Lol · resolved market
LoL: Apex Mission Impossible vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6d6581a90707967391e3747c20abcb53aad3b4acab7ef3c92a63245404b75ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CCG Esportsof Apex Mission Impossible, CCG Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,039
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,039 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Apex Mission Impossible | 26c | 1,120$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.96 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Apex Mission Impossible | 24c | 977.79$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.68 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Apex Mission Impossible | 26c | 772.2$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.28 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab8d…6fe9backed CCG Esports | 72c | 677.25$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed CCG Esports | 72c | 635.36$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.19 | 1,525 | 50.6%771 W · 754 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed CCG Esports | 80c | 618.44$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.48 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b86…dd8fbacked CCG Esports | 80c | 612$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c1…3e0bbacked CCG Esports | 73c | 519.08$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.15 | 636 | 46.9%298 W · 338 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…d4aebacked Apex Mission Impossible | 20c | 492.69$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.66 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Apex Mission Impossible | 31c | 458.61$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.82 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…c613backed Apex Mission Impossible | 19c | 399.69$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.94 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Apex Mission Impossible | 26c | 359.85$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.35 | 566 | 50%283 W · 283 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Apex Mission Impossible | 28c | 340.08$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.91 | 307 | 42%129 W · 178 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Apex Mission Impossible | 24c | 306.76$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.62 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked CCG Esports | 71c | 279.22$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.97 | 157 | 47.8%75 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0319…7a36backed Apex Mission Impossible | 16c | 275.57$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed CCG Esports | 71c | 273.33$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.43 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Apex Mission Impossible | 27c | 247.9$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.93 | 813 | 33%268 W · 545 L | -43.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed CCG Esports | 72c | 241.87$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.72 | 376 | 47.9%180 W · 196 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f1…3fd9backed Apex Mission Impossible | 20c | 238$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…7e1cbacked CCG Esports | 74c | 217.61$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.72 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8101…e7bebacked Apex Mission Impossible | 12c | 215.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe644…76b6backed CCG Esports | 72c | 212.98$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed CCG Esports | 70c | 212$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 1,616 | 43.8%708 W · 908 L | -74.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Apex Mission Impossible | 18c | 177.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 219 | 53.9%118 W · 101 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed CCG Esports | 75c | 144.94$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 236 | 74.6%176 W · 60 L | +17.9wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Apex Mission Impossible | 12c | 126.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf138…c953backed CCG Esports | 80c | 123.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed CCG Esports | 76c | 123.23$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed CCG Esports | 72c | 119.74$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 2,240 | 37.3%836 W · 1,404 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05df…e268backed CCG Esports | 72c | 111.1$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 233 | 41.6%97 W · 136 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…4046backed CCG Esports | 77c | 109.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 113 | 61.9%70 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…d8adbacked CCG Esports | 71c | 104.33$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 136 | 60.3%82 W · 54 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Apex Mission Impossible | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Apex Mission Impossible | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 307 | 43%132 W · 175 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed CCG Esports | 72c | 98.88$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 414 | 33.6%139 W · 275 L | -30.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked Apex Mission Impossible | 13c | 98.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 165 | 55.2%91 W · 74 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed CCG Esports | 76c | 98.56$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Apex Mission Impossible | 12c | 94.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…bfe6backed CCG Esports | 79c | 86.53$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4db…8d6ebacked CCG Esports | 79c | 86.15$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a9…7876backed Apex Mission Impossible | 27c | 73.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d47…e9c0backed Apex Mission Impossible | 27c | 71.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked CCG Esports | 71c | 69.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Apex Mission Impossible | 28c | 68.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Apex Mission Impossible | 28c | 68.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Apex Mission Impossible | 22c | 66.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Apex Mission Impossible | 31c | 62.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb692…7c83backed CCG Esports | 80c | 61.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c94…5b86backed Apex Mission Impossible | 27c | 57.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfa…a0e4backed CCG Esports | 76c | 51.87$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 233 | 61.8%144 W · 89 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Apex Mission Impossible | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 360 | 48.9%176 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed CCG Esports | 69c | 44.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 150 | 36%54 W · 96 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked CCG Esports | 80c | 39.52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked CCG Esports | 66c | 35.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked CCG Esports | 68c | 30.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 205 | 56.6%116 W · 89 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc78a…ea34backed CCG Esports | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 442 | 62.9%278 W · 164 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7d…6af8backed CCG Esports | 74c | 19.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2a…4e1fbacked CCG Esports | 70c | 19.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed CCG Esports | 68c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 153 | 70.6%108 W · 45 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…c6b6backed CCG Esports | 79c | 16.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Apex Mission Impossible vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Seasonthis page
- Game Handicap: CCG (-1.5) vs Apex Mission Impossible (+1.5)CCG Esports won
- LoL: Apex Mission Impossible vs CCG Esports - Game 1 WinnerCCG Esports won
- LoL: Apex Mission Impossible vs CCG Esports - Game 2 WinnerCCG Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.