TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5903…f218

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
267
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 56 out of 100; worst Middle East at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT4955.1%27 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.52
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.39
Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+116.3%+$118.74
Will Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+31.6%+$9.6
Will PVV be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will CU be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$61.56
Will VVD be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+92.3%+$87.27
Starmer out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.39
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$41
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+51.9%+$84.76
Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+52.5%+$143.33
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$347.4
Democrats 66 (D66) win 10% or more of votes in Netherlands election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+170.3%+$63
Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+69%+$68.98
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+54.5%+$70.52
Will the Democrats 66 win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+31.9%+$64.25
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+102%+$101
Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+49.5%+$23.89
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+159.7%+$123
Park Sung-jae in jail by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$163.43
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$325.24
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$318.51
Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+241%+$197.64
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+79.9%+$271.37
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST3852.6%20 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+48.1%+$130
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+163.8%+$492.88
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+75.4%+$21.5
Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$116
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by December 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.29
Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.92
Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic Party in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.44
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$82.58
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$44.61
Another US military action against Iran before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.99
Will Eric Adams join Trump administration by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.97
Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+376.2%+$79
First enacted funding bill include ACA premium subsidy extension?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will the next government funding bill be a clean CR?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$35.44
Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$189.96
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$919Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+39.3%+$360.7
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+262.1%+$104.74
Will John Fetterman vote "Yea" on the next funding bill?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+258.1%+$68.79
Will the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+38.6%+$55.7
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.53
Will Mike Bloomberg endorse Cuomo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+112.7%+$16.25
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.96
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+40.2%+$160.3
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$111.85
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+347.8%+$77.67
Will Apple release HomePod mini successor by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.07
Grok 5 released by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$110.35
Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+244.2%+$35.49
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.15
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.89
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$16.21
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$35.93
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$89.32
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+131.4%+$122.13
Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+148.2%+$238.82
Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$350.47
Will Google have the second best AI model on October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+49.8%+$192.6
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$81.13
Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$409.89
Will Z.ai have the second best AI model on October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+46.3%+$58.2
Will Google have the top AI model on October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$133.39
Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.15
Grokipedia released by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+127.9%+$61.73
OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+447.9%+$70.37
Grokipedia released by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.17
OpenAI browser in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+48.4%+$27.54
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+125.1%+$460.05
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$106.3
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.02
Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$162.32
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.7%+$23.98
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$105.27
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+34.5%+$77
Adam Schiff federally charged by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.7
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$42.3
Nothing Ever Happens: Military Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$14.31
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$75.56
NATO downs another Russian drone by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.58
Another Russian incursion in Polish airspace by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+31.2%+$84.17
Will Russia capture Siversk by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.93
Will Russia capture Uspenivka by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.2
Will Russia capture Rodynske by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.2
Will Russia capture Drobysheve by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.96
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.55
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$382.57
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+39.2%+$45.47
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.83
More EU sanctions on Russia by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+31.2%+$65.38
Will Ukraine recapture territory in Kucheriv Yar by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+383%+$158.58
Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+543.6%+$126.51
All 24 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2420.8%5 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-60%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US announces return to Bagram base in Afghanistan by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.65
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.54
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Israel parliament dissolved in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45.19
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Italy recognize Palestine in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.91
EU sanctions on Israel by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36.3
Will Finland recognize Palestine in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Israel strike 3 countries in October 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+39%+$57.8
Will Israel strike 2 countries in October 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+106.3%+$158.29
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$192.49
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.24
Successful Houthi attack on shipping by October 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.26
Israel strike on Yemen by October 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+158.7%+$123.48
Houthi strike on Israel by October 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$78.11
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.68
Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$37
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$326.66
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$191.28
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+97.1%+$101.68
Will Israel not strike Yemen by October 1 ET?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 1 ET?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$94.4
Will Israel not raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30 ET?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$162.1
All 24 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+116.3%+$47.09
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.22
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$6.82
Will Jeremy Allen White be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+131%+$99.8
Will Dwayne Johnson be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$47.82
Will Jeremy Strong be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Will Weapons be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Will It Was Just an Accident be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$118.48
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+122.2%+$55
Will "Tron: Ares" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 45m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.07
Will "The Smashing Machine" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 7m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$321.92
Will "The Smashing Machine" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 11m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Will "The Smashing Machine" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 18m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+37%+$19.07
Will "The Official Release Party of a Showgirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 38m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$131.85
All 14 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+48.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.3
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$245.56
Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$44.25
Will Rabby launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+69.2%+$26.32
Will Opensea launch a token by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+129.4%+$227.23
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+37.4%+$41.99
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$73.1
Kinetiq FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+120.5%+$103.82
Monad market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+279.4%+$147.28
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,407Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,407.07
Meteora FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$649Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$648.96
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+692.2%+$403.16
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$123.59
All 13 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-35.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+62.4%+$17.03
Will a Sabrina Carpenter song reach #1 again this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+49.2%+$50.65
Will DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS by Bad Bunny be the top Spotify album for 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$92.84
Will 'Honey' be the lowest ranked song from Taylor Swift’s new album on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.2
Will 'Honey' be the least streamed song on The Life of a Showgirl on Oct 10th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$56
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be under 2500000?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$966Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+85.8%+$829.02
The Life of a Showgirl Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.94
Will 'The Fate of Ophelia' be the most streamed song on 'The Life of a Showgirl' on Oct 10th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.88
Will Diddy be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$538Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+46.9%+$252.03
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-45%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aaron Judge win the 2025 AL MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$56.76
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$213.97
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 American League Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+31.7%+$56.05
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 National League Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$249.57
MLB Playoffs: Will the New York Yankees beat the Boston Red Sox 2-1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.55
MLB Playoffs: Will the Cleveland Guardians beat the Detroit Tigers 2-1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+52.2%+$67.81
MLB Playoffs: Will the Detroit Tigers beat the Cleveland Guardians 2-1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$154
MLB Playoffs: Will the Los Angeles Dodgers beat the Cincinnati Reds 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$87.25
MLB Playoffs: Will the Detroit Tigers beat the Cleveland Guardians 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$58
MLB Playoffs: Will the Cleveland Guardians beat the Detroit Tigers 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+25%+$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+43%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-27.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in September 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$884Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+46.9%+$414.29
2025 September third hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$476Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+58.4%+$277.98
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in September 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$363.96
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$33
Will less than 12 named storms occur in the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$5.94
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.79
Will the highest temperature in London be between 70-71°F on October 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
All 8 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-42.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-42.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick38cpaid+140.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-62.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-53.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$53.46
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ohio State win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$3
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$23.68
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.