NHL · resolved market
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8129ade215274f65fe873a1a3dbd56cbb55f05d9261e4303bfb6bea01e383d53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,740
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8621…7da8backed Over | 59c | 16,824$9,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,926.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 41c | 15,370$6,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,068.04 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 58c | 7,491$4,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,366.19 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 41c | 2,564$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.35 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 41c | 2,123$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.98 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Under | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Under | 43c | 1,719$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.56 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 41c | 1,400$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Over | 58c | 1,294$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.08 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Over | 58c | 1,290$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.15 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…1ed3backed Under | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7425…c079backed Under | 41c | 700$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea11…551abacked Over | 59c | 700$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.26per pick | 47cpaid | -59%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Under | 43c | 603.19$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.82 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Over | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 312 | 57.4%179 W · 133 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e2…4d16backed Over | 20c | 184$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed Under | 45c | 145$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Over | 55c | 89.79$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.38 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b46…4f6ebacked Over | 58c | 63.28$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Under | 73c | 22.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5this page
- Hurricanes vs. Golden KnightsGolden Knights won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.