TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,422,382
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,002,326

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,422,382 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 4,282 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x612f…aa53backed Yes8c243,198$18,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,642.64047.5%19 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick36cpaid-2.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xea29…43e3backed Yes3c224,574$6,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,281.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce5b…047abacked Yes0c208,587$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.3820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17ce…beecbacked Yes11c189,122$20,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,143.87933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ba5…4252backed Yes0c183,426$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.5220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x366c…6578backed Yes5c169,063$9,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,065.711861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick43cpaid+27.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9c66…6b66backed Yes1c146,031$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,850.06283.6%1 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-91.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc4c…392fbacked Yes13c143,614$18,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,431.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes19c136,688$25,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,494.356732.8%22 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea8e…3de0backed Yes0c120,828$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd57…694dbacked Yes1c115,649$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.6320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes18c89,242$15,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,832.899219.6%18 W · 74 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca8c…45bcbacked Yes0c88,284$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No77c88,196$67,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,257.06540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-45.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes2c79,892$1,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,814.232412.5%3 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick13cpaid-74.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdaa…8420backed Yes6c74,797$4,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,113.85616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick5cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c38…ec33backed Yes6c73,546$4,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,169.4330%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e87…012ebacked Yes20c68,881$13,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,80010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes23c58,980$13,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,343.23228.1%9 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe02c…5d08backed Yes17c55,839$9,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,606.78333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-55%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes3c51,317$1,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,295.9321337.6%80 W · 133 L+0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28e5…87dfbacked Yes0c50,508$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes22c50,477$11,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,246.751136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes14c50,060$7,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,130.06520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-64.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes10c49,862$5,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,115.847233.3%24 W · 48 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ee9…ecd8backed Yes21c49,286$10,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,428.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed Yes6c46,717$2,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,877.6512646.8%59 W · 67 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+35.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd21e…ca49backed Yes8c44,583$3,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,361.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9864…1302backed Yes23c44,021$9,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,995.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6bb…43cebacked Yes23c43,390$9,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,99510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes17c42,323$7,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,383.919333.3%31 W · 62 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes18c42,217$7,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,706.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1919…351cbacked Yes4c36,225$1,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,341.33425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick12cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8523…1c9fbacked Yes26c36,203$9,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,422.511540%6 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b84…b7d0backed Yes11c34,601$3,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,747.94540%2 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick18cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Yes16c33,148$5,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,229.141040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4333…1f57backed No79c32,643$25,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,003.99250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-36.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb192…cc5cbacked Yes13c31,311$4,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,088.54425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid-53.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f7a…a985backed Yes17c31,259$5,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,382.4920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc314…f2cbbacked Yes9c30,806$2,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,753.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed Yes16c30,605$4,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,804.735028%14 W · 36 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-34.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9524…86cfbacked Yes0c30,100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5340%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes18c30,037$5,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,418.261612.5%2 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick28cpaid-76.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca33…918cbacked Yes20c30,005$5,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,919.63333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-56.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6431…3542backed Yes0c30,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23b9…0b21backed Yes23c29,712$6,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,897.5120%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ff…f893backed Yes20c29,434$5,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,996.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd42c…c46bbacked Yes10c29,427$2,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,909333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c0c…7c83backed Yes19c28,165$5,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,215.39666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+29.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc851…cd2abacked Yes0c27,871$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8bb…e268backed Yes19c27,081$5,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,020.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ae5…1f90backed Yes21c26,779$5,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,515.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes16c26,048$4,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,083.635137.3%19 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+26.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f3b…b400backed Yes19c25,836$4,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,995.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37b4…d5e5backed Yes21c25,185$5,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,303.4320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfa1…101cbacked Yes0c25,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x338a…2c3abacked Yes1c24,276$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.47250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+73%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd588…cec0backed Yes19c23,970$4,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,569.57520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-73.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31fd…b43ebacked Yes22c22,900$5,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,015.110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes8c22,731$1,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,877.262828.6%8 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick23cpaid-5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d7a…f380backed Yes13c22,636$2,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,952.81333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad90…5123backed Yes21c22,600$4,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,63310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07a1…e2c9backed Yes13c22,196$2,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,865.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes17c22,176$3,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,674.048622.1%19 W · 67 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a86…19acbacked Yes24c21,927$5,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,19010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd50c…8862backed Yes20c21,927$4,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,316.6757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904f…50c6backed Yes16c21,886$3,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,590.4815922%35 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ef6…8183backed Yes21c21,778$4,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,508.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551b…dfd1backed Yes20c21,761$4,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,349.16633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb747…b050backed Yes25c21,572$5,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,326.045733.3%19 W · 38 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x432c…7dc1backed Yes7c21,500$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,504.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0ec…7f1cbacked Yes19c21,025$3,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,968.21216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-60.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee0c…0a49backed Yes1c20,755$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.0990%0 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde97…e43ebacked Yes28c20,441$5,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,655.21137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick21cpaid-87.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7558…de87backed Yes23c20,098$4,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,71310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5235…c04abacked Yes16c20,043$3,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,178.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-38.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc18e…5c5cbacked Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes18c19,750$3,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,651.6812325.2%31 W · 92 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes2c19,027$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.78939.3%35 W · 54 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3933…fd72backed Yes0c19,000$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28e9…f89dbacked Yes19c18,985$3,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,681.771225%3 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-32.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes19c18,499$3,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,476.7620%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9885…16e9backed Yes21c18,200$3,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,749.210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d0c…3bf9backed Yes10c17,932$1,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,867.271154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Yes13c17,802$2,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,277.812123.8%5 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick18cpaid-57.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd94…7f44backed Yes1c17,105$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes14c17,051$2,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,337.369223.9%22 W · 70 L-0.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-48.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c05…0205backed Yes12c16,721$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,959.7333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-51.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6485…be05backed Yes12c16,354$1,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,962.226225.8%16 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82a7…9ea8backed Yes13c16,321$2,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,094.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc17a…1db3backed Yes15c16,303$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick20cpaid+120.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad13…0298backed Yes12c15,605$1,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,879.4120%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa43…cbdfbacked Yes20c15,394$3,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,082.31616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick49cpaid-57.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5954…b848backed Yes25c15,000$3,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,808.4140%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x388a…e87cbacked Yes18c15,000$2,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,729.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54b7…eb22backed Yes19c14,863$2,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,884.33425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-66.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Yes20c14,844$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-57.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fa8…026dbacked Yes14c14,677$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,119.913842.1%16 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes16c14,672$2,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,402.89277.4%2 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-72.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes8c14,655$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.053766.9%26 W · 350 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-67.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.