Lol · resolved market
LoL: Apex Mission Impossible vs CCG Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x190e2dda359c15198ff80414702bde21155f3a1c161c4a82b658473cfb5df078
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CCG Esportsof Apex Mission Impossible, CCG Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,255
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,255 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Apex Mission Impossible | 29c | 7,955$2,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,302.26 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked CCG Esports | 69c | 1,973$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.81 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed CCG Esports | 71c | 1,563$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.8 | 190 | 42.1%80 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed CCG Esports | 63c | 1,350$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.67 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked CCG Esports | 71c | 1,293$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.07 | 247 | 41.3%102 W · 145 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked CCG Esports | 69c | 1,262$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.73 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1234…c1bbbacked CCG Esports | 70c | 1,243$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.58 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked CCG Esports | 75c | 1,092$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.72 | 599 | 52.8%316 W · 283 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed CCG Esports | 71c | 1,089$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.73 | 376 | 41.8%157 W · 219 L | -18.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb196…a056backed Apex Mission Impossible | 36c | 1,083$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.61 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Apex Mission Impossible | 36c | 1,063$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.08 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed CCG Esports | 65c | 910.8$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.85 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Apex Mission Impossible | 36c | 895.19$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.66 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Apex Mission Impossible | 34c | 845.52$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.57 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed CCG Esports | 63c | 620.9$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.73 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc98…5308backed CCG Esports | 63c | 562.8$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.43 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Apex Mission Impossible | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked CCG Esports | 71c | 484.38$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.47 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Apex Mission Impossible | 25c | 399.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 291 | 43.3%126 W · 165 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked CCG Esports | 67c | 395.01$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.35 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed CCG Esports | 63c | 350.99$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked CCG Esports | 75c | 300.25$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.06 | 137 | 61.3%84 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb616…b9a1backed Apex Mission Impossible | 38c | 251.41$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.3 | 276 | 38.4%106 W · 170 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed CCG Esports | 55c | 250$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed CCG Esports | 63c | 201.77$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.65 | 147 | 61.9%91 W · 56 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…c613backed CCG Esports | 69c | 199.99$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Apex Mission Impossible | 14c | 188.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Apex Mission Impossible | 37c | 186.2$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 101 | 65.3%66 W · 35 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7489…7c83backed CCG Esports | 62c | 158.97$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.98 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…8f73backed CCG Esports | 64c | 153.64$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed CCG Esports | 71c | 142.48$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.32 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8a…76a2backed CCG Esports | 71c | 138.39$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked CCG Esports | 71c | 137.5$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.49 | 563 | 41%231 W · 332 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed CCG Esports | 71c | 137.01$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.73 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked CCG Esports | 62c | 129.01$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.63 | 407 | 41.5%169 W · 238 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed CCG Esports | 64c | 102.46$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed CCG Esports | 64c | 94.42$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 862 | 51.3%442 W · 420 L | +51.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Apex Mission Impossible | 37c | 84.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 647 | 49.9%323 W · 324 L | -24.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed CCG Esports | 67c | 79.58$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Apex Mission Impossible | 35c | 78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked CCG Esports | 65c | 76.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Apex Mission Impossible | 39c | 75.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c8…86b4backed Apex Mission Impossible | 37c | 73.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed CCG Esports | 62c | 68.02$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 197 | 52.8%104 W · 93 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed CCG Esports | 70c | 64.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked CCG Esports | 69c | 63.35$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Apex Mission Impossible | 20c | 63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…c9cbbacked Apex Mission Impossible | 35c | 62.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Apex Mission Impossible | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Apex Mission Impossible | 36c | 59.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 415 | 44.6%185 W · 230 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked CCG Esports | 53c | 57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | -33.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed CCG Esports | 55c | 53.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 432 | 33.8%146 W · 286 L | -20.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed CCG Esports | 73c | 53.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Apex Mission Impossible | 39c | 48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed CCG Esports | 57c | 47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 421 | 24.7%104 W · 317 L | -51.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -47%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9b70…1efebacked CCG Esports | 54c | 46.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Apex Mission Impossible | 36c | 41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 316 | 50.3%159 W · 157 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Apex Mission Impossible | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba6c…20e3backed CCG Esports | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -59%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked CCG Esports | 70c | 39.28$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed CCG Esports | 68c | 32.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 219 | 53%116 W · 103 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed CCG Esports | 71c | 30.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee05…d6ccbacked CCG Esports | 66c | 20.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed CCG Esports | 70c | 20.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 160 | 43.1%69 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed CCG Esports | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | -9.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed CCG Esports | 62c | 19.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 236 | 74.6%176 W · 60 L | +17.9wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…836dbacked CCG Esports | 68c | 18.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…66d1backed CCG Esports | 74c | 14.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 164 | 62.8%103 W · 61 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Apex Mission Impossible vs CCG Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: CCG (-1.5) vs Apex Mission Impossible (+1.5)CCG Esports won
- LoL: Apex Mission Impossible vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular SeasonCCG Esports won
- LoL: Apex Mission Impossible vs CCG Esports - Game 2 WinnerCCG Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.