NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Hawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6970efb99d2ce1fedf443f813f8b91a633abdf8140394769929efd9d84c08e79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Lakers, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,198,121
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,181,469
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,198,121 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,686 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Hawks | 37c | 145,951$53,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92,287.05 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Lakers | 63c | 139,000$88,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,059.33 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Lakers | 66c | 75,000$49,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,725.58 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4991…5ecdbacked Hawks | 33c | 62,655$20,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,978.63 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Hawks | 49c | 59,129$29,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,991.38 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Lakers | 65c | 50,908$33,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,317.83 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Lakers | 62c | 40,008$24,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,891.11 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b6…630cbacked Hawks | 39c | 30,934$12,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,906.69 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Hawks | 34c | 26,471$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,470.59 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Hawks | 34c | 25,686$8,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,952.93 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb6…3009backed Hawks | 39c | 25,000$9,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,249.96 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Lakers | 39c | 24,755$9,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,536.88 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lakers | 65c | 21,836$14,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,133.95 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Lakers | 62c | 20,073$12,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,445.25 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Lakers | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Hawks | 37c | 20,000$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,599.99 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Hawks | 59c | 18,312$10,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,573.38 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Lakers | 60c | 16,593$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Hawks | 34c | 16,523$5,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,941.06 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1252…dec2backed Lakers | 54c | 15,000$8,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,120 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Hawks | 33c | 15,000$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,049.99 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xebf1…1d5dbacked Lakers | 67c | 14,922$9,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,997.53 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Hawks | 35c | 14,207$4,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,255.98 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Lakers | 67c | 12,031$8,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,100 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Hawks | 36c | 11,667$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,466.67 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…bfb9backed Lakers | 1c | 11,393$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Hawks | 37c | 11,005$4,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,894.05 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hawks | 34c | 10,500$3,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,904.99 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Lakers | 55c | 10,000$5,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,507 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Lakers | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 385 | 45.7%176 W · 209 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Hawks | 39c | 9,159$3,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,562.67 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Lakers | 53c | 8,422$4,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,459.5 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Lakers | 54c | 8,121$4,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,403.35 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Hawks | 50c | 8,017$3,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,033.29 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Lakers | 68c | 6,948$4,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,724.64 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Lakers | 66c | 6,923$4,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,596.57 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…74e1backed Hawks | 71c | 6,642$4,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.05 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Hawks | 40c | 6,605$2,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,963.26 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe887…05cabacked Lakers | 64c | 6,540$4,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,185.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Hawks | 70c | 6,394$4,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,906.56 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Hawks | 36c | 6,257$2,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,020.46 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Lakers | 58c | 6,100$3,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,540.99 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…a53abacked Hawks | 41c | 6,000$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,540 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…6d22backed Lakers | 60c | 6,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Lakers | 67c | 5,849$3,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,918.92 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -9.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf7…9189backed Lakers | 20c | 5,844$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Lakers | 53c | 5,484$2,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,932 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Hawks | 35c | 5,468$1,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,549.42 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Hawks | 36c | 5,253$1,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,351.6 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef4…32a1backed Hawks | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Lakers | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed Lakers | 60c | 4,980$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Lakers | 62c | 4,837$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Lakers | 45c | 4,726$2,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,118.47 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6734…2e18backed Lakers | 67c | 4,576$3,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,065.99 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x072a…3e85backed Hawks | 39c | 4,463$1,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,719.15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Lakers | 2c | 4,300$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.45 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Lakers | 66c | 4,022$2,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,654.81 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Hawks | 34c | 4,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…353fbacked Hawks | 35c | 4,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.99 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19fd…5838backed Hawks | 39c | 3,892$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,365.17 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x991e…f4abbacked Lakers | 52c | 3,813$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.1 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Hawks | 33c | 3,697$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,476.99 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hawks | 34c | 3,550$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,343 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Hawks | 36c | 3,471$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,210.91 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…a33dbacked Lakers | 7c | 3,400$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 109 | 14.7%16 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Hawks | 61c | 3,121$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.7 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Hawks | 35c | 3,100$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,014.96 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Lakers | 47c | 3,047$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.41 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Hawks | 39c | 3,043$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.89 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Hawks | 36c | 3,038$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958.79 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Lakers | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Hawks | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Lakers | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Lakers | 1c | 3,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Hawks | 40c | 2,998$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,798.99 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa83b…0e4abacked Lakers | 67c | 2,985$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Hawks | 35c | 2,913$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,902.9 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Hawks | 54c | 2,866$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.45 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lakers | 63c | 2,684$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702.01 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Hawks | 37c | 2,527$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,604.32 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Lakers | 50c | 2,500$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e9…dee1backed Lakers | 64c | 2,500$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.99 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -6.0wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Hawks | 33c | 2,329$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.13 | 243 | 30.9%75 W · 168 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Hawks | 38c | 2,250$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.46 | 399 | 58.4%233 W · 166 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Hawks | 60c | 2,195$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.46 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0986…9c4bbacked Lakers | 55c | 2,193$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Hawks | 36c | 2,173$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.49 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Hawks | 62c | 2,110$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.15 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5128…13d9backed Lakers | 32c | 2,100$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +117.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Hawks | 39c | 2,100$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.99 | 194 | 41.2%80 W · 114 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Hawks | 78c | 2,035$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.32 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Lakers | 50c | 2,015$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.63 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Lakers | 61c | 2,000$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Lakers | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…25b0backed Lakers | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Hawks | 39c | 1,984$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.07 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1520…378fbacked Hawks | 39c | 1,942$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.74 | 204 | 53.9%110 W · 94 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…152bbacked Hawks | 39c | 1,908$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.86 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked Lakers | 34c | 1,868$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.48 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Hawksthis page
- Lakers vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Lakers vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Hawks: O/U 228.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Hawks: O/U 229.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Hawks: O/U 230.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Hawks: O/U 231.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Hawks: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Lakers (-5.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.