Yes | 8c | 708.04$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62d5…78d1backed Yes | 7c | 706.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 72.4%55 W · 21 L | +14.7wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 3c | 700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 141 | 25.5%36 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?this page
- Will Trump pardon Antoine Massey in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Bob Menendez in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Do Kwon in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon George Santos in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Himself in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Roger Stone in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Rudy Giuliani in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Young Thug in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.