Lol · resolved market
LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO1) - Comedy Central Winter Snowdown Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8f59befbe97cff18b220ad528eeaa91f29fe983fdaef727c4f644dc829fe52f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eintracht Frankfurtof Eintracht Frankfurt, ROSSMANN Centaurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,314
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,186
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,314 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 75c | 5,057$3,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,786.03 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 25c | 1,794$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.5 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 25c | 805.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.48 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…3906backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 25c | 748$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 25c | 545.75$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.75 | 291 | 43.3%126 W · 165 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…583abacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 39c | 270.82$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.2 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…5f48backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 61c | 270.82$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.2 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 60c | 207.2$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.32 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 25c | 173$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.75 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 25c | 161.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.08 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 66c | 159.61$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.6 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…898bbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 24c | 139.94$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.87 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…bfe6backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 25c | 119.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.49 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1099…2c19backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 25c | 108$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 37c | 101.52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.28 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 68c | 70.46$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…e84fbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 25c | 58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 24c | 49.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.98 | 474 | 44.1%209 W · 265 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…4cc0backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 40c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a84…e21abacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.