Middle East · resolved market
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x050c4e33caa41c9ac5b87e77b12b3f2a9d80d5b7ccf7c39448bba5b870fd49a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $216,666
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $193,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $216,666 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 12c | 10,669$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.29 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 4c | 8,278$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.93 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7a…565dbacked Yes | 8c | 5,506$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.52 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee83…f6d7backed Yes | 4c | 5,400$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.18 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7b…2a87backed Yes | 10c | 4,433$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.32 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed Yes | 12c | 4,381$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.7 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…5246backed Yes | 3c | 3,686$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 38cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…00c7backed Yes | 10c | 3,215$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.15 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 3,187$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…a8efbacked Yes | 2c | 3,028$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.18 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff6…72aebacked Yes | 9c | 3,016$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.71 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 9c | 2,961$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.07 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 11c | 2,945$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.29 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1128…cfa5backed Yes | 12c | 2,703$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.53 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed Yes | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…932cbacked Yes | 12c | 2,500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 112 | 8.9%10 W · 102 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +149.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…4675backed Yes | 11c | 2,435$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.11 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…5c8fbacked No | 74c | 2,090$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.77 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +7.5wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…b380backed Yes | 5c | 2,028$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 67 | 3%2 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -73%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be1…a3c4backed Yes | 13c | 1,929$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 11c | 1,662$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.62 | 312 | 41.7%130 W · 182 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa84f…bc44backed No | 69c | 1,373$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.48 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 12c | 1,336$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.78 | 421 | 20.9%88 W · 333 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fda…5b87backed Yes | 27c | 1,316$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.46 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2544…6221backed Yes | 3c | 1,231$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…4665backed Yes | 10c | 1,200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…88dfbacked Yes | 32c | 1,101$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa493…612ebacked Yes | 20c | 1,008$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.51 | 291 | 29.9%87 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…5aa0backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 219 | 26.5%58 W · 161 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb57b…73ecbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed Yes | 13c | 988.29$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.98 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe933…500bbacked Yes | 24c | 850$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.5 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a4…bdf5backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd955…bf12backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 6c | 765.47$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.35 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919e…d915backed Yes | 9c | 750$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.49 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c7…32cbbacked Yes | 25c | 725.56$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.39 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 71c | 703.11$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.93 | 284 | 27.8%79 W · 205 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…c931backed Yes | 11c | 648.67$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.09 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…1c05backed Yes | 16c | 634.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 9c | 633.1$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.15 | 169 | 61.5%104 W · 65 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 14c | 588.85$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.11 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 6c | 577.69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 133 | 2.3%3 W · 130 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8662…c94fbacked Yes | 5c | 540.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 16cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce51…198cbacked Yes | 13c | 511.65$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 10c | 500$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…b5e1backed Yes | 9c | 490$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9f…ee16backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked Yes | 10c | 441.39$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 153 | 31.4%48 W · 105 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x978e…80bcbacked Yes | 13c | 400$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…8e90backed Yes | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -66%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x174a…930abacked Yes | 8c | 370.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942b…e25ebacked Yes | 10c | 350$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -37%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 73c | 335$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.97 | 64 | 9.4%6 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40d7…10b5backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82a3…88d0backed Yes | 11c | 311.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x846a…e4f8backed Yes | 13c | 267.26$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd737…71bbbacked Yes | 27c | 258$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.15 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…276cbacked Yes | 8c | 257.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a75dbacked Yes | 12c | 250$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | +22.6wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 11c | 248.77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 5c | 236.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…cbdcbacked Yes | 12c | 222$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…c131backed No | 73c | 220$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d4…56a2backed Yes | 7c | 218.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…ae77backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf59f…3be9backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 157 | 43.9%69 W · 88 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82c7…e125backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ec…b08abacked Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 242 | 34.3%83 W · 159 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8906…572dbacked Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 17c | 190$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +10.8wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf597…f4aebacked Yes | 5c | 190$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c9…2e25backed Yes | 19c | 189$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.51 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Yes | 26c | 180$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 14c | 180$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d0…7434backed Yes | 12c | 177.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…bbe6backed Yes | 8c | 167.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e32…d1c4backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +6.3wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc14a…97b3backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 79c | 151.26$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9be6…2280backed Yes | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x475b…7dbdbacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a10…c80fbacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 26c | 136.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 270 | 47.8%129 W · 141 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8c…890fbacked Yes | 9c | 132.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…2486backed Yes | 12c | 127.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 11c | 107.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x30b0…08b6backed Yes | 9c | 107.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91c9…d319backed No | 76c | 105.45$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a2…0b23backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa51b…26b1backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6573…ab02backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd8…01f0backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef6…4daebacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb76e…85e6backed Yes | 15c | 99.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords in 2025?this page
- Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords in 2025?No won
- Will Indonesia join the Abraham Accords in 2025?No won
- Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords in 2025?No won
- Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords in 2025?No won
- Will Oman join the Abraham Accords in 2025?No won
- Will Syria join the Abraham Accords in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.