F1 · resolved market
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cf7ca2ab303017fd3169f7ce40357ea6b46672dbb79935ba3e0a0c893b96f03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,092,515
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,756,845
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,092,515 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes | 0c | 1,949,494$2,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.3 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 0c | 498,101$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.68 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 364,935$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.99 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Yes | 0c | 132,988$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.98 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 52,153$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.57 | 57 | 0%0 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecb…a0d0backed Yes | 0c | 42,460$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e13…4c38backed Yes | 0c | 41,600$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…834cbacked Yes | 0c | 38,950$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…25d2backed Yes | 0c | 36,000$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198d…e4c1backed Yes | 0c | 25,500$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Yes | 0c | 25,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…5a14backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd383…d0bdbacked Yes | 0c | 21,500$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588e…f2a3backed Yes | 0c | 17,500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d26…43aabacked Yes | 0c | 16,610$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…caf6backed Yes | 0c | 16,462$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes | 0c | 16,300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf90f…0f4cbacked Yes | 0c | 15,320$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e57…fc66backed Yes | 0c | 13,595$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5a…8be4backed Yes | 0c | 13,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4277…276cbacked Yes | 0c | 12,700$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 11,216$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 49 | 0%0 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 0c | 11,111$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4439…9c3cbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2e…8bc7backed Yes | 0c | 8,387$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb922…9888backed Yes | 0c | 8,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20f8…f21fbacked Yes | 0c | 8,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f45…44bdbacked Yes | 0c | 7,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa6…4da4backed Yes | 0c | 6,780$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcda…f2a6backed Yes | 0c | 6,604$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1edc…f8a0backed Yes | 0c | 6,475$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…5f57backed Yes | 0c | 6,305$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e98…a527backed Yes | 0c | 6,092$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ab…373abacked Yes | 0c | 5,820$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1e…5118backed Yes | 0c | 5,680$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…56d7backed Yes | 0c | 5,665$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x407b…1dbdbacked Yes | 0c | 5,327$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x308d…d747backed Yes | 0c | 5,010$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedd3…a060backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…8d26backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x384d…024dbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…d2e3backed Yes | 0c | 3,667$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4dd1backed Yes | 0c | 3,657$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…e08dbacked Yes | 0c | 3,527$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8aa…b890backed Yes | 0c | 3,467$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29da…8ba5backed Yes | 0c | 3,460$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2966…4e4ebacked Yes | 0c | 3,427$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490d…472bbacked Yes | 0c | 3,357$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9e…9606backed Yes | 0c | 3,343$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…b028backed Yes | 0c | 3,340$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pierre Gasly be the 2025 Drivers Champion?this page
- Will Alexander Albon be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No won
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No won
- Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No won
- Will Esteban Ocon be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No won
- Will Fernando Alonso be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No won
- Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No won
- Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No won
- Will Isack Hadjar be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No won
- Will Jack Doohan be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No won
- Will Lance Stroll be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No won
- Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes won
- Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No won
- Will Liam Lawson be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No won
- Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No won
- Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No won
- Will Oliver Bearman be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No won
- Will Yuki Tsunoda be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.