TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ukraine · resolved market

Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$252,902
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$224,612

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $252,902 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ukraine
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xde2e…2981backed Yes19c13,114$2,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,491.66250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89bf…b5e8backed Yes18c11,470$2,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,064.610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c7b…2a87backed Yes48c5,854$2,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,781.922119%4 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick34cpaid-69.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes34c5,839$1,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,987.824429.5%13 W · 31 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bbe…2cf3backed No64c5,784$3,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,103.154459.1%26 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc87b…51d4backed Yes49c4,370$2,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,151.151717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-53.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4344…f90dbacked Yes27c3,402$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.989138.5%35 W · 56 L+6.9wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+67%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5ca7…6149backed No78c3,308$2,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.542560%15 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9178…a2b2backed Yes33c3,307$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104.6910812%13 W · 95 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x198a…be5cbacked Yes9c3,303$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77b0…ba0bbacked No47c3,079$1,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,632.441250%6 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+21.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85c4…33cbbacked No66c3,038$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.13366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+35.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e48…95c7backed Yes30c3,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes35c2,832$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.6525311.5%29 W · 224 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-46.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfee…64bbbacked No51c2,778$1,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,373.292560%15 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes0c2,665$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33e0…7d46backed Yes48c2,546$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,221.831526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-54.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9419…a40fbacked No69c2,530$1,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.39333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-52%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bcc…39ebbacked No77c2,301$1,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x413a…0008backed Yes3c2,252$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.56425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes2c2,250$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.515217.8%27 W · 125 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9238…b73ebacked Yes28c1,852$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.1835341.9%148 W · 205 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x904f…50c6backed Yes27c1,774$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.644515.6%7 W · 38 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-63.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6752…08d5backed Yes1c1,756$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8631…9a73backed No63c1,741$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.368549.4%42 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Yes2c1,677$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.235949.2%29 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes5c1,591$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.385327%37 W · 495 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-66.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…dbcabacked No78c1,400$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.91666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe484…0779backed Yes4c1,369$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d88…b0c4backed Yes30c1,350$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.5812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick40cpaid-82.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbacd…ab35backed Yes12c1,309$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.579115.4%14 W · 77 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-71.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes16c1,256$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.073815.8%6 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-69.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1410…a67dbacked No62c1,234$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.923644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd426…334abacked Yes12c1,200$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.024517.8%8 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47fc…8d6bbacked Yes59c1,153$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.31944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick61cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8152…bfdabacked No73c1,040$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.591758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44e…67e2backed No71c1,002$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.5614456.9%82 W · 62 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa65c…32fbbacked Yes14c1,000$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick25cpaid+59.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x993c…6787backed No56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.42231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-31.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c2…a50ebacked No61c975.69$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.692100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+90.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ca1…13b5backed No37c920.99$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.114750.3%74 W · 73 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a59…f2f0backed Yes11c911.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7616…69eebacked No47c884.14$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.22977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.7wins+0.41per pick37cpaid+119.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x653d…7805backed Yes19c795.97$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee6…4050backed Yes40c745.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-42.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x63e2…5579backed No51c689.59$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes11c665.05$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.87185.6%1 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick4cpaid-29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60fd…89a9backed Yes2c661.36$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.05432.3%1 W · 42 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-73%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75ac…33d7backed Yes19c652.62$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.37733.8%26 W · 51 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes54c644.7$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.215527.3%15 W · 40 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-41.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes50c637$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.369034.4%31 W · 59 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-39.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes3c601.05$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.881432.1%3 W · 140 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-72.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed No45c599.98$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.9924258.7%142 W · 100 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb63e…b964backed Yes34c576.18$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes6c560.56$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.622119%4 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-64.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa28e…b220backed Yes19c500$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.451216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeec5…b6febacked No66c500$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1692556%14 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8367…2a2abacked No63c500$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.941392.3%12 W · 1 L+3.5wins+0.27per pick65cpaid+59.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504045%18 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39f0…43ffbacked Yes20c496.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64b4…055ebacked Yes16c483.87$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes3c455.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.611074.7%5 W · 102 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-41.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad52…11acbacked Yes15c442.82$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.853627.8%10 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x919e…d915backed Yes35c437.5$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1552015%3 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-65.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2525…b919backed Yes50c420.92$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.469326.9%25 W · 68 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-7.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf416…6ec9backed No61c414.95$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.766443.8%28 W · 36 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9524…86cfbacked Yes51c405$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.557821.8%17 W · 61 L-0.3wins0.00per pick22cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecab…a9ddbacked Yes4c404.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7171…7af9backed Yes6c404$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.29156.7%1 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick4cpaid-16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46a1…2736backed No55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1802560%15 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+50.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Yes45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18015029.3%44 W · 106 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d73…216bbacked No49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2047247.2%34 W · 38 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x48eb…4addbacked Yes27c364.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-28.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6244…4fffbacked Yes19c352.63$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6720%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab19…4876backed No39c346.13$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.142665.4%17 W · 9 L+4.3wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1cea…f32abacked No48c333.48$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.482740.7%11 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+23.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe738…df65backed No49c300.56$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.146647%31 W · 35 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb295…e601backed Yes50c300.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150825%2 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68c2…1711backed No31c285.5$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.8610137.6%38 W · 63 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb1f…e0fabacked Yes7c274.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes8c273.4$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.961039.7%10 W · 93 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-50.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc851…cd2abacked No76c265.94$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.822729.6%8 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-51.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd822…8c9bbacked No49c261.09$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.551668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+41.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Yes16c260$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.63430%0 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe762…064bbacked Yes13c250$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.511645.7%53 W · 63 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-3.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x724e…8c4dbacked Yes19c250$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes26c231$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.393145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd1c…a6b1backed Yes22c227.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x935a…6235backed Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504447.7%21 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe52…32c5backed Yes34c224.99$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766431.3%20 W · 44 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-31%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41cb…a5dfbacked Yes34c219.16$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.5610343.7%45 W · 58 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe5b…85e1backed No69c210.27$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.342100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x347b…c9bcbacked Yes7c210$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.34920.4%10 W · 39 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-51.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebdf…ac87backed Yes16c206.24$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.52445.8%11 W · 13 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+42.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes31c202$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.328711.5%10 W · 77 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-42%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6765…54c9backed Yes10c201.01$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868247.6%39 W · 43 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes22c195.97$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.423951.3%20 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5037…0307backed No78c190$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-34.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a1d…b871backed Yes20c179.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.