Middle East · resolved market
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd2e98fa130f4952cc7bcc7a0bc28e98a7f62cd1e6ca8a8c2e46cdc624e469b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,951
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,113
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,951 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3306…17c5backed Yes | 7c | 6,982$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0049…3a9abacked Yes | 7c | 3,626$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.74 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 4c | 2,139$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.51 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 7c | 1,882$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1128…cfa5backed Yes | 4c | 1,424$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.69 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffe…b69dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,371$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…932cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,341$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.66 | 112 | 8.9%10 W · 102 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +149.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,143$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.08 | 133 | 2.3%3 W · 130 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f51…e179backed Yes | 6c | 1,006$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…865ebacked Yes | 15c | 1,000$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 179 | 34.6%62 W · 117 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8662…c94fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 16cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 7c | 978$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.68 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 919.87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 12c | 879.84$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 8c | 831.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.66 | 196 | 39.8%78 W · 118 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 18c | 750$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 235 | 25.5%60 W · 175 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57b…73ecbacked Yes | 8c | 614.48$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe933…500bbacked Yes | 29c | 600.04$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.53 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312b…cafebacked No | 55c | 599.54$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.25 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 13c | 556.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.1 | 421 | 20.9%88 W · 333 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 9c | 546.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 243 | 8.2%20 W · 223 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked Yes | 40c | 509.98$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.99 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6264…9937backed No | 49c | 507.12$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.27 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 27c | 432.56$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.13 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed Yes | 8c | 430$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked No | 62c | 418.91$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.22 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0fda…5b87backed Yes | 41c | 399$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.59 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288d…702dbacked Yes | 50c | 396.49$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 44c | 380.83$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.31 | 64 | 9.4%6 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 15c | 372.97$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 17c | 353.65$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.68 | 242 | 34.3%83 W · 159 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa70…8f17backed No | 60c | 337.65$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.06 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x770e…7640backed Yes | 19c | 315$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 206 | 17%35 W · 171 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb898…1288backed Yes | 9c | 300.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9557…f3b5backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80c6…e3c1backed No | 67c | 298.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.05 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked Yes | 11c | 286.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 88 | 27.3%24 W · 64 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 74c | 275.42$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.64 | 222 | 62.2%138 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 4c | 260.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29a…177dbacked Yes | 40c | 252.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.87 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -57%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe967…f62bbacked Yes | 7c | 249.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8c…890fbacked Yes | 30c | 249.97$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e32…d1c4backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +6.3wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2fad…b0e6backed Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…3d89backed No | 66c | 201$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.34 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…b88cbacked No | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +6.1wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x978e…80bcbacked Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c5…a0f3backed Yes | 55c | 195.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.33 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x846a…e4f8backed Yes | 7c | 188.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0faf…d0d9backed Yes | 40c | 187.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf597…f4aebacked Yes | 6c | 180$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 13c | 161.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f7…2501backed No | 64c | 159.38$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.16 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…f68bbacked Yes | 45c | 155.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…74d0backed Yes | 7c | 155$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4356…8bb2backed Yes | 9c | 141.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…5c8fbacked No | 67c | 140$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +7.5wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes | 31c | 137.71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91c9…d319backed No | 61c | 131.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf0…6e2abacked Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…ff3abacked Yes | 9c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 17c | 115.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 317 | 19.2%61 W · 256 L | -23.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9be6…2280backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…d300backed Yes | 9c | 111.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -71%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…f086backed No | 75c | 110$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 153 | 24.8%38 W · 115 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…02dbbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98ec…b08abacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd427…05adbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe277…8e46backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c9…2e25backed No | 58c | 98.84$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.41 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Yes | 45c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 19c | 89.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e1…6fd8backed Yes | 44c | 89.39$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e0…53e6backed Yes | 41c | 87.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked No | 53c | 85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 32c | 77.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 270 | 47.8%129 W · 141 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…b5fcbacked Yes | 46c | 77.15$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a8…9bafbacked No | 54c | 73.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.71 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064c…2de1backed No | 72c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 69cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf795…c3f5backed Yes | 35c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca49…ce96backed Yes | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b45…9840backed No | 57c | 69.88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9d…478abacked Yes | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb56a…bc26backed No | 54c | 58.96$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa67c…7b0fbacked Yes | 48c | 51.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…69e9backed Yes | 49c | 40.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd32…ab3dbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…328ebacked No | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 123 | 5.7%7 W · 116 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d6…f957backed No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…af26backed No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd936…c148backed No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x253e…bf81backed No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 32c | 31.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…c5e1backed Yes | 44c | 26.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Syria join the Abraham Accords in 2025?this page
- Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords in 2025?No won
- Will Indonesia join the Abraham Accords in 2025?No won
- Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords in 2025?No won
- Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords in 2025?No won
- Will Oman join the Abraham Accords in 2025?No won
- Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.