TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfc21…9eb9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
106
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: MLB, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 56 out of 100; worst Champions League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+108.3%+$52
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+58.7%+$14.8
Heat vs. Magicbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$32.91
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Kings vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+61.3%+$38
Lakers vs. 76ersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+66.7%+$40
Warriors vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+63.9%+$39
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Rockets vs. Cavaliersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+88.7%+$47
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+112.8%+$106
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$57
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$124
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$162
Grizzlies vs. Knicksbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$110
Rockets vs. Bucksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+170.3%+$63
Lakers vs. Hawksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Rockets vs. Raptorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$17.6
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$21
All 18 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1612.5%2 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick20cpaid-65.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$291.4
Will Trump meet with Putin by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$199
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Russia announces air truce by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$47
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet by August 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Will Trump and Zelenskyy hug on Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Trump say "Putin" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.6
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" 3+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.6
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+178.3%+$139.4
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$90
WTA Finals, Stefanie Graf Group: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegulabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+53.8%+$35
Open de Moselle: Corentin Moutet vs Aleksandar Vukicbacked Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$61
Hellenic Championship: Sebastian Korda vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+85.2%+$46
Hellenic Championship: Mackenzie McDonald vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+194.1%+$66
Open de Moselle: Jan Choinski vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+42.9%+$30
Hellenic Championship: Damir Dzumhur vs Jacob Fearnleybacked Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$25.9
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
Hellenic Championship, Qualification: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Henry Bernetbacked Bernet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Jiangxi Open: Alycia Parks vs Anna Blinkovabacked Blinkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$49
Chennai Open: Arina Rodionova vs Storm Hunterbacked Hunter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$160
Rolex Paris Masters: Gabriel Diallo vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+37%+$24.3
Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Arthur Cazauxbacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$37
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+248.3%+$288
All 14 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$34.4
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+397.5%+$67.22
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Mairead McGuinness win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$172.65
Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$6.9
All 8 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-63%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick36cpaid+44.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO1)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$24
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+69.5%+$41
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$310
All 3 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 9, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$56
Raiders vs. Broncosbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$90
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+230.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+284.6%+$113.85
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+176.2%+$25.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
India ODI Series: India vs South Africa (Game 2)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$41
Will Australia win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+85.2%+$46
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Blue Jackets vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+117.4%+$32.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.8
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$29.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Sep 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$44.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Freakier Friday" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $29m and $34m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$320
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.