Middle East · resolved market
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9c845641aa7c85f367fa1f4da182d62d3249f4c109998a36e2840d3d8b62a48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,218
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,218 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed Yes | 37c | 3,462$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.19 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312b…cafebacked No | 65c | 3,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.99 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee83…f6d7backed Yes | 9c | 2,882$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.9 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 14c | 2,425$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.03 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…c8c8backed Yes | 16c | 2,046$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.36 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +140.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd35…2bb6backed No | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 66c | 1,555$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.55 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 4c | 1,388$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 13c | 1,191$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.02 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…932cbacked Yes | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 112 | 8.9%10 W · 102 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +149.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x298d…fb9ebacked Yes | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 35c | 696.83$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.65 | 196 | 39.8%78 W · 118 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…15dfbacked Yes | 6c | 600$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 162 | 25.9%42 W · 120 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9956…dc96backed Yes | 12c | 589.6$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +793.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43a…cafcbacked Yes | 22c | 546.86$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.71 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 15cpaid | +46%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed No | 74c | 528.93$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.11 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd39b…9343backed Yes | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 19c | 480.13$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.55 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2819…34fcbacked Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4c…ea0cbacked Yes | 14c | 413.36$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.94 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yes | 15c | 405.41$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.87 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d9…11b2backed Yes | 25c | 405.09$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.27 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9f…ee16backed Yes | 32c | 317.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdea7…f2dcbacked Yes | 35c | 288.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +51%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…385dbacked No | 71c | 278.84$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.53 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9557…f3b5backed Yes | 26c | 273.1$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 15c | 271$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 243 | 8.2%20 W · 223 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked Yes | 9c | 261.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…3d89backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73dc…8d32backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked No | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…c035backed Yes | 15c | 200$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 6c | 199.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 57c | 199.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 242 | 34.3%83 W · 159 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f93…5f54backed Yes | 25c | 199.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 26c | 167.49$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6573…ab02backed Yes | 41c | 156$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…2486backed Yes | 26c | 153.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed Yes | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45a8…d8f9backed No | 70c | 140$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…3bd0backed Yes | 73c | 131.2$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.17 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x210c…2edabacked Yes | 16c | 125.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc72b…3756backed Yes | 24c | 123.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 35cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53a8…4b54backed Yes | 16c | 122.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bc…026cbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 30.3%30 W · 69 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…f086backed No | 75c | 115.63$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…6007backed No | 74c | 112.54$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 211 | 60.7%128 W · 83 L | +14.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…c364backed No | 55c | 103.52$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.58 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.32per pick | 58cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…f218backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -60%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x978e…80bcbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3c…e5dcbacked Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +47%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf5…4e75backed Yes | 16c | 97.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…8c20backed Yes | 16c | 95.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fec…c965backed Yes | 24c | 95.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 17c | 90.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b89…2755backed Yes | 21c | 85.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 17c | 81.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 317 | 19.2%61 W · 256 L | -23.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d97…0665backed Yes | 65c | 77.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x856f…9ce5backed Yes | 33c | 76.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x025d…5a44backed Yes | 20c | 75.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -5.0wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x81f0…a149backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…0d5cbacked No | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed Yes | 20c | 68.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d7…9b78backed Yes | 29c | 68.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d7…10b5backed Yes | 30c | 67.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3939…68cfbacked Yes | 30c | 67.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1128…cfa5backed Yes | 31c | 65.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 26c | 62.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd140…810dbacked No | 75c | 61.03$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce51…198cbacked Yes | 25c | 60.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0489…ddf7backed Yes | 71c | 56.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 63c | 52.84$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…d545backed No | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd936…c148backed No | 63c | 49.28$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 73c | 42.47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9169…e2dabacked Yes | 76c | 39.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -5.2wins | -0.48per pick | 57cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x90f7…2501backed No | 73c | 38.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed Yes | 31c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed No | 57c | 32.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97b6…ed87backed No | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +56%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…5aa0backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 219 | 26.5%58 W · 161 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e15…6ce6backed No | 63c | 26.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27e3…bbd0backed Yes | 43c | 25.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d5…af7fbacked No | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…1aa1backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3342…df4ebacked No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed No | 74c | 13.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords in 2025?this page
- Will Indonesia join the Abraham Accords in 2025?No won
- Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords in 2025?No won
- Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords in 2025?No won
- Will Oman join the Abraham Accords in 2025?No won
- Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords in 2025?No won
- Will Syria join the Abraham Accords in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.