TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5c8f…bfe6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
40
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Lol, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 57 out of 100; worst Middle East at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: GIANTX iTero vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX iTero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.62
LoL: 7REX vs RMD Gaming (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked 7REX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$119.57
LoL: FALKE Esports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonbacked FALKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
LoL: Apex Mission Impossible vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Seasonbacked CCG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$18.17
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs Solary (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$33.06
LoL: Onion Team vs DOCISK (BO1) - Rift Legends Group Stagebacked Onion Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+96.1%+$40.4
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs MVK Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$214.06
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Play-Inbacked DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+44%+$9.5
LoL: Yumeea vs Karmine Corp Blue Stars (BO1) - LFL Invitational Group Cbacked Yumeea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$14.93
LoL: The Secret Club Esport vs Crvena zvezda Esports (BO3) - EBL Regular Seasonbacked Crvena zvezda Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$47
LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO1) - Comedy Central Winter Snowdown Group Abacked Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+300%+$89.49
LoL: WLGaming Esports vs HOWL Esports (BO2) - HLL Regular Seasonbacked WLGaming Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+47.1%+$18.59
LoL: Senshi Esports Club vs The Bandits (BO3) - Road Of Legends Tier 1 Groupbacked Senshi Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+134.3%+$147.01
LoL: Los Ratones vs Karmine Corp (BO1)backed Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+94%+$107.41
LoL: DRX Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3)backed KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+72.4%+$72.88
LoL: La BOMBAS vs Ruddy Esports (BO1)backed Ruddy Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$107.43
LoL: Los Ratones vs Galions (BO5)backed Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$23.71
All 17 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.8
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$32.4
Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs HereWeGoAgain (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stagebacked HereWeGoAgain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.39
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs Hashiras (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Cbacked Hashiras · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+119.2%+$53.36
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs SemperFi Esports (BO3) - GangKui Cup Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.17
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Falcons Force (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group Bbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$17.85
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Z7 Esports (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group Abacked AM Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$10
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs Infinite (BO1) - DraculaN Group Dbacked HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.48
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$27.79
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs MASONIC (BO3) - A1 Gaming League Group Stagebacked MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+249.1%+$315.84
Counter-Strike: Washington vs Phantom (BO3)backed Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+88.7%+$14.1
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Altay Esports (BO3)backed HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+31.2%+$27.43
Counter-Strike: FURIA fe vs Crashers (BO3)backed Crashers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+49.3%+$109.75
Counter-Strike: Zero Tenacity vs ESC Gaming (BO3)backed ESC Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+100%+$82.86
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Vitality (BO5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+100%+$10
All 15 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$70.33
Sharks vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.02
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$51.15
All 3 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-51.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs REKONIX (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+33.3%+$23.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.