MLB · resolved market
MLB Playoffs: Will the Los Angeles Dodgers beat the Cincinnati Reds 2-0?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c5b69588ac7ed3812d9c1c4e932c9bbe6ab33cfc54d5991211eb31fa5e48703
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,988
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,988 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 73c | 20,552$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,551.74 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 27c | 12,775$3,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,449.18 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Yes | 57c | 1,417$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.85 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 103 | 28.2%29 W · 74 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed Yes | 42c | 974.84$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 58c | 820.45$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.86 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 53c | 754.38$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.54 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 28c | 277$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.56 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 60c | 220$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…f218backed No | 44c | 200$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 40c | 109.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 58c | 37.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- MLB Playoffs: Will the Los Angeles Dodgers beat the Cincinnati Reds 2-0?this page
- MLB Playoffs: Will the Cincinnati Reds beat the Los Angeles Dodgers 2-0?No won
- MLB Playoffs: Will the Cincinnati Reds beat the Los Angeles Dodgers 2-1?No won
- MLB Playoffs: Will the Los Angeles Dodgers beat the Cincinnati Reds 2-1?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.