World Politics · resolved market
Will Pirates win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b1cafab17aaa138174c8096872df64552a204885f61cc5c626f6fac9e4e0025
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,017,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,050,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,017,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 0c | 610,589$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.21 | 68 | 4.4%3 W · 65 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +417.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…4a6dbacked Yes | 0c | 83,730$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 83,000$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 40,086$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.88 | 412 | 1%4 W · 408 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +171.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 36,987$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.38 | 361 | 4.4%16 W · 345 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac7d…5be1backed Yes | 0c | 20,900$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x377e…a9d3backed Yes | 0c | 16,762$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.52 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 14,987$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.44 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1e…0a89backed Yes | 1c | 14,101$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -58%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec8…3d7cbacked Yes | 0c | 13,900$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…ff06backed Yes | 0c | 13,309$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.43 | 52 | 9.6%5 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe338…2ae7backed Yes | 0c | 8,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ff…10d0backed Yes | 0c | 8,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 0cpaid | +8,233.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9f…a441backed Yes | 0c | 8,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 8,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa493…f3edbacked Yes | 1c | 8,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e7…a343backed Yes | 0c | 7,500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 55 | 1.8%1 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5480…0cf2backed Yes | 1c | 6,500$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 1c | 6,298$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 134 | 13.4%18 W · 116 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb25…da91backed Yes | 0c | 6,200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53f3…a357backed Yes | 1c | 5,125$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02fb…6efdbacked Yes | 1c | 4,850$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fe…7708backed Yes | 1c | 4,806$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc133…95a6backed Yes | 1c | 4,800$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Yes | 1c | 4,529$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c42…ebf9backed Yes | 0c | 4,348$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ac…7165backed Yes | 0c | 4,100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…7581backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…380dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,620$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…1ba7backed Yes | 1c | 2,160$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pirates win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?this page
- Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?Yes won
- Will AUTO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No won
- Will Greens win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No won
- Will ODS win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No won
- Will Přísaha win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No won
- Will SOCDEM win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No won
- Will SPD win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No won
- Will STAN win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No won
- Will Stačilo! win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.