TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,484,175
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,942,915

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,484,175 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes0c2,584,370$3,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,776.342412.5%3 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick13cpaid-74.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Yes1c228,365$2,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,864.263417.6%6 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick14cpaid-64.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x310d…b64dbacked Yes1c196,523$1,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,572.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19da…f2dfbacked Yes0c106,500$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cf…ec5ebacked Yes0c106,000$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90f1…1e81backed Yes0c105,100$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ef7…2d7ebacked Yes0c105,100$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac9e…254cbacked Yes0c105,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1941…9b20backed Yes0c104,000$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55b5…7c9fbacked Yes0c103,900$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96b7…c260backed Yes0c103,777$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fe6…31e6backed Yes0c103,111$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa35a…e629backed Yes0c102,615$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23f6…dec4backed Yes0c102,222$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2982…a164backed Yes0c101,688$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b9…06ddbacked Yes0c101,311$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.8320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18f4…695ebacked Yes0c100,783$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd592…d8a7backed Yes0c100,555$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c100,533$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.67352.9%1 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-52.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cef…6486backed Yes0c100,183$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x667a…c003backed Yes0c100,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa38…36b3backed Yes0c97,000$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedde…2db4backed Yes0c97,000$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0376…4c5abacked Yes0c83,010$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb55…6f2fbacked Yes0c79,912$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c78,120$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.98570%0 W · 57 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f2f…b41bbacked Yes0c77,872$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf749…9991backed Yes0c73,765$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c66…6b66backed Yes0c70,844$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.06283.6%1 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-91.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x351b…4d06backed Yes0c58,500$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117120%0 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1802…d00fbacked Yes0c55,167$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.6780%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2890…dd5dbacked Yes0c54,163$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…1641backed Yes0c51,853$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f0b…bcd2backed Yes0c47,198$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9733…7deebacked Yes0c46,887$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89e7…7d85backed Yes0c46,730$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb7a…a861backed Yes0c44,380$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x589e…f0d6backed Yes0c42,200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8958…3aa4backed Yes0c42,000$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd003…de33backed Yes0c41,205$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x555f…afabbacked Yes0c36,076$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12cf…08e3backed Yes0c35,903$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ec…6064backed Yes0c33,703$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.81110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x612f…aa53backed Yes0c33,417$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.344047.5%19 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick36cpaid-2.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8f65…fcf9backed Yes0c32,595$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bfe…e92ebacked Yes0c28,000$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4141…7d1fbacked Yes0c27,109$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x939a…6e91backed Yes0c27,047$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e60…b440backed Yes0c25,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012419.4%24 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ac3…87c9backed Yes0c21,500$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca16…8c10backed Yes0c21,495$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.9870%0 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66fc…c44fbacked Yes0c20,065$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0f3…3464backed Yes1c20,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c3c…bd35backed Yes0c20,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2eb7…7e01backed Yes0c19,990$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x411f…548cbacked Yes0c17,580$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4439…9c3cbacked Yes0c17,500$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3550%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ec9…32d2backed Yes0c17,305$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35fd…e721backed Yes0c16,940$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18d5…9d1ebacked Yes0c16,670$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b2d…f0d4backed Yes1c15,222$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c12,805$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.51490%0 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f52…8c44backed Yes0c10,670$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf908…ded2backed Yes0c10,667$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4eb0…43d1backed Yes0c10,220$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.88812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick8cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38cf…1d60backed Yes0c10,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a41…7cf8backed Yes0c10,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf80…970cbacked Yes0c9,060$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes0c9,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13190%0 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b10…232abacked Yes0c8,970$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x630a…fc10backed Yes0c8,925$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc97…13c0backed Yes0c8,760$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0404…7480backed Yes0c8,713$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40b2…984ebacked Yes0c8,420$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes1c8,169$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.01248.3%2 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick8cpaid-85.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8de0…98dcbacked Yes0c8,000$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbec…16c4backed Yes0c8,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe07…d839backed Yes1c7,500$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.56835.3%24 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bd7…1540backed Yes0c7,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30c4…96f6backed Yes0c6,900$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8544…3abebacked Yes0c6,900$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes0c6,795$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.183633.3%12 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-32.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x099f…43b7backed Yes0c6,300$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x038c…c922backed Yes0c6,184$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes0c6,000$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.69219.6%18 W · 74 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19fc…66f0backed Yes0c5,990$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60cf…5385backed Yes0c5,895$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x869b…f96ebacked Yes0c5,890$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Yes0c5,800$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4120%0 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdf3…28b9backed Yes0c5,665$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x879f…d070backed Yes0c5,180$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf333…5086backed Yes0c5,010$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf05…eb34backed Yes0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d9f…8772backed Yes0c5,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2060%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe62d…a9dabacked Yes0c5,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2090%0 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x721f…127fbacked Yes0c4,750$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89ed…44d5backed Yes0c4,250$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43ac…e96bbacked Yes0c4,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes0c3,330$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.647233.3%24 W · 48 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d78…7f03backed Yes0c3,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.