Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump pardon Rudy Giuliani in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f0120c3e9d314a4625bd2d7e23a0a2d164b83363f1ff26ac2fd1ada392f5846
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,975
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,915
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,975 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b44…264ebacked Yes | 74c | 6,609$4,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,726.32 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +7.5wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…0581backed No | 2c | 6,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 8c | 5,149$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,730.8 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | +18.3wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 2c | 4,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 111 | 21.6%24 W · 87 L | +11.4wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +179.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 2c | 4,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 111 | 20.7%23 W · 88 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +212.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Yes | 10c | 2,916$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,633.79 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed Yes | 69c | 2,601$1,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.17 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed No | 38c | 2,326$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.37 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc178…35b3backed No | 26c | 2,306$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.56 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +10.2wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +133.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9f…3e01backed Yes | 8c | 1,631$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,090.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 6c | 1,400$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.98 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x855d…349fbacked No | 6c | 1,161$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedf…c648backed Yes | 10c | 1,042$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 16c | 1,009$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.33 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbba4…f8c6backed Yes | 6c | 999.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.98 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea9a…64b1backed Yes | 12c | 833.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 12cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28c3…da06backed Yes | 7c | 734.33$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…a8efbacked Yes | 9c | 674.01$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.35 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 77c | 652.05$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.23 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 15c | 640.41$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.67 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…f32abacked Yes | 9c | 610.33$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.53 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 13c | 579.22$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.34 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dde…94c3backed No | 77c | 550$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.2 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5cd…e2efbacked Yes | 10c | 512.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.2 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 8c | 501$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.19 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 110 | 10%11 W · 99 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc99c…f913backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 9c | 500$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453 | 193 | 28.5%55 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 9c | 480$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9f…e8c9backed Yes | 7c | 472.86$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.96 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +98%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 52c | 432$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.69 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 10c | 360$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…7222backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.78 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…bc3dbacked Yes | 17c | 260$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.8 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 6c | 255$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.64 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…cfa5backed No | 16c | 242.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 11c | 231.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.3 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed Yes | 11c | 223$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.85 | 148 | 19.6%29 W · 119 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 6c | 203.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.39 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada4…48babacked Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 15cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 16c | 139$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.42 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb9…1f8fbacked No | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1834…795abacked Yes | 9c | 133.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.33 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked No | 26c | 114$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +12.8wins | +0.26per pick | 17cpaid | +218.5%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed Yes | 13c | 110.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.76 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3c…5eddbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes | 21c | 80$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +123.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…8ad7backed Yes | 16c | 64.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 115 | 29.6%34 W · 81 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbb…89abbacked Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf29e…3bccbacked No | 20c | 50.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 61c | 31.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 149 | 35.6%53 W · 96 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump pardon Rudy Giuliani in 2025?this page
- Will Trump pardon Antoine Massey in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Bob Menendez in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Do Kwon in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon George Santos in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Himself in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Roger Stone in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Young Thug in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.