TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will ODS win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,100,241
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$797,645

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,100,241 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes1c121,542$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.123614.4%16 W · 345 L-0.4wins0.00per pick5cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes0c66,691$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.971494.7%7 W · 142 L+0.3wins0.00per pick5cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cbb…374abacked Yes1c61,252$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.5950%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c57,000$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724440.7%3 W · 441 L-0.7wins0.00per pick1cpaid-87.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1377…4cc3backed Yes0c29,818$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8630%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bd5…061dbacked Yes1c29,067$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a86…dea8backed Yes5c25,484$1,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,188.7548224.7%119 W · 363 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb49c…5f2fbacked Yes0c24,326$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.7130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8977…22ffbacked Yes5c23,697$1,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,247.431414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-57.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes0c21,746$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.561344.5%6 W · 128 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0965…33bebacked Yes0c21,190$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3757…b838backed Yes0c10,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-54.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x457a…44debacked Yes3c9,582$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.132334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb7a…dfc1backed Yes2c8,749$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.441030%3 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick15cpaid+126.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b51…47ecbacked Yes4c7,933$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.5720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ba4…f8c2backed Yes3c7,461$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.41471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+13.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x53b9…4cf5backed Yes1c6,694$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0ac…76ffbacked Yes2c6,538$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3868…5683backed Yes0c6,192$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5880%0 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x48aa…f069backed Yes0c5,833$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2060%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed Yes2c5,741$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.412939.2%27 W · 266 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick10cpaid+25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54de…bd98backed Yes4c5,644$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.27per pick28cpaid+34.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x72a4…7a18backed Yes1c5,593$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x384a…7d61backed Yes0c5,509$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21d0…ce91backed Yes4c5,315$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.3413413.4%18 W · 116 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick12cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3171…7384backed Yes0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Yes3c4,687$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.32944.4%4 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick20cpaid+76.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa40c…8192backed Yes0c4,167$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201020%2 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-63.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc6b2…072bbacked Yes3c4,111$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.911330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick27cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes6c3,999$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.623823.7%9 W · 29 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-40%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9781…bc2abacked Yes0c3,488$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb46d…7093backed Yes4c2,848$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.38519.8%5 W · 46 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick12cpaid+93.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7d0…2872backed Yes5c2,518$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.4220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4e2…1546backed Yes4c2,349$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002630.8%8 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9d9…2f53backed Yes0c2,030$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c66…6b66backed Yes1c2,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13684.4%3 W · 65 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+417.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe1e…0a89backed Yes5c1,933$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-58%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x945e…4057backed Yes1c1,741$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe47e…577dbacked Yes1c1,740$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes2c1,661$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.326883.6%25 W · 663 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-59.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes2c1,500$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.55132.9%15 W · 498 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+88.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fbc…3099backed Yes1c1,436$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+23.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2454…2cf2backed Yes5c1,390$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0577…f955backed Yes5c1,334$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d34…79b1backed Yes3c1,326$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb052…ff06backed Yes2c1,307$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.48529.6%5 W · 47 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-76.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33e5…6ffcbacked Yes5c1,209$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4918…7c6fbacked Yes5c1,111$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4081…cfb0backed Yes4c1,051$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.083417.6%6 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick8cpaid+152.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec60…5434backed Yes5c1,002$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.120%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5085…d8a4backed Yes3c1,000$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334533.3%15 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+31.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8f8…4dbfbacked Yes7c1,000$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ff4…17d1backed Yes5c977.19$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.633221.9%7 W · 25 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-35.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes2c936.88$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.044766.5%31 W · 445 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6aa4…8ec7backed Yes1c919$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc41d…4476backed Yes3c899$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9b8…6d64backed Yes1c887.16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb52f…954fbacked Yes4c786.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301030%3 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x003f…43e1backed Yes2c727$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4a3…8992backed Yes3c724.05$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.451040%4 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick23cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes3c704.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.11,02228%286 W · 736 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-34.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a3b…4b18backed Yes3c703$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d42…f046backed Yes4c701.91$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.111656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d66…a385backed Yes4c700$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.82516%4 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick12cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07e7…a343backed Yes3c695$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.89551.8%1 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43b5…6328backed Yes2c695$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec48…baeebacked Yes4c695$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85ab…15f9backed Yes1c691.35$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick33cpaid-83.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd006…65b0backed Yes2c673$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ce3…a050backed Yes2c651$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d01…1645backed Yes3c570.09$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2512029.2%35 W · 85 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+49.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e8…67fbbacked Yes2c570$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11b2…7c70backed Yes3c566.25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162313%3 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick8cpaid-33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c1d…692dbacked Yes5c503$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.65250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-34.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e90…92dabacked Yes2c502$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf87…3497backed Yes7c498$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8630%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94ad…5982backed Yes3c488$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1530%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd12…c9eebacked Yes2c486$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe085…bec6backed Yes2c480$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbf1…2f08backed Yes3c468$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbf0…b2c4backed Yes2c448$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99be…adfebacked Yes2c433$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51cc…564cbacked Yes5c402$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d05…1ccabacked Yes5c396$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.59250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c63…c452backed Yes4c391$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2530%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd5c…1c48backed Yes5c390$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8da9…e5b5backed Yes3c389$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes3c386.28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.281256.4%8 W · 117 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4439…9c3cbacked Yes5c377.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20100%0 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c4b…90babacked Yes4c375$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb31e…5344backed Yes5c370$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcaa0…2b23backed Yes3c368$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf75…c745backed Yes4c367.72$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.37per pick43cpaid+84.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2733…8740backed Yes3c357.14$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102227.3%6 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf91e…738abacked Yes4c347$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cb5…75d2backed Yes5c341$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7930%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0999…1d75backed Yes5c331$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b44…2a21backed Yes3c330$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ad1…cc6ebacked Yes5c326$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6330%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b2b…4f82backed Yes4c318$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.