NHL · resolved market
Sharks vs. Islanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2809a831daf68b0183f3effa724c592f137ea60fcbc90076cdf76f65f11e28e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Islandersof Sharks, Islanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $231,680
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $249,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $231,680 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Islanders | 67c | 38,338$25,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,764.2 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Sharks | 8c | 37,709$3,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,003 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Sharks | 33c | 29,744$9,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,815.38 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Sharks | 11c | 13,350$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.5 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Islanders | 72c | 10,044$7,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,802.85 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Sharks | 33c | 9,274$3,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,099.05 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Islanders | 67c | 9,149$6,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,026.08 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Sharks | 33c | 9,047$3,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,024.92 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Sharks | 33c | 6,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.98 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb351…5fbfbacked Islanders | 66c | 5,831$3,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,954.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Sharks | 33c | 5,212$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.93 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Sharks | 37c | 4,932$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839.82 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Sharks | 12c | 4,862$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.45 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Sharks | 33c | 3,950$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.7 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Islanders | 67c | 3,849$2,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.87 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Sharks | 34c | 3,041$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.06 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Islanders | 67c | 2,985$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.07 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Sharks | 34c | 2,937$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Sharks | 8c | 2,883$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.62 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc341…6298backed Sharks | 33c | 2,200$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Islanders | 67c | 2,149$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.25 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Sharks | 34c | 2,147$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Islanders | 62c | 2,142$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.1 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Sharks | 34c | 2,033$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.15 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a3…801cbacked Islanders | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Sharks | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.99 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb0…2fd8backed Islanders | 68c | 1,935$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.21 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Sharks | 33c | 1,700$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.99 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ec…57d6backed Sharks | 33c | 1,657$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d95…9d3cbacked Islanders | 68c | 1,656$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Islanders | 66c | 1,646$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.76 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Sharks | 1c | 1,582$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Islanders | 67c | 1,497$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.03 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ba…077abacked Islanders | 68c | 1,200$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +63%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Islanders | 66c | 1,122$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.48 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6c…2f0bbacked Islanders | 68c | 1,100$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Islanders | 66c | 1,095$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.19 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce29…9147backed Sharks | 34c | 1,077$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.23 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x669c…6c54backed Islanders | 67c | 1,077$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.33 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Sharks | 19c | 1,051$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.17 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sharks | 20c | 1,031$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.25 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8354…b291backed Sharks | 34c | 1,029$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f6…6e69backed Islanders | 67c | 1,029$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.58 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Sharks | 34c | 1,020$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.78 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Islanders | 66c | 1,010$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.4 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Islanders | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.02 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x730d…6cfabacked Sharks | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked Islanders | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…8d6cbacked Islanders | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63af…0a25backed Islanders | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Islanders | 67c | 999.48$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.83 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Sharks | 33c | 941.99$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.11 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Islanders | 66c | 874.97$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.45 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3af…749fbacked Sharks | 34c | 738$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.92 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x676b…90d4backed Islanders | 68c | 737.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.86 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.32per pick | 56cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Islanders | 66c | 674.99$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.5 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Sharks | 33c | 656.64$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.69 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Sharks | 2c | 639.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Sharks | 32c | 612.76$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.58 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Islanders | 65c | 600$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked Sharks | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8e…a742backed Islanders | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df4…8ca6backed Islanders | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff5b…c583backed Sharks | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Islanders | 67c | 499.98$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.66 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Sharks | 32c | 477.32$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.74 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0070…b1f2backed Sharks | 33c | 450$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Islanders | 67c | 442.66$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.08 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Islanders | 66c | 424.83$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.49 | 293 | 45.1%132 W · 161 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Islanders | 73c | 407.15$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.95 | 120 | 70.8%85 W · 35 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Islanders | 66c | 386.03$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.57 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Islanders | 68c | 350.68$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.22 | 451 | 49.4%223 W · 228 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Islanders | 77c | 345.22$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.53 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c83…b80bbacked Sharks | 34c | 312$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4953…4fd3backed Islanders | 68c | 312$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Islanders | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…97b5backed Sharks | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked Islanders | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Islanders | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Islanders | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Sharks | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Sharks | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2567…2371backed Sharks | 33c | 215.15$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Islanders | 66c | 207.81$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.87 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Islanders | 71c | 204.83$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Sharks | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f86…4b75backed Sharks | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Islanders | 67c | 197.7$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.24 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1591…8ceebacked Islanders | 67c | 194.03$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.03 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Islanders | 66c | 180$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Sharks | 27c | 179.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Sharks | 34c | 176.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d0a…9838backed Islanders | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7902…0b7ebacked Islanders | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaeb…3da3backed Islanders | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Islanders | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd54…0eafbacked Islanders | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x137c…8dd5backed Islanders | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Islanders | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f4…d323backed Islanders | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sharks vs. Islandersthis page
- Sharks vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5Over won
- Sharks vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Islanders (-1.5)Sharks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.