Ukraine · resolved market
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x480bddaf1d050a3adb9a9f1e0e42f770f133906ee428850a127944c31f2c7022
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,166,464
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,789,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,166,464 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 757 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 5c | 120,702$6,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,369.34 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff6…72aebacked Yes | 5c | 100,000$4,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,952.21 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 12cpaid | -92.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed Yes | 16c | 92,607$14,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,718.57 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 19c | 69,116$13,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,227.52 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c17…83c8backed Yes | 15c | 64,722$9,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,590.48 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd041…1202backed Yes | 4c | 56,985$2,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,316.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked Yes | 4c | 52,249$2,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,037.89 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…1b3ebacked Yes | 1c | 44,600$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.61 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2648…36a0backed Yes | 14c | 38,183$5,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,240.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714b…d071backed Yes | 9c | 34,089$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,039.9 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…1d0abacked Yes | 0c | 33,753$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb898…1288backed Yes | 6c | 29,325$1,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,796.41 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 9c | 28,180$2,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,584.85 | 108 | 12%13 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4b…75eabacked Yes | 15c | 24,398$3,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,542 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9e…be96backed Yes | 25c | 24,021$6,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,075 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes | 2c | 22,342$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.79 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b0…e5f9backed Yes | 22c | 22,114$4,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,888.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 16c | 20,978$3,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,458.32 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ce…f74dbacked Yes | 17c | 20,794$3,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,514.57 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 21c | 20,732$4,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,262.89 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…64edbacked Yes | 1c | 20,490$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.38 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 7c | 20,078$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.27 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +67%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 75c | 19,402$14,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,754.18 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 19,300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.1 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…c220backed Yes | 1c | 18,849$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.56 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…06d5backed Yes | 3c | 18,431$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Yes | 13c | 18,208$2,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,306.84 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 15c | 16,794$2,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,506.2 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe792…ffe4backed No | 77c | 15,041$11,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,430.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 13c | 14,440$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832.91 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked Yes | 1c | 14,318$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.63 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb4…b811backed Yes | 22c | 14,000$3,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,145.81 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 48cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1199…d5f9backed Yes | 1c | 13,999$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.23 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…d40dbacked Yes | 0c | 13,678$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db7…7e1fbacked Yes | 4c | 12,403$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa810…fd25backed Yes | 12c | 12,203$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.4 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed No | 79c | 10,966$8,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,301.76 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4f…d0f6backed Yes | 10c | 10,717$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 27cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf12c…22b1backed Yes | 13c | 10,586$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.42 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…0b82backed No | 72c | 10,360$7,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,881.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…d851backed Yes | 20c | 9,938$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 8c | 9,653$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.84 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8628…6f0bbacked No | 80c | 9,414$7,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,882.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 13c | 9,305$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.57 | 115 | 30.4%35 W · 80 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bd…169abacked Yes | 1c | 8,952$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3868…5683backed Yes | 2c | 8,912$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed No | 71c | 8,843$6,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,558.4 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +5.3wins | +0.27per pick | 38cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Yes | 3c | 8,557$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.73 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…531dbacked Yes | 17c | 8,484$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.37 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 1c | 8,378$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.56 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0238…c051backed Yes | 3c | 8,000$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de0…87a0backed No | 78c | 7,947$6,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,748.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 32cpaid | +219.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 29c | 7,727$2,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,261.11 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 2c | 7,400$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 90 | 5.6%5 W · 85 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4677…96d7backed Yes | 1c | 6,926$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 6,859$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.29 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Yes | 20c | 6,234$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed No | 75c | 6,229$4,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.58 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 70c | 6,116$4,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,837.06 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…aa69backed No | 80c | 6,079$4,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.94 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ce…16ecbacked No | 80c | 5,767$4,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8420…6183backed Yes | 17c | 5,716$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.05 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…9354backed Yes | 1c | 5,606$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 6c | 5,250$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.93 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed Yes | 21c | 5,202$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.2 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…a6cdbacked Yes | 2c | 5,174$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6511…2607backed Yes | 17c | 5,040$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 13c | 5,008$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.38 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf39…3101backed No | 78c | 5,000$3,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6747…3695backed Yes | 26c | 5,000$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 8c | 4,750$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 152 | 17.8%27 W · 125 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 22c | 4,492$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.92 | 263 | 18.3%48 W · 215 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e84…ef69backed Yes | 5c | 4,487$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.03 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fa…e0f1backed Yes | 1c | 4,472$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff1…72ebbacked Yes | 23c | 4,408$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7f…e26cbacked Yes | 22c | 4,354$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.53 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…57b6backed Yes | 16c | 4,216$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…0299backed Yes | 5c | 4,182$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.23 | 68 | 14.7%10 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ab…84f7backed Yes | 4c | 4,075$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.56 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…390abacked Yes | 9c | 4,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x427c…17b7backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d44…6b0abacked Yes | 28c | 3,877$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce68…f6b8backed Yes | 15c | 3,857$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.31 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked No | 75c | 3,856$2,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.92 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3666…8c35backed Yes | 1c | 3,759$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…fdfebacked No | 72c | 3,697$2,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c00…0788backed Yes | 5c | 3,557$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.89 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 9c | 3,550$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.23 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b6…f9d9backed Yes | 14c | 3,453$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 0c | 3,400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 58 | 10.3%6 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked No | 79c | 3,386$2,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.57 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…35b5backed Yes | 15c | 3,378$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…92e0backed Yes | 3c | 3,041$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.4 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…0eb0backed No | 69c | 3,000$2,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.79 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4c…ea0cbacked Yes | 4c | 2,870$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.28 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bc…026cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,857$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a10…7083backed Yes | 32c | 2,789$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f0…5d58backed Yes | 1c | 2,778$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x254b…1aaebacked Yes | 4c | 2,707$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf643…3900backed No | 75c | 2,669$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.25 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 58cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?this page
- Will Trump meet with Putin by August 31?No won
- Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?No won
- Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?No won
- Will Trump meet with Putin by September 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.