Ukraine · resolved market
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x797a35eb9faaa2c744b86b9636f8e02fcf57cd4e3bd5bdcc0d97e3f12c7612a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $327,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $338,314
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $327,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac22…5442backed Yes | 1c | 23,586$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.92 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 11c | 10,568$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.06 | 108 | 12%13 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff6…72aebacked Yes | 8c | 8,286$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.08 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 12cpaid | -92.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 3c | 8,149$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.7 | 90 | 5.6%5 W · 85 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 11c | 7,465$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.9 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc4…a880backed Yes | 21c | 7,456$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544.27 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…201bbacked Yes | 10c | 5,664$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.82 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed Yes | 14c | 5,189$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.87 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 5c | 4,788$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.23 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0013…3c30backed Yes | 9c | 4,603$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 68 | 13.2%9 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Yes | 9c | 4,209$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.85 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 1c | 3,853$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 128 | 30.5%39 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…03cfbacked Yes | 1c | 3,800$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…658cbacked Yes | 3c | 3,682$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…e446backed Yes | 8c | 3,664$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.68 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Yes | 4c | 3,290$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.5 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37ef…a37abacked Yes | 8c | 3,107$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.54 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…fb5dbacked Yes | 11c | 3,012$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.49 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed Yes | 7c | 2,906$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.33 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfd…184bbacked No | 80c | 2,701$2,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 5c | 2,395$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.64 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9f…0df3backed Yes | 15c | 2,142$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.48 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5b…d4ecbacked Yes | 13c | 2,133$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.29 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff5…9711backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…99f3backed Yes | 20c | 1,922$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.44 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb898…1288backed Yes | 10c | 1,900$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…4525backed Yes | 6c | 1,800$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 8c | 1,711$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.16 | 91 | 15.4%14 W · 77 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82a8…6c09backed Yes | 12c | 1,699$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 6c | 1,613$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.04 | 214 | 26.2%56 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,501$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.88 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 2c | 1,500$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 65 | 1.5%1 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked Yes | 19c | 1,434$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.54 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…0299backed Yes | 10c | 1,240$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.03 | 68 | 14.7%10 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 10c | 1,200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…50c6backed Yes | 18c | 1,046$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd46…0545backed Yes | 20c | 1,029$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…3509backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc331…1d71backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -60%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa01e…6cc8backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e98…ae0fbacked No | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Yes | 16c | 999.97$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 18c | 999.56$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.36 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 14c | 955.88$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.12 | 263 | 18.3%48 W · 215 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Yes | 13c | 950$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…2dbcbacked Yes | 10c | 838.49$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.72 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 4c | 820$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 70 | 4.3%3 W · 67 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 2c | 685$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 58 | 10.3%6 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Yes | 9c | 655.48$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.26 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x452d…2804backed Yes | 5c | 570$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 8c | 561.35$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.31 | 56 | 5.4%3 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8032…7c6cbacked Yes | 14c | 555.06$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.55 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed Yes | 12c | 552.9$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.85 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 536.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…0ebabacked Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…69fbbacked Yes | 4c | 498$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +147.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ec…ab04backed Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71e4…4928backed Yes | 4c | 371.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab0…da5bbacked Yes | 3c | 366.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…4358backed Yes | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41cb…a5dfbacked Yes | 14c | 339.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.59 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ea…1023backed Yes | 6c | 321$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc481…471fbacked Yes | 18c | 280.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 18c | 280$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…7b80backed No | 79c | 270$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…bfbabacked No | 79c | 250.29$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.56 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc9…1ec7backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…a1d8backed No | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked No | 79c | 250$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 12c | 200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 113 | 22.1%25 W · 88 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…cb00backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x820c…7a8cbacked Yes | 19c | 161.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a66…ff76backed Yes | 13c | 157.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc21…9eb9backed Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x387f…158abacked Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x212c…8e4abacked Yes | 22c | 145.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdad8…00f7backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x214c…eb00backed No | 79c | 139.24$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…df3bbacked No | 80c | 130$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…c263backed No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed22…b504backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcb…e6f1backed Yes | 18c | 108.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce24…043ebacked Yes | 16c | 101.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f7…fa11backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe451…7920backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9456…4f9fbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c5…bd4ebacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8049…b09dbacked Yes | 21c | 97.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…6866backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1614…ec02backed Yes | 20c | 86.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…17c8backed No | 79c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4a…3ec6backed No | 80c | 50.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46a1…2736backed No | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8420…6183backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26a4…1464backed No | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0d…c6bebacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9b…705ebacked No | 80c | 12.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd16c…9100backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump meet with Putin by August 31?this page
- Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?No won
- Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?No won
- Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?No won
- Will Trump meet with Putin by September 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.