TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x919e…d915

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
131
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 55 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST3218.8%6 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-55.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by December 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$61.25
Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35
US congress stock trading ban in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$156.4
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$58.59
Trump declares another national emergency by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.12
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.75
Will Trump announce a national housing emergency in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$229.69
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.27
Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$207.52
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+188.4%+$470.99
Will anyone vote "No" to releasing the Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10
House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+33.8%+$63.2
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$89.5
Which chamber will move first on a funding bill?backed House · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$54.74
U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$665Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$664.53
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$38.21
Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.5
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$100.38
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+83.1%+$22.69
Will the Government shutdown end October 15-18backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.75
Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+342.9%+$290.31
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$45
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.5
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST2931%9 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick25cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+300%+$187.5
Israel strike on Damascus by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.69
Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Syria strikes Israel by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$52.5
Hezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$442Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$442.03
Israel x Turkey military clash in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.09
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$81.65
Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$86.7
Israel x Syria security agreement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$135
Will Israel strike Turkey by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.09
Netanyahu out by 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$67.49
U.S. agrees to give Saudi Arabia security guarantee by November 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$42.5
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+72.4%+$20.99
US x Saudi security agreement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+168.7%+$235.46
Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+112.3%+$165.32
Will Donald Trump say "Bibi" during Syria President events on November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$81.74
Will Israel strike Yemen 0 times by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$77.5
Israel strike on Damascus by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during Egypt summit?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.37
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Egypt summit?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+69.4%+$14.95
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+487.5%+$829.76
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+222.2%+$172.65
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$791Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+208.1%+$1,645.15
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.94
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2015%3 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-65.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.21
Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$155
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37.5
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$168.54
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.25
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Adam Schiff federally charged by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$144.51
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.89
Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.63
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.88
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$141.94
Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.96
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$165.36
More EU sanctions on Russia by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Trump meet with Ahmed Al Shara in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+85.8%+$86.6
Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+71.3%+$41.64
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+226.9%+$607.37
All 20 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-57.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,949Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,948.88
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.73
Venezuela Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$142.5
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,103.25
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$72.19
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$22.3
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$17.23
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$31.5
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$269.9
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$123.98
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+85.2%+$57.5
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$44.79
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+63.9%+$97.5
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+35.5%+$81.88
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$22
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$16.25
Trump executive action ending payments to Colombia by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.85
Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+186.5%+$244.12
All 18 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$799Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+58.7%+$468.95
Starmer out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.13
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$505Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+160.7%+$811.22
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$589.91
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$52.5
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$518Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$517.95
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$168.02
North Korea missile test by September 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.01
North Korea missile test by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+201.8%+$167.16
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-52.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+75%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+111.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+143.9%+$73.75
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+78.8%+$55.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump pardon Diddy by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.48
Will Trump pardon Diddy by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$70.35
Will FC Porto win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$152.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+446.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+446.8%+$86.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+69.5%+$38.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Aug 26, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+36.6%+$21.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wolves vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.91
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.