Lol · resolved market
LoL: WLGaming Esports vs HOWL Esports (BO2) - HLL Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43d249bf22dcc433fd6bdd9fdb103cf5557b9b18466bc5d0017edfec6163694e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- WLGaming Esportsof WLGaming Esports, HOWL Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,379
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,379 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa199…c100backed HOWL Esports | 32c | 2,055$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9084…81fcbacked HOWL Esports | 32c | 1,565$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbea0…e4a0backed WLGaming Esports | 68c | 1,110$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcd…7225backed HOWL Esports | 32c | 1,110$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…8fcabacked WLGaming Esports | 68c | 1,100$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e3…4225backed HOWL Esports | 32c | 1,100$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…d181backed WLGaming Esports | 68c | 788$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…fdeebacked WLGaming Esports | 68c | 777$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x488a…0fcebacked WLGaming Esports | 68c | 690$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4ebfbacked WLGaming Esports | 68c | 685$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3953…8864backed WLGaming Esports | 68c | 680$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed HOWL Esports | 32c | 599.99$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…a506backed WLGaming Esports | 70c | 314.33$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.8 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0d…7606backed WLGaming Esports | 72c | 280.81$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.81 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked HOWL Esports | 31c | 208.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.07 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2489…60f1backed HOWL Esports | 18c | 208.24$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.76 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f0…7462backed WLGaming Esports | 71c | 197.33$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed HOWL Esports | 29c | 180.88$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.46 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked WLGaming Esports | 70c | 151.76$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.06 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked WLGaming Esports | 68c | 146.1$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.75 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…1a20backed WLGaming Esports | 70c | 107$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked HOWL Esports | 28c | 96.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b45…d5f4backed WLGaming Esports | 71c | 82.28$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d8…b398backed WLGaming Esports | 68c | 80.88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed WLGaming Esports | 68c | 79.29$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked WLGaming Esports | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed HOWL Esports | 33c | 60.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…bfe6backed WLGaming Esports | 68c | 58.09$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed HOWL Esports | 36c | 55.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed HOWL Esports | 33c | 53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed HOWL Esports | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked HOWL Esports | 37c | 49.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 474 | 44.1%209 W · 265 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…4cc0backed HOWL Esports | 29c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked WLGaming Esports | 58c | 43.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed WLGaming Esports | 75c | 38.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked WLGaming Esports | 68c | 37.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2c…83afbacked HOWL Esports | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 420 | 2.6%11 W · 409 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked WLGaming Esports | 79c | 25.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 109 | 67%73 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bc…4c8cbacked WLGaming Esports | 67c | 24.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.