TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vitalityof Vitality, TheMongolz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$252,066
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$277,152

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $252,066 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee00…cea1backed TheMongolz9c39,032$3,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,608.1623355.4%129 W · 104 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked TheMongolz10c38,136$3,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,754.7227133.2%90 W · 181 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed TheMongolz13c31,756$4,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,236.0632425.3%82 W · 242 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed TheMongolz6c14,906$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.1981843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed TheMongolz19c11,335$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,100.114,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed TheMongolz24c10,000$2,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,424.9867041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed TheMongolz18c9,351$1,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6911,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be6…2006backed Vitality77c7,804$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,803.92965.5%19 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b9b…7e7cbacked Vitality76c7,769$5,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,829.1121042.9%90 W · 120 L-12.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e9a…5f9cbacked Vitality76c7,241$5,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,737.894763.8%30 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed TheMongolz28c6,568$1,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,815.857647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7467…e978backed Vitality74c5,788$4,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,492.861464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3103…d804backed TheMongolz7c5,313$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.893333.3%11 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked TheMongolz17c4,482$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.531,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4087…1665backed TheMongolz25c3,928$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002532%8 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked TheMongolz20c3,427$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.541,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x733b…7260backed Vitality77c3,333$2,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.262259.1%13 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick72cpaid-20.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed Vitality72c3,270$2,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.619247.9%92 W · 100 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8be…c8d1backed TheMongolz6c3,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1702317.4%4 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed TheMongolz23c3,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.9917538.3%67 W · 108 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eba…33bdbacked Vitality77c2,984$2,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.462646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8287…059ebacked TheMongolz28c2,707$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7465853.4%31 W · 27 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbbba…f349backed TheMongolz25c2,550$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.52532%8 W · 17 L-5.2wins-0.21per pick53cpaid-45%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked TheMongolz26c2,179$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.0835550.1%178 W · 177 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7acb…8c1dbacked Vitality75c2,160$1,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53410450%52 W · 52 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3df8…a696backed TheMongolz27c1,900$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.643452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Vitality75c1,800$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45013144.3%58 W · 73 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed TheMongolz6c1,592$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.51,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked TheMongolz25c1,354$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3401,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Vitality75c1,340$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.626045%117 W · 143 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6fd…1128backed Vitality75c1,333$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.32050%10 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b26…c9afbacked Vitality72c1,123$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.4513460.4%81 W · 53 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0cf2…423abacked TheMongolz29c1,107$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3184942.9%21 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb7f…9550backed Vitality75c1,045$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.172458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa905…fcf1backed TheMongolz18c996.97$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.251631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf8a9…3f60backed TheMongolz25c976.15$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.34052.5%21 W · 19 L+5.3wins+0.13per pick39cpaid+19.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Vitality72c952.93$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.826659.1%39 W · 27 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed TheMongolz16c902.33$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.331,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafd9…46d5backed TheMongolz23c900$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2072317.4%4 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-52.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x48a5…a903backed Vitality73c799.99$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21611440.4%46 W · 68 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd781…92a0backed Vitality75c780$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1953046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4e1…ee5abacked Vitality78c772.56$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.568974.2%66 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked TheMongolz7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aae…d563backed Vitality75c666.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.678267.1%55 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…688fbacked TheMongolz3c620$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.21361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+39.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked TheMongolz20c599.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010442.3%44 W · 60 L-7.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a28…41edbacked TheMongolz22c551.44$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.326347.6%30 W · 33 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3520…f128backed Vitality78c551.22$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.2710951.4%56 W · 53 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2da4…4c87backed TheMongolz11c545.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ee8…6c2ebacked Vitality78c513.58$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.291533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-43.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed Vitality73c499.98$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13558651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7db…35bdbacked Vitality73c440$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.83339.4%13 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1986…cf16backed Vitality76c433.92$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.144250%21 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked Vitality72c431.94$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.9429046.9%136 W · 154 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Vitality72c427.46$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.693,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d96…d524backed Vitality74c404.45$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.1615162.3%94 W · 57 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e4d…d116backed TheMongolz26c387.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004637%17 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf60…6937backed TheMongolz10c369.62$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.571338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x554a…09c8backed TheMongolz9c340.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.951855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+49.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x327e…2852backed TheMongolz28c333.42$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.0630%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc76b…5fbabacked Vitality76c329.03$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.972100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+82.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd9a…796cbacked Vitality77c324.68$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.681973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+23.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked TheMongolz7c300$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2198052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ffc…8967backed TheMongolz24c300$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729734%33 W · 64 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked TheMongolz5c257.89$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.921,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b2…9ac1backed TheMongolz26c229.07$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6021137.4%79 W · 132 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fc8…f527backed TheMongolz28c216.66$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8348826.2%128 W · 360 L-44.3wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-30.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed TheMongolz10c209.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.260838.2%232 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9aa5…46d6backed Vitality76c206$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.443847.4%18 W · 20 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8254…137fbacked Vitality74c200.02$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.341747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed TheMongolz28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5697230%292 W · 680 L-23.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Vitality72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c9c…bcfcbacked TheMongolz27c186.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015255.3%84 W · 68 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed Vitality72c180$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.49151.6%47 W · 44 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf243…5fb4backed TheMongolz20c171.9$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0fd…5b3cbacked Vitality75c160.29$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0711644%51 W · 65 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed TheMongolz27c159.26$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4311834.7%41 W · 77 L-10.0wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-18.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6bf…ebbcbacked TheMongolz26c157.55$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.562540%10 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed TheMongolz14c152.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.751,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbeed…c44cbacked Vitality77c139.34$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.052661.5%16 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf8f…4136backed Vitality75c139.09$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.771631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-49.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc861…63afbacked Vitality76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.58862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…a742backed Vitality75c130$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.516950.9%86 W · 83 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dd9…a17dbacked TheMongolz8c129.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.970%0 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdf88…3ed6backed TheMongolz8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-57.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2175…a323backed Vitality76c120.61$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.173253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1963…8122backed Vitality75c117.86$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309160.4%55 W · 36 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0003…e2cdbacked TheMongolz22c114.37$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.68560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc21…9eb9backed TheMongolz11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed TheMongolz23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2312152.1%63 W · 58 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x53e9…ce53backed TheMongolz10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101816.7%3 W · 15 L-4.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-73.5%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xd386…05f2backed Vitality74c99.99$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2614360.1%86 W · 57 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b72…6dbebacked TheMongolz24c99.98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.995738.6%22 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3647…6250backed TheMongolz25c98.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255349.1%26 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb358…122cbacked TheMongolz31c97.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307255.6%40 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x891c…ef89backed Vitality76c94.58$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.75567.3%37 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8912…1712backed TheMongolz32c94.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3027735.7%99 W · 178 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc24a…922bbacked Vitality78c91.41$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.41887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.33per pick55cpaid+64.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe16f…6d1fbacked Vitality77c87.01$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.01425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick64cpaid-67.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Vitality76c84.21$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2160953.4%325 W · 284 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.