F1 · resolved market
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa56ac5f70b0a4ac821cfe4ac8ddce319633aef33063546b55b0ad7da3325f207
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,895,977
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,071,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,895,977 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 9,244 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 51c | 506,834$258,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258,033.74 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 5c | 302,799$14,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,645.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 30c | 139,199$41,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,773.42 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x612f…aa53backed Yes | 54c | 108,935$59,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,194.05 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed No | 1c | 105,521$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,473.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +1,196.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ce…beecbacked Yes | 5c | 74,875$3,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,547.21 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…8e95backed Yes | 5c | 74,336$3,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,589.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes | 36c | 73,066$26,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,193.12 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ff…c93bbacked Yes | 56c | 62,776$35,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,461.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Yes | 59c | 52,156$30,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,546.12 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 7c | 48,742$3,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,596.17 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86e8…f3c5backed Yes | 63c | 46,000$28,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,979.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed Yes | 9c | 45,193$3,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,888.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked No | 13c | 43,527$5,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,766.07 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.30per pick | 17cpaid | +109.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x23b9…0b21backed Yes | 7c | 40,152$2,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,901.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b7…eb22backed Yes | 38c | 38,177$14,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,518.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d20…8d60backed Yes | 27c | 36,858$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3394…2373backed Yes | 52c | 34,613$17,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,998.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb75…098bbacked No | 48c | 34,613$16,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,998.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…ec33backed Yes | 14c | 33,625$4,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,740 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…bec3backed Yes | 55c | 31,394$17,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,203.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…42f2backed No | 45c | 31,394$14,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,203.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +121.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe689…784ebacked Yes | 5c | 31,360$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 57c | 30,931$17,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,677.18 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 3c | 30,811$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce29…3518backed Yes | 60c | 30,338$18,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,197.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…f429backed Yes | 7c | 29,796$1,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,947.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d08backed Yes | 8c | 28,758$2,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,363.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…2be2backed Yes | 58c | 28,256$16,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,275.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…0686backed No | 42c | 28,256$11,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,275.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +135.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 21c | 27,944$5,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,982.65 | 92 | 23.9%22 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3051…c1f2backed Yes | 3c | 27,370$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes | 52c | 25,474$13,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,333.22 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8523…1c9fbacked No | 68c | 24,519$16,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,738.83 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…6578backed Yes | 4c | 24,499$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.67 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes | 5c | 24,326$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.35 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e31…d5fdbacked Yes | 5c | 22,863$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4113…b335backed Yes | 4c | 22,377$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…c8ebbacked Yes | 1c | 21,757$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Yes | 12c | 21,370$2,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,666.92 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b1a…2232backed Yes | 38c | 21,224$7,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,984.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…60a6backed Yes | 5c | 20,398$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb704…dc1ebacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…b118backed Yes | 6c | 20,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8679…4659backed Yes | 52c | 19,854$10,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,264.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 40c | 19,240$7,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,756.41 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +178.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2501…5a20backed Yes | 72c | 19,068$13,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,642.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…44bebacked Yes | 7c | 18,950$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 5c | 18,869$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.46 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 35c | 18,848$6,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,515.54 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed Yes | 27c | 18,768$5,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,041.79 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…4e09backed Yes | 28c | 18,681$5,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,261.26 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 57c | 18,221$10,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,374.11 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6c…5ab5backed Yes | 10c | 18,199$1,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,903.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd829…95f9backed Yes | 20c | 17,965$3,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,628 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x521b…a733backed Yes | 4c | 17,297$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa988…ed6fbacked Yes | 6c | 16,993$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c05…0205backed Yes | 6c | 16,635$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…50c6backed Yes | 8c | 16,560$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.35 | 159 | 22%35 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…aec1backed Yes | 6c | 16,229$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad14…ce36backed Yes | 23c | 15,918$3,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,652.01 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 19c | 15,907$3,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,888.38 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…3e71backed Yes | 1c | 15,231$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 32c | 14,810$4,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,772.84 | 125 | 23.2%29 W · 96 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9810…f117backed Yes | 64c | 14,784$9,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,439.89 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 30c | 14,565$4,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,363.88 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa43…cbdfbacked Yes | 66c | 14,043$9,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,312.81 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 31c | 13,356$4,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,073.85 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…3501backed No | 80c | 13,333$10,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,666.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf314…bc3abacked Yes | 2c | 13,297$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bff…c76abacked Yes | 8c | 13,231$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 13,066$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.27 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059e…be2cbacked Yes | 4c | 12,853$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…8b5ebacked No | 35c | 12,835$4,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,406.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 35cpaid | +189.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac4…c333backed No | 35c | 12,758$4,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,356.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 35cpaid | +189.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e71…bfa5backed Yes | 8c | 12,726$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 3c | 12,438$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed Yes | 63c | 12,079$7,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,609.86 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a0…1bf0backed Yes | 27c | 12,000$3,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,264.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 78c | 11,978$9,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,297.54 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 37c | 11,837$4,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,457.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 11,792$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.47 | 57 | 0%0 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes | 50c | 11,511$5,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,771.18 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Yes | 22c | 11,279$2,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,470 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3945…27dabacked Yes | 26c | 11,100$2,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,864.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…3c38backed Yes | 39c | 11,029$4,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,279.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 18c | 10,811$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4150…bd37backed Yes | 5c | 10,709$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 6c | 10,696$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.41 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Yes | 79c | 10,475$8,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,264.44 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 43c | 10,389$4,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,959.59 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 33c | 10,250$3,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,402.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked Yes | 1c | 10,243$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11fb…31d6backed Yes | 4c | 10,140$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.56 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 24c | 10,105$2,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450.58 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c1…fa46backed Yes | 1c | 10,028$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 4cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07a1…e2c9backed Yes | 6c | 10,000$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6431…3542backed Yes | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7a…a985backed Yes | 10c | 9,868$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?this page
- Will Alexander Albon be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No won
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No won
- Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No won
- Will Esteban Ocon be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No won
- Will Fernando Alonso be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No won
- Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No won
- Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No won
- Will Isack Hadjar be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No won
- Will Jack Doohan be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No won
- Will Lance Stroll be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No won
- Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes won
- Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No won
- Will Liam Lawson be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No won
- Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No won
- Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No won
- Will Oliver Bearman be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No won
- Will Pierre Gasly be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No won
- Will Yuki Tsunoda be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.