CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Falcons Force (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd3a63f6f36d8ad2146b82a7ff8f2c84f8961eb6d3303552ab0f46fd5ec693ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 3DMAXof 3DMAX, Falcons Force
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,503
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,503 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 3DMAX | 74c | 1,662$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.14 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed 3DMAX | 74c | 1,556$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.15 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b8…50d8backed Falcons Force | 33c | 959.8$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.73 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Falcons Force | 18c | 849.05$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.61 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Falcons Force | 26c | 670.74$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.16 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Falcons Force | 33c | 383.92$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.69 | 2,770 | 37.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L | -139.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Falcons Force | 9c | 312.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Falcons Force | 11c | 299.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed Falcons Force | 33c | 191.92$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.66 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Falcons Force | 31c | 171.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.17 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Falcons Force | 26c | 143.34$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 485 | 43.1%209 W · 276 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Falcons Force | 9c | 141.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 834 | 43.6%364 W · 470 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Falcons Force | 11c | 138.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Falcons Force | 8c | 127.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8945…640bbacked 3DMAX | 76c | 117.37$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 262 | 57.6%151 W · 111 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Falcons Force | 12c | 102.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 1,069 | 37.8%404 W · 665 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…a15fbacked 3DMAX | 72c | 98.21$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Falcons Force | 25c | 93.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf2…1e5bbacked 3DMAX | 73c | 83$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Falcons Force | 26c | 75.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…bfe6backed 3DMAX | 71c | 62.62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed 3DMAX | 72c | 59.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15b1…e9e4backed Falcons Force | 26c | 59.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Falcons Force | 28c | 53.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Falcons Force | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 328 | 45.1%148 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…870ebacked 3DMAX | 72c | 28.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed 3DMAX | 78c | 19.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked 3DMAX | 70c | 16.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 227 | 54.2%123 W · 104 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.