NHL · resolved market
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10c7bacc332bffe75dda7eae4499339b9362f418739f1844a03033aeceb60a8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,133
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,133 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 52c | 5,632$2,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,683.2 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Over | 48c | 4,563$2,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,189.96 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Under | 54c | 2,659$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.2 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 55c | 2,272$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.4 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Over | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 45c | 1,811$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.93 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 1,644$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.32 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 53c | 1,113$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.34 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8621…7da8backed Over | 48c | 1,048$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Over | 45c | 890$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.5 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd2…48e6backed Over | 47c | 837.9$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 57c | 762.63$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.93 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 52c | 721.3$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.23 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1967backed Over | 48c | 670$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f40…92b2backed Under | 52c | 670$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Over | 43c | 579.52$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.19 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Under | 53c | 242$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.74 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…bfe6backed Under | 56c | 116.25$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 53c | 104$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e2…9710backed Over | 48c | 62.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5this page
- Hurricanes vs. Golden KnightsGolden Knights won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.