NBA · resolved market

Spread: Lakers (-3.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb51bbba0fa0bf2584bf77e64ebdb4aa970fa80ae5d43d1a6e9935695e6f1019c

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Hawksof Lakers, Hawks
Resolved: Nov 9, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $150,815
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $150,758

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,815 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbc10…3f05backed Lakers	50c	30,000$15,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,000	96	50%48 W · 48 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x0cb6…3009backed Hawks	50c	21,155$10,578 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,577.56	54	42.6%23 W · 31 L	-3.8wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Lakers	51c	20,000$10,181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,180.63	382	48.7%186 W · 196 L	+13.9wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Hawks	49c	19,642$9,625 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,017.5	193	51.3%99 W · 94 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Lakers	54c	5,659$3,062 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,061.63	361	48.5%175 W · 186 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Lakers	50c	5,370$2,660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,660.24	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Hawks	45c	5,341$2,377 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,963.84	2,265	43.4%982 W · 1,283 L	-26.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Hawks	52c	4,935$2,543 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,392.72	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Hawks	46c	4,546$2,084 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,462.04	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Lakers	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	474	48.7%231 W · 243 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Hawks	44c	4,000$1,760 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,240	662	50.8%336 W · 326 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Lakers	56c	3,974$2,225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,225.5	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Lakers	51c	3,500$1,785 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,785	477	48.8%233 W · 244 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Lakers	54c	3,046$1,649 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,649.37	180	47.8%86 W · 94 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Lakers	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	1,451	49.7%721 W · 730 L	+18.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Hawks	51c	3,000$1,530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,470	589	51.3%302 W · 287 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb43…9d70backed Lakers	58c	2,281$1,334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,334.34	89	36%32 W · 57 L	-6.7wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdec6…1d8ebacked Lakers	55c	2,000$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Lakers	56c	1,486$835 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$835	140	40%56 W · 84 L	+10.4wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Lakers	51c	1,375$701 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$701.35	192	49.5%95 W · 97 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Lakers	55c	1,195$659 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$659.28	390	51.5%201 W · 189 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0989…4a26backed Lakers	59c	1,137$666 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$666.29	6	50%3 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Hawks	49c	1,064$526 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$538.5	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hawks	47c	1,010$472 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$538.28	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcce0…9fbcbacked Lakers	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd97c…aedbbacked Lakers	57c	977.4$555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$555	184	52.7%97 W · 87 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Hawks	49c	798.98$391 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$407.77	801	48.3%387 W · 414 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Hawks	45c	752.75$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$413.23	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb307…be4abacked Lakers	50c	480$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	188	42.6%80 W · 108 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	+2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7774…15d4backed Lakers	52c	477.52$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.31	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Hawks	49c	462.15$226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.7	418	48.3%202 W · 216 L	-7.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc79…6b98backed Lakers	57c	428.07$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x443d…017fbacked Hawks	52c	290.35$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.35	235	50.2%118 W · 117 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8328…0a5cbacked Lakers	52c	260.67$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.55	368	42.4%156 W · 212 L	-8.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Lakers	50c	248$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab33…cf5dbacked Lakers	57c	210.53$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	23	69.6%16 W · 7 L	+4.7wins	+0.20per pick	49cpaid	+56.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x69c2…40cfbacked Lakers	58c	200$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116	481	32.6%157 W · 324 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Hawks	49c	195.97$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.84	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc1…ffeebacked Lakers	52c	192.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	369	43.4%160 W · 209 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69c4…09a3backed Lakers	52c	192.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	102	50%51 W · 51 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Lakers	57c	175.44$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	78	43.6%34 W · 44 L	-4.8wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Lakers	50c	173.03$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.18	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Lakers	50c	162$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45d6…36cbbacked Lakers	52c	153.85$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	245	33.9%83 W · 162 L	-19.1wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Lakers	50c	140$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x661e…81d6backed Lakers	56c	133.93$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	157	59.9%94 W · 63 L	+9.5wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Lakers	55c	120$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.6	774	37.5%290 W · 484 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked Lakers	52c	111.54$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	176	44.9%79 W · 97 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked Lakers	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	549	51.9%285 W · 264 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x646c…3210backed Lakers	51c	100$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	89	42.7%38 W · 51 L	-7.2wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Hawks	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	346	45.7%158 W · 188 L	+12.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54ae…32c2backed Lakers	49c	100$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	76	53.9%41 W · 35 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1321…2286backed Hawks	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	43	39.5%17 W · 26 L	-3.7wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xae4d…fc45backed Lakers	52c	96.15$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	116	26.7%31 W · 85 L	-16.8wins	-0.15per pick	41cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2556…b00ebacked Lakers	52c	96.15$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-13%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09e4…6c67backed Lakers	51c	78.43$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0a1…6daebacked Lakers	52c	76.92$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	224	42.9%96 W · 128 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Hawks	45c	75$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.25	1,109	41.8%464 W · 645 L	-20.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed Lakers	58c	70$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.6	403	46.2%186 W · 217 L	+9.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x895d…4970backed Lakers	49c	68.69$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	126	46.8%59 W · 67 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Lakers	51c	68.63$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	377	55.7%210 W · 167 L	+11.1wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe45d…f77ebacked Lakers	51c	68.63$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	253	36.8%93 W · 160 L	-10.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd3b…51dabacked Lakers	58c	67.24$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	46	56.5%26 W · 20 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x357b…7b85backed Lakers	51c	64.71$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c7…9bdebacked Lakers	56c	62.43$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.96	147	64.6%95 W · 52 L	+9.0wins	+0.06per pick	58cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a4f…c4f2backed Lakers	56c	62$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.72	320	41.9%134 W · 186 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd96b…46dfbacked Lakers	55c	60$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.9wins	-0.18per pick	45cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4b8…68a5backed Lakers	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	65	56.9%37 W · 28 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Hawks	48c	54.1$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.13	724	50.7%367 W · 357 L	+13.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x162e…94a4backed Lakers	52c	54.1$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.13	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-4.7wins	-0.20per pick	51cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4cc7…908dbacked Lakers	56c	53.57$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	166	50%83 W · 83 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dff…bc36backed Hawks	49c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.5	72	43.1%31 W · 41 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcaf…3ca6backed Lakers	52c	48.08$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	45	42.2%19 W · 26 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d2b…6a1dbacked Lakers	52c	48.08$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	51	60.8%31 W · 20 L	+3.8wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c68…fea4backed Lakers	52c	48.08$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa047…f4c5backed Lakers	52c	47.12$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	72	52.8%38 W · 34 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Hawks	48c	45.77$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.66	327	43.4%142 W · 185 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Lakers	57c	44.38$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.3	1,695	44.7%758 W · 937 L	-30.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11e1…f2d8backed Lakers	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xfd99…f375backed Lakers	40c	40$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	381	51.2%195 W · 186 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x835e…f46ebacked Lakers	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeda9…a43fbacked Lakers	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-2.8wins	-0.20per pick	48cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked Lakers	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	358	51.7%185 W · 173 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3e1…61edbacked Lakers	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	-3.2wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9816…28a7backed Lakers	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a68…33bfbacked Lakers	52c	34.62$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	56	50%28 W · 28 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5cb…9c55backed Lakers	58c	34.32$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	77	46.8%36 W · 41 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bca…2414backed Lakers	59c	33.9$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3cf…3183backed Hawks	51c	32$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.68	70	52.9%37 W · 33 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x709f…635abacked Lakers	50c	31.98$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.99	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	-4.6wins	-0.20per pick	42cpaid	-66%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x04ee…be10backed Lakers	51c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.3	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.8wins	+0.22per pick	40cpaid	+45.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b83…ed1dbacked Lakers	52c	28.85$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-2.6wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x417d…62c7backed Lakers	52c	28.56$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.85	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-3.2wins	-0.17per pick	59cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ac7…03efbacked Lakers	55c	27.27$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	74	55.4%41 W · 33 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcaba…ba7cbacked Lakers	57c	26.32$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	-6.0wins	-0.19per pick	56cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcd2b…e3b1backed Hawks	49c	24.49$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.49	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Hawks	53c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.4	290	46.9%136 W · 154 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x487c…cc28backed Lakers	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-18%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb3…2868backed Lakers	55c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	66cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x218e…e49dbacked Lakers	56c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	482	55%265 W · 217 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Lakers (-3.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event