TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa905…fcf1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
107
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst NHL at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST1631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$106.05
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$165.87
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+31.6%+$48
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$381Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+87.3%+$332.25
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$46.8
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BetBoom Team (BO3)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+112.8%+$28.62
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$64.9
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+75.8%+$148.8
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$262
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$603Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$602.52
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+300%+$300
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$105
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$203.5
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$179.25
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$70
All 16 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-45.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.35
Penguins vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Sharks vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Spread: Bruins (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$21.66
Flyers vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$18.67
Blackhawks vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$232.2
Red Wings vs. Sabresbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.5
Panthers vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.23
Sharks vs. Islandersbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.5
Devils vs. Maple Leafsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$50.72
Canucks vs. Penguinsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Kraken vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1080%8 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+21.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$7,031Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+44.5%+$3,131.75
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,227Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+34.9%+$1,476.06
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,843Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+27.6%+$785.21
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+40.8%+$11.6
Will the US strike Iran next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$23.4
Will the US strike Syria next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+36.4%+$10.4
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,991Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+34.9%+$695.35
Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$707Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+127.3%+$899.94
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$205.55
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$814Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+70.4%+$572.48
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Erste Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$86.45
Erste Bank Open: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$44.2
Pan Pacific Open: Anna Kalinskaya vs Linda Noskovabacked Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$16.67
Pan Pacific Open: Victoria Mboko vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$7.05
Pan Pacific Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$11.49
Pan Pacific Open: Maya Joint vs Karolina Muchovabacked Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.77
Erste Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$14.37
Swiss Indoors Basel: Kamil Majchrzak vs Ben Sheltonbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$13.46
Erste Bank Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alex Michelsenbacked Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.54
Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
All 10 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$426Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$426.02
Seeker FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+49.3%+$135.75
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+29.9%+$111.4
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,557Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+35%+$894.19
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,471Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,471.06
Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$39.78
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,406Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+107.3%+$4,728.62
Over $1.3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$112.5
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$169.26
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$412Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+118%+$485.98
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$483Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+48.5%+$234.1
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$413Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$412.98
Will Luigi Mangione rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+33.3%+$20
Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$474Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$474.34
Will Elon Musk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.06
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$42.7
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+51.5%+$34
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick64cpaid+30.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-59.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
South Alabama vs. Georgia Statebacked South Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$11.23
Kennesaw State vs. Florida Internationalbacked Kennesaw State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$153.64
Iowa vs. Rutgersbacked Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
Tulsa vs. Oklahoma Statebacked Oklahoma State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 4 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$578Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$577.52
Vikings vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$15.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick71cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$547Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$212.8
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$665Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$665.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2025-10-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$45
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+163.9%+$46.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$595Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$334.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$19.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$886Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+45.5%+$402.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-10-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$212
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$674Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$674.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.