NHL · resolved market
Sharks vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ce2c6d6348923040107b6f3be890579c740863c3390034e4dfad606b6422d47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $233,036
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $234,808
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $233,036 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdfe…fd89backed Under | 51c | 58,122$29,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,642.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…8ed9backed Under | 51c | 11,000$5,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,610 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…3399backed Over | 49c | 10,782$5,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,498.82 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ff…b3c1backed Under | 51c | 10,729$5,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,471.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6b…066ebacked Under | 51c | 9,733$4,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,963.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd72b…9966backed Under | 51c | 9,593$4,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,892.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1269…8618backed Under | 51c | 8,999$4,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,589.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff5a…0e5dbacked Under | 51c | 8,886$4,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,531.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76fe…c74cbacked Over | 49c | 8,253$4,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,209.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf3…ceccbacked Under | 51c | 8,045$4,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,102.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd800…d708backed Over | 49c | 7,675$3,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,914.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc97a…258cbacked Over | 49c | 7,508$3,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,829.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce8…3d08backed Under | 51c | 7,435$3,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,791.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2997…f55dbacked Over | 49c | 7,348$3,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,747.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9921…427cbacked Over | 49c | 6,443$3,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,285.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0eb…59c8backed Under | 51c | 6,084$3,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,102.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d09…d3dbbacked Under | 51c | 5,899$3,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,008.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8e…62e9backed Over | 49c | 5,487$2,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,798.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2372…c9a0backed Under | 51c | 5,405$2,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,756.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 50c | 5,342$2,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,672.79 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9125…5392backed Over | 49c | 5,096$2,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,598.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59bb…77cdbacked Over | 49c | 5,085$2,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,593.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Over | 50c | 4,978$2,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,494.46 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf338…6f0abacked Over | 49c | 4,857$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,477.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41c4…4fe0backed Under | 51c | 4,843$2,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,469.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x895e…7976backed Under | 51c | 4,725$2,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,409.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…2ee6backed Under | 51c | 4,714$2,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,404.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9429…9faebacked Over | 49c | 4,427$2,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,257.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1615…441ebacked Over | 49c | 4,411$2,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8054…cdabbacked Under | 51c | 4,340$2,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,213.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…fd03backed Under | 51c | 4,226$2,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,155.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…feb2backed Under | 51c | 3,830$1,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x470a…8c50backed Over | 49c | 3,623$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,847.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca3…e913backed Over | 49c | 3,508$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,789.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 50c | 3,500$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f57…6b91backed Under | 51c | 3,475$1,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,772.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4809…bc32backed Under | 51c | 3,471$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa970…2591backed Under | 51c | 3,422$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94cd…5253backed Over | 49c | 3,193$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 51c | 3,062$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.7 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72cd…8a6bbacked Over | 49c | 2,947$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,502.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda19…9cb8backed Over | 49c | 2,764$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…5ab9backed Over | 49c | 2,717$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Over | 49c | 2,552$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.43 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3738…9c5ebacked Over | 49c | 2,522$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…2050backed Over | 49c | 2,402$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef5f…1454backed Under | 51c | 2,295$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1db…846abacked Over | 49c | 2,284$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 60cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5666…642abacked Over | 49c | 1,790$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…4cb3backed Under | 51c | 1,735$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 1,476$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.66 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a7…9b59backed Under | 51c | 1,377$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd045…ee53backed Under | 51c | 1,172$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 51c | 1,113$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.37 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Over | 49c | 861$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.11 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over | 48c | 544.28$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.03 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 51c | 538.64$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.74 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Under | 52c | 330$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.3 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Over | 50c | 286$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 48c | 195$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.4 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…bfe6backed Under | 52c | 130.81$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 49c | 130$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07fc…0af8backed Under | 51c | 122$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Under | 53c | 113.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 481 | 61.3%295 W · 186 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x731c…a252backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Under | 49c | 48.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa304…9311backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69fd…380bbacked Under | 51c | 30.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bda…ac9bbacked Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad45…5409backed Over | 50c | 29.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2325…3256backed Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15db…d7efbacked Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 52c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf578…c239backed Over | 51c | 26.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c2…cb37backed Under | 51c | 25.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda64…8903backed Under | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa4…a1bfbacked Under | 51c | 20.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sharks vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5this page
- Sharks vs. IslandersIslanders won
- Sharks vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Islanders (-1.5)Sharks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.