TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Esteban Ocon be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,589,358
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,956,812

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,589,358 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9c66…6b66backed Yes0c660,018$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.02283.6%1 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-91.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c416,026$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.46352.9%1 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-52.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ec…6064backed Yes0c348,353$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.06110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Yes0c298,513$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.463417.6%6 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick14cpaid-64.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7bd…2a37backed Yes0c140,850$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.8530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41c6…58a1backed Yes0c115,506$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c111,029$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.1570%0 W · 57 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a8e…9525backed Yes0c100,094$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d40…5990backed Yes0c93,075$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b27…677ebacked Yes0c93,000$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa37f…a1c5backed Yes0c92,368$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54cb…7c0cbacked Yes0c92,316$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8637…5ecbbacked Yes0c90,952$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba0c…6e7abacked Yes0c90,888$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0f0…bb1ebacked Yes0c90,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05f0…3af5backed Yes0c90,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8398…16d0backed Yes0c88,888$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65bf…b708backed Yes0c83,000$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc34…2fe0backed Yes0c81,500$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ee5…eb3fbacked Yes0c80,687$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20a2…0089backed Yes0c77,148$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcffc…30b8backed Yes0c72,610$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1c7…4cdcbacked Yes0c69,180$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bed…2d4cbacked Yes0c65,000$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6b5…b87fbacked Yes0c56,459$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3836…563fbacked Yes0c55,555$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc610…707abacked Yes0c55,460$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b58…70bdbacked Yes0c54,770$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd076…d2efbacked Yes0c54,110$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x181b…be49backed Yes0c54,100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65e9…8538backed Yes0c53,790$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0414…dbf6backed Yes0c53,640$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2e…14b5backed Yes0c53,640$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4571…ea35backed Yes0c50,960$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac34…b36fbacked Yes0c50,025$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6ac…1cf5backed Yes0c49,599$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24e5…7622backed Yes0c46,780$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3002…2a51backed Yes0c45,020$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5b4…d923backed Yes0c45,000$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e58…8165backed Yes0c43,219$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ce0…82e2backed Yes0c41,249$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54d0…9317backed Yes0c40,770$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86b0…c3b4backed Yes0c39,998$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00ff…d309backed Yes0c39,180$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c35…9489backed Yes0c38,739$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2563…dd0bbacked Yes0c38,738$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1674…c7b1backed Yes0c34,665$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd74…d028backed Yes0c33,118$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72cb…c793backed Yes0c32,970$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdf0…e5bdbacked Yes0c31,310$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x880a…3877backed Yes0c31,150$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x565e…0905backed Yes0c25,530$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8811…d95ebacked Yes0c25,428$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee2d…65c8backed Yes0c25,250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b04…bc0dbacked Yes0c24,270$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71be…9e12backed Yes0c24,190$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c04…5f89backed Yes0c23,340$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb54…baa2backed Yes0c22,210$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ed0…a0e8backed Yes0c22,210$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4439…9c3cbacked Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x351b…4d06backed Yes0c19,842$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.68120%0 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ec1…961ebacked Yes0c19,750$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c18,479$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.97490%0 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c7…8726backed Yes0c18,170$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87cd…0adebacked Yes0c18,000$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1abe…3fa8backed Yes0c17,580$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5dd…7ff2backed Yes0c16,950$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4006…9f86backed Yes0c16,752$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe788…edb1backed Yes0c16,530$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa72c…af75backed Yes0c16,510$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bdd…6785backed Yes0c16,310$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e29…fe9ebacked Yes0c16,240$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cf5…75acbacked Yes0c15,639$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x902f…7e4dbacked Yes0c15,060$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40c9…ccb1backed Yes0c14,999$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90f1…4d2ebacked Yes0c14,218$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5634…8d07backed Yes0c14,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6622…2e2cbacked Yes0c13,880$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31fb…90e8backed Yes0c13,800$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb4d…c75abacked Yes0c11,700$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Yes0c10,960$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.84120%0 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c0…f60dbacked Yes0c10,760$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ec…ae13backed Yes0c10,050$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f66…c705backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+37.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4eee…2782backed Yes0c10,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-68%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes0c10,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20270%0 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes0c9,250$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.75190%0 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1c2…f57abacked Yes0c7,387$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes0c7,027$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.162412.5%3 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick13cpaid-74.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30a1…a7c6backed Yes0c6,647$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa430…4966backed Yes0c5,557$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38eb…9cdcbacked Yes0c3,647$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60df…31f7backed Yes0c3,633$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0839…9acfbacked Yes0c3,437$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes0c2,557$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.173766.9%26 W · 350 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-67.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.