TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Liam Lawson be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,447,071
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,233,757

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,447,071 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes0c3,440,544$3,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,881.982412.5%3 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick13cpaid-74.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c416,318$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008.68352.9%1 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-52.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Yes0c282,227$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.63417.6%6 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick14cpaid-64.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x351b…4d06backed Yes0c142,164$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.33120%0 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bf7…393bbacked Yes0c100,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac3…2405backed Yes0c80,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c55,871$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.4570%0 W · 57 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1802…d00fbacked Yes0c55,000$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16580%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72cf…69aebacked Yes0c52,800$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d58…6983backed Yes0c45,595$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04fd…c75cbacked Yes0c44,800$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e27…3b95backed Yes0c42,750$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcffb…f1ccbacked Yes0c41,735$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe87e…86f3backed Yes0c41,030$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cd5…d81dbacked Yes0c41,000$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03b4…2360backed Yes0c32,000$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf90f…0f4cbacked Yes0c30,125$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdfa…07a5backed Yes0c30,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9186…e111backed Yes0c30,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda39…c573backed Yes0c29,080$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61b7…6416backed Yes0c27,870$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd540…d5e8backed Yes0c27,000$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00cd…1f77backed Yes0c25,333$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5263…934dbacked Yes0c21,350$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd6c…7c6abacked Yes0c21,080$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd98…104cbacked Yes0c20,715$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a0f…0a8abacked Yes0c20,605$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes0c20,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40270%0 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes1c19,774$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.09248.3%2 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick8cpaid-85.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f52…8c44backed Yes0c17,730$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x329f…9f61backed Yes0c17,500$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes0c16,000$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19190%0 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b0b…b2e8backed Yes0c15,620$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1439…5051backed Yes0c15,528$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c66…6b66backed Yes0c14,699$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8283.6%1 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-91.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf584…cb01backed Yes0c14,670$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x176e…c0b2backed Yes0c13,750$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d90…90f3backed Yes0c12,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49e6…7f1fbacked Yes0c12,050$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb0f…37f2backed Yes0c11,620$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ee3…0a05backed Yes0c10,599$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb58…5df8backed Yes0c10,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4439…9c3cbacked Yes0c10,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x189e…9548backed Yes0c9,375$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4517…ab2dbacked Yes0c8,904$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ad4…956bbacked Yes0c8,605$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2ae…3797backed Yes0c8,600$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c8,464$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.27490%0 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e16…3438backed Yes0c8,385$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9a3…3851backed Yes0c8,270$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x051f…0690backed Yes0c8,161$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5453…c9a2backed Yes0c8,140$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f0b…2904backed Yes0c8,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x458b…f99abacked Yes0c7,930$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10f2…1c2abacked Yes0c7,750$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d5e…a628backed Yes0c7,750$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49b8…f979backed Yes0c7,710$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19fb…6584backed Yes0c7,537$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8126…7c52backed Yes0c7,370$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a14…e08abacked Yes0c7,197$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe728…aea5backed Yes0c7,055$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c7a…3b7dbacked Yes0c7,049$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc3f…bc64backed Yes0c6,650$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcdc…b2e5backed Yes0c6,580$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7326…b9eabacked Yes0c6,500$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c28…5754backed Yes0c6,500$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a96…b33fbacked Yes0c6,275$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cf3…132ebacked Yes0c6,115$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9305…b38abacked Yes0c6,063$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31bf…a9fcbacked Yes0c6,055$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x705f…1a32backed Yes0c5,660$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14a0…d7c8backed Yes0c5,636$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9d5…a1ecbacked Yes0c5,565$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe38a…8256backed Yes0c5,500$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…7ca2backed Yes0c5,500$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x811c…ee47backed Yes0c5,500$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf58a…2c94backed Yes0c5,370$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43e4…46e6backed Yes0c5,305$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x779e…e343backed Yes0c5,075$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf093…cff5backed Yes0c5,050$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa536…1d0dbacked Yes0c5,030$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dca…f20ebacked Yes0c5,005$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbae5…546cbacked Yes0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x521d…52efbacked Yes0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f9d…0df1backed Yes0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x561f…7e56backed Yes0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1040%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e8a…981dbacked Yes0c3,947$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09b0…d2e3backed Yes0c3,870$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ccd…c863backed Yes0c3,680$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6978…b028backed Yes0c3,523$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce7c…163abacked Yes0c3,510$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbe3…1ed6backed Yes0c3,417$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf759…e295backed Yes0c3,397$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc38d…7637backed Yes0c3,347$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf59…bb65backed Yes1c3,000$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c71…4148backed Yes0c2,983$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67a7…86cebacked Yes1c2,974$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.871931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1efd…5321backed Yes0c2,788$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.