TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sharksof Heroic, Sharks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$675,518
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$778,424

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $675,518 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 707 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Heroic62c40,312$24,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,993.715,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x47a8…52f9backed Sharks38c40,000$15,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,799.9510142.6%43 W · 58 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe40e…9770backed Heroic62c30,000$18,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,549.9117951.4%92 W · 87 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Heroic38c18,316$6,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,895.573,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Heroic62c18,000$11,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,16050054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Heroic61c17,766$10,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,837.0641649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Heroic56c17,753$9,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,979.951,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Heroic73c13,172$9,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,676.3322468.8%154 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Sharks38c13,158$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,157.8923839.9%95 W · 143 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Heroic62c12,746$7,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,902.542440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf054…eae7backed Sharks30c12,638$3,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,802.326737.3%25 W · 42 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked Sharks37c12,257$4,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,671.7716245.1%73 W · 89 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Sharks38c11,837$4,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,338.8536152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0562…18a4backed Sharks52c11,038$5,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,275.9520448.5%99 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Sharks38c10,595$4,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,574.9167041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Heroic61c10,000$6,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,099.9576058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Sharks39c9,733$3,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,939.4423949%117 W · 122 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Sharks38c9,700$3,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,013.923848.3%115 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…543bbacked Heroic50c8,964$4,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,479.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked Heroic62c8,065$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00025751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed Sharks39c7,000$2,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2709551.6%49 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef62…cf76backed Sharks31c6,951$2,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,781.141040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Sharks38c6,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,72071645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Sharks39c5,981$2,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,633.435940.4%145 W · 214 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Sharks32c5,500$1,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,716.4578639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa927…8d9fbacked Heroic70c5,448$3,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,837.2734559.1%204 W · 141 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Heroic53c5,420$2,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,887.581,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Sharks39c5,258$2,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,222.1266851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Heroic50c4,838$2,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,426.188746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Heroic62c4,806$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00033359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Heroic62c4,305$2,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,655.7936453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffe9…a70ebacked Sharks38c4,131$1,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,561.044639.1%18 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Heroic53c3,996$2,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,112.132,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Sharks38c3,500$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,169.9511434.2%39 W · 75 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Sharks40c3,013$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,813.0435236.4%128 W · 224 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe111…685abacked Sharks38c3,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,86017540%70 W · 105 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a96…4e13backed Sharks38c3,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,859.9722358.7%131 W · 92 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Sharks38c3,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,859.9517045.9%78 W · 92 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Heroic51c2,951$1,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,508.676,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96f7…d6aebacked Sharks37c2,664$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,681.1522129.9%66 W · 155 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Sharks38c2,615$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,621.360248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe077…f5eebacked Sharks49c2,379$1,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.3820041.5%83 W · 117 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Heroic47c2,342$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.261,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Sharks70c2,300$1,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.3210361.2%63 W · 40 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Heroic57c2,249$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.7742154.6%230 W · 191 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Sharks35c2,100$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364.981,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Sharks39c2,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,22075450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed Sharks39c2,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.9518846.3%87 W · 101 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Heroic48c1,912$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.587047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Sharks37c1,898$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,197.9748350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Sharks38c1,842$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,142.0913732.1%44 W · 93 L-11.2wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Heroic62c1,787$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.77,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea1c…921bbacked Sharks39c1,737$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.5712143.8%53 W · 68 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Sharks43c1,720$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.861,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked Sharks39c1,700$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,03710136.6%37 W · 64 L-9.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed Sharks40c1,637$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.5455845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf33…0353backed Heroic57c1,577$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9059746.4%45 W · 52 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed Heroic70c1,566$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,098.5555043.1%237 W · 313 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45a7…1137backed Sharks34c1,548$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.881435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Sharks37c1,531$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.461,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Sharks56c1,525$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.7843544.6%194 W · 241 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Sharks54c1,511$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.616030%18 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed Sharks38c1,500$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9309551.6%49 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Sharks38c1,500$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.991,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Heroic44c1,427$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.772,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Heroic61c1,421$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.5745639.3%179 W · 277 L-29.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c5e…269bbacked Heroic62c1,413$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88042050%210 W · 210 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Heroic63c1,377$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.39044.4%40 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Heroic61c1,321$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.431,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Sharks38c1,320$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.446555.1%256 W · 209 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Sharks38c1,250$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77524935.7%89 W · 160 L-14.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Sharks39c1,238$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.3426045%117 W · 143 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc16…4b2fbacked Sharks52c1,211$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.1616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-67.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5c1…7487backed Heroic50c1,188$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59416732.9%55 W · 112 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaec0…9bdfbacked Sharks60c1,180$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.531369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+66.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed Heroic40c1,139$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.9728943.6%126 W · 163 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed Heroic63c1,120$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.8740558.8%238 W · 167 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee80…f34ebacked Sharks39c1,111$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.3435460.7%215 W · 139 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Heroic36c1,081$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.632,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Heroic44c1,081$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.192,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf56c…fcbdbacked Heroic62c1,075$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.3635449.7%176 W · 178 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Heroic53c1,054$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.762,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b9c…a518backed Sharks38c1,019$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.7516544.8%74 W · 91 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed Heroic73c1,002$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.517737.3%66 W · 111 L-16.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Heroic56c1,000$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.462,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Heroic65c1,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65023354.9%128 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked Sharks50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50017148%82 W · 89 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x880f…8a04backed Heroic42c1,000$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.954450%22 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf070…0f8fbacked Sharks26c1,000$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x941f…bac9backed Sharks30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7006020%12 W · 48 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Heroic61c999.99$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61055843.5%243 W · 315 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cc0…6139backed Heroic54c999.99$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.991866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+30.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Sharks37c999.99$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.9928738%109 W · 178 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed Sharks37c999.9$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.9425145.8%115 W · 136 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dfd…b845backed Heroic62c998.99$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.1111061.8%68 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Sharks32c972.98$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.4150846.3%235 W · 273 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4620…ea85backed Sharks27c969.21$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.213748.6%18 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+30.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Sharks36c943$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.5232732.4%106 W · 221 L-0.5wins0.00per pick33cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Sharks39c943$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.235567.3%37 W · 18 L+7.0wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+25.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed Heroic69c942.03$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65034146.6%159 W · 182 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.