TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,468,798
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,721,679

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,468,798 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8977…22ffbacked No8c66,897$5,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,565.361414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-57.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb40…3612backed No0c37,784$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.357416.2%12 W · 62 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-57.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13ce…bf33backed No1c32,391$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.22560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked No1c23,359$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.51344.5%6 W · 128 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68bd…290fbacked No6c21,436$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,222.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4670…1987backed No1c14,670$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x377e…a9d3backed No3c10,449$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.2740%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb49c…5f2fbacked No1c9,397$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.3130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3969…6e2cbacked No1c9,292$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.514814.6%7 W · 41 L-0.1wins0.00per pick15cpaid+46.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c9e…db3dbacked No2c8,551$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.091494.7%7 W · 142 L+0.3wins0.00per pick5cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa40c…8192backed No1c8,524$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.591020%2 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-63.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked No1c7,920$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.164440.7%3 W · 441 L-0.7wins0.00per pick1cpaid-87.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3f8…47a5backed No1c7,678$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x630e…2f2fbacked No7c7,143$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4e6…1f9cbacked No1c6,714$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed No2c6,710$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.42939.2%27 W · 266 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick10cpaid+25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48aa…f069backed No1c6,145$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6760%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8f29…dd03backed No8c6,097$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006434.4%22 W · 42 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+36.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4f2…7862backed No1c5,630$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.54425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick13cpaid-52.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0ae…9b16backed No8c5,512$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.962416.7%4 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-55.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a8…00c7backed No7c5,130$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.137238.9%28 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba9e…58debacked No0c5,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2060%0 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe10…95cbbacked No2c4,132$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.122528%7 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x73d2…4693backed No1c3,333$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7f2…5171backed No1c3,258$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x384a…7d61backed No1c3,250$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadaf…f9f2backed No6c2,998$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.285626.8%15 W · 41 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+19.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed No2c2,959$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.586883.6%25 W · 663 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-59.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf75f…fd61backed No3c2,908$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb49f…12e6backed No1c2,874$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.71650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08cd…9db9backed No7c2,857$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-47.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed No0c2,623$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No13c2,471$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.2457636.3%209 W · 367 L-27.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2199…de97backed No1c2,429$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fe…8556backed No8c2,420$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.31533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-22.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd23…7581backed No8c2,405$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20080%0 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf515…e56bbacked No9c2,376$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2202634.6%9 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x712c…de39backed No1c2,088$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b51…47ecbacked No7c2,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3551…2b59backed No1c2,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6b2…072bbacked No6c1,697$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.841330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick27cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed No2c1,557$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.214766.5%31 W · 445 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60cc…f23fbacked No5c1,552$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.6118214.8%27 W · 155 L+11.4wins+0.06per pick9cpaid+218.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2034…8daebacked No3c1,500$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.57423%17 W · 57 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31c3…6f98backed No1c1,429$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed No6c1,400$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8934726.8%93 W · 254 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2454…2cf2backed No9c1,213$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.6330%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba14…a571backed No2c1,043$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.34450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe48d…44fabacked No9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90837.5%3 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick13cpaid+64.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5085…d8a4backed No7c1,000$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654533.3%15 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+31.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc178…35b3backed Yes57c969.22$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.763762.2%23 W · 14 L+4.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb052…ff06backed No5c893.92$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.24529.6%5 W · 47 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-76.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed No6c871.71$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.41728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-37.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21d0…ce91backed No6c804.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5713413.4%18 W · 116 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick12cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1008…d2efbacked No8c750$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601533.3%5 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-43.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf383…92c6backed No3c714$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f77…fdb8backed No3c666.67$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ff4…17d1backed No8c650$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523221.9%7 W · 25 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-35.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c01…6123backed No3c606.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x557e…e1d1backed No8c600$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-66.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeeb4…21c1backed No2c595$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.161010%1 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick25cpaid-87%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a8d…d29ebacked No4c593.41$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-60.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe952…3f28backed No3c593.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-60.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca5a…8734backed No3c551$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee45…e03bbacked No3c547$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f8a…088cbacked No4c547$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07e5…23c5backed No3c545$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a45…9d4abacked Yes58c517$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.144957.1%28 W · 21 L+7.8wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+59.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xd240…c04dbacked No3c501$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked No2c481.86$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.43823.7%9 W · 29 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-40%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0a9…83c5backed No3c468$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d7a…b0adbacked No3c462$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11b2…7c70backed No7c448.81$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312313%3 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick8cpaid-33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe7f…4856backed No9c447.27$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44bb…10b3backed No3c442$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe62c…5a5fbacked No3c418$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x414b…0d3fbacked No6c400$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2413334.6%46 W · 87 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x902f…98aebacked No3c400$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc21…9eb9backed No3c399.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b3b…2ae7backed No3c381$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02d5…15a0backed No9c379.33$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.14616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-39.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f79…b4c7backed No3c367$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x657f…8945backed No3c354$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x362b…d311backed No3c341$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0230%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd3…77aabacked No3c335$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24bd…bc21backed No5c328$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfc0…5301backed No5c325$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e8d…5a27backed No7c323.68$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.561256.4%8 W · 117 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e28…6528backed No6c316.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No8c300$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518628.5%53 W · 133 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab07…e6f1backed No4c300$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.52133.3%7 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+87.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked No14c299.98$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4220325.6%52 W · 151 L-0.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe947…7a45backed No7c275.3$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2717044.1%75 W · 95 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0213…84c3backed No7c271.86$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.03425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-67.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed No8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205132.9%15 W · 498 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+88.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb504…e09ebacked No9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1856314.6%82 W · 481 L-39.3wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-46.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x962e…3babbacked No9c177$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a1c…5556backed No10c173.8$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f87…1ff2backed No8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.