TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Hellenic Championship: Damir Dzumhur vs Jacob Fearnley

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dzumhurof Dzumhur, Fearnley
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$138,942
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$151,198

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,942 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5ba6…0f07backed Fearnley42c18,000$7,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,636.2666949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Dzumhur60c10,207$6,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,092.048,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02dd…d213backed Fearnley22c5,499$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.66560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffaa…7fd4backed Fearnley52c5,435$2,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,801.124628.3%13 W · 33 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-39.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0f58…456cbacked Fearnley73c4,093$2,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,988560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x551f…0036backed Dzumhur32c4,055$1,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,757.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe887…05cabacked Dzumhur54c3,893$2,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,807.552100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Dzumhur62c3,524$2,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,338.192,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Dzumhur42c3,478$1,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,020.012,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x793c…4421backed Fearnley73c3,216$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,349.671353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ef2…f473backed Dzumhur34c3,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,979.928023.8%19 W · 61 L-0.3wins0.00per pick24cpaid-35.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Dzumhur77c2,474$1,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.5865647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x671a…4541backed Fearnley61c2,376$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4603265.6%21 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Dzumhur53c1,978$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.6511,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Dzumhur56c1,969$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.362152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Dzumhur60c1,884$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.9710060%60 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x669e…035bbacked Fearnley51c1,559$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.8610186.1%87 W · 14 L+14.1wins+0.14per pick72cpaid+16.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdc3b…23c4backed Fearnley16c1,420$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Dzumhur51c1,368$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.262,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09e1…82a6backed Fearnley60c1,330$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4e1…ee5abacked Fearnley55c1,091$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600425%1 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.44per pick69cpaid-62.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Fearnley67c1,065$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.041,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8337…2352backed Fearnley59c1,060$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.862458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Dzumhur31c764.66$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.6144125.4%112 W · 329 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Dzumhur30c753.4$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.8396035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x06da…3181backed Dzumhur67c746.27$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.278562.4%53 W · 32 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Dzumhur34c735.29$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.2922744.5%101 W · 126 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc96…085dbacked Fearnley68c732$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.76633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-37.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a3b…63d5backed Fearnley68c700$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x476c…177abacked Fearnley68c600.18$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.12650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ec…a7b9backed Fearnley2c600$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110822.2%24 W · 84 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick17cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Fearnley66c600$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3969741.2%40 W · 57 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24c7…6365backed Fearnley68c568$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.24633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x735c…c5b3backed Fearnley68c560$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.8616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.40per pick56cpaid-53.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Dzumhur56c559.69$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.269137.4%34 W · 57 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c8…f30abacked Dzumhur51c490.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.210036%36 W · 64 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d6d…1ba1backed Dzumhur65c461.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.54825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8741…ed7bbacked Fearnley68c455$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.4540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb6…da3ebacked Fearnley66c443.5$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.712420.8%5 W · 19 L-5.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid+9.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x611d…d7d0backed Fearnley68c442$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.56714.3%1 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.44per pick59cpaid-77.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9354…6502backed Dzumhur52c407.26$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.7475547.8%361 W · 394 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe9d…5eb1backed Fearnley50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004955.1%27 W · 22 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb75d…9d01backed Dzumhur71c375$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.7512154.5%66 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17e0…80aebacked Fearnley33c365$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.071172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf5c…48f9backed Dzumhur58c325.98$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.2215447.4%73 W · 81 L+14.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa225…b903backed Fearnley51c312.25$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.711650%8 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Dzumhur31c299.98$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.9922840.4%92 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2a…c0eebacked Dzumhur67c298.49$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.51060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-16.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb75e…1737backed Fearnley68c289.2$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.324446.3%113 W · 131 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b04…6549backed Dzumhur35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.714630.4%14 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d11…0c08backed Fearnley69c283.83$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.848248.8%40 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Fearnley49c275$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.751,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d8b…3047backed Fearnley48c259.02$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.335450%27 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Fearnley58c253.39$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14849749.9%248 W · 249 L-15.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f5b…b993backed Dzumhur36c247.69$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.782626.9%7 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-47.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc750…cfd3backed Fearnley69c239.8$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.4620%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfb1…982dbacked Dzumhur34c224$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.961361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+37.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x09e6…f84cbacked Fearnley67c222$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.741241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick58cpaid-39.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe8a…cfadbacked Dzumhur41c215.53$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.423557.1%20 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfde0…c132backed Fearnley70c207.71$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.523452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Fearnley69c203$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.074751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1feb…bdc1backed Dzumhur31c202.9$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cb6…15cdbacked Dzumhur49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1023452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc597…4ee7backed Fearnley17c200$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.21741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b0e…5b17backed Dzumhur51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Fearnley40c195.42$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.276,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6884…2518backed Dzumhur51c195.13$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.134951%25 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09c0…7253backed Dzumhur54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.191154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb41c…ab82backed Dzumhur68c183.82$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.824146.3%19 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1018…7264backed Dzumhur48c178.93$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.594440.9%18 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f1e…463dbacked Dzumhur56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Fearnley67c174.23$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1161,25850%629 W · 629 L-4.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Dzumhur70c152.88$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8765242.8%279 W · 373 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ba0…ff3abacked Dzumhur69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9343158.2%251 W · 180 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d80…07d4backed Fearnley69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008065%52 W · 28 L+7.2wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+11.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Dzumhur68c139.7$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.32254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48d…5182backed Fearnley73c137.53$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024558.8%144 W · 101 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6b1…c973backed Dzumhur30c134$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943855.3%21 W · 17 L+6.3wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+44.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Fearnley14c126.45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6528139.1%110 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Fearnley39c121.74$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a88…fd7fbacked Fearnley69c121$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.493865.8%25 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9de0…d8b7backed Dzumhur79c120$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.541080%8 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+46.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b07…9e81backed Fearnley38c115.79$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfff2…47e6backed Dzumhur35c114.29$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+47.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fde…2441backed Fearnley66c112$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.92540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x82fd…4533backed Dzumhur35c111.64$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4310248%49 W · 53 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Dzumhur32c111$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.485831%18 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61a0…8208backed Dzumhur33c110$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.71266.7%8 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+54.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5744…9093backed Fearnley32c105.79$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.154946.9%23 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Dzumhur49c102.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1725152.6%132 W · 119 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae12…6eb3backed Dzumhur34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+197.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Dzumhur56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443943.6%17 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57f3…7304backed Fearnley66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+26.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8ceb…1952backed Dzumhur67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336055%33 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fbe…4d6abacked Dzumhur51c99.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495735.1%20 W · 37 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed Fearnley14c98.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7913641.9%57 W · 79 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Fearnley50c93.69$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5916644.6%74 W · 92 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e2…4459backed Fearnley69c93.09$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2310372.8%75 W · 28 L+10.6wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+19.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x623a…0b32backed Dzumhur35c90.85$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.052339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7b6…cfe5backed Dzumhur65c88.58$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.