AI · resolved market

Will Luigi Mangione rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca31b51fe2fd43bcc564620ebac06eb55f830ac32ae39dcc58ed6ee172eec960

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 4, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: AIevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $143,447
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $147,510

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,447 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in AI
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc851…cd2abacked Yes	19c	30,406$5,633 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,633.1	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	+3.7wins	+0.13per pick	40cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5188…c804backed Yes	20c	17,118$3,339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,338.58	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	+4.5wins	+0.08per pick	35cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Yes	22c	13,519$2,952 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,951.57	41	34.1%14 W · 27 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17ce…beecbacked Yes	19c	12,897$2,458 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,458.41	63	28.6%18 W · 45 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x805a…0635backed No	77c	10,000$7,734 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,266.38	61	50.8%31 W · 30 L	+16.6wins	+0.27per pick	24cpaid	+158.1%equal weight	71+0.19 edge/pick
0xbfb3…4b43backed Yes	17c	8,600$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+3.3wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	6,166$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.78	1,363	6.8%93 W · 1,270 L	-20.2wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-59.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc60…af79backed No	78c	5,944$4,626 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,317.9	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+1.5wins	+0.09per pick	38cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes	12c	3,782$459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$458.9	190	11.6%22 W · 168 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes	16c	3,759$595 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$594.81	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	27cpaid	-57.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e7…fc5bbacked No	79c	3,407$2,692 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$715.48	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06dc…af59backed No	76c	3,200$2,430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$770.5	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc021…1fa8backed Yes	17c	2,756$471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$471	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa47a…1db6backed No	77c	2,267$1,745 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$522.13	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.23per pick	77cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8593…7314backed No	78c	2,133$1,664 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$469.24	4	75%3 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	77cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfeee…a4a9backed Yes	24c	2,042$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480.08	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe72…cb10backed No	77c	2,000$1,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$450	48	43.8%21 W · 27 L	+5.7wins	+0.12per pick	32cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe419…5839backed No	78c	1,913$1,490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$422.29	71	39.4%28 W · 43 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed Yes	23c	1,700$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391	126	36.5%46 W · 80 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+20%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe05f…b3e8backed No	78c	1,695$1,320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$375.1	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.21per pick	46cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x225b…422abacked No	80c	1,479$1,183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$296.19	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-2.0wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-60.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8cf4…5608backed No	74c	1,465$1,081 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$383.43	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf4a9…b5b4backed No	75c	1,340$1,005 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$335	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.25per pick	75cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes	21c	1,200$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.43	89	23.6%21 W · 68 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb51b…b4d9backed No	78c	1,173$920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$253.22	71	46.5%33 W · 38 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes	21c	1,147$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.09	48	50%24 W · 24 L	+3.4wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x882e…e757backed No	74c	1,019$759 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes	22c	1,000$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	68	39.7%27 W · 41 L	+4.4wins	+0.06per pick	33cpaid	-6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd986…1320backed Yes	25c	1,000$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.13per pick	23cpaid	-85.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66d4…ae10backed No	75c	1,000$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9b6…9b6abacked Yes	17c	999.99$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No	79c	974$771 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.46	45	22.2%10 W · 35 L	-4.4wins	-0.10per pick	32cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6828…1056backed Yes	19c	900$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174	118	50%59 W · 59 L	+12.9wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes	22c	835$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.7	34	32.4%11 W · 23 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad52…11acbacked Yes	21c	811.12$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.44	71	32.4%23 W · 48 L	+4.3wins	+0.06per pick	26cpaid	+49.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbd0…edc4backed Yes	21c	750$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.5	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb01…02e5backed Yes	22c	557.06$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.98	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-40%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaef…a883backed No	77c	505$389 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.15	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6cb…bbf0backed No	79c	501.99$397 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.42	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0562…9d66backed No	80c	500$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	75	40%30 W · 45 L	+5.6wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8a6…644bbacked No	80c	500$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	96	32.3%31 W · 65 L	+4.5wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8219…f1fabacked No	80c	498$397 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.08	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.15per pick	45cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4919…067ebacked Yes	21c	476.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-2.2wins	-0.31per pick	60cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x068f…4594backed Yes	22c	457.45$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32da…63d9backed No	77c	400$308 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.11per pick	48cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41a8…9270backed No	79c	379.75$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.75	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc550…272dbacked No	80c	350$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Yes	23c	347.68$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.79	61	36.1%22 W · 39 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93b7…7d51backed No	75c	300$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0678…9fd0backed Yes	23c	250.25$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.04	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.15per pick	33cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7458…fecfbacked No	80c	250$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-5.1wins	-0.28per pick	45cpaid	-77.7%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xc1cf…9656backed No	78c	250$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-2.2wins	-0.18per pick	68cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5567…aeedbacked Yes	23c	219.48$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.48	80	41.3%33 W · 47 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3069…f8efbacked No	79c	216.09$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.09	41	61%25 W · 16 L	+4.0wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes	22c	200$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	183	11.5%21 W · 162 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec06…9178backed Yes	23c	200$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	+4.3wins	+0.12per pick	30cpaid	+160.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe5ac…cb52backed Yes	26c	192.49$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-47.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22db…190fbacked Yes	22c	177$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.42	66	59.1%39 W · 27 L	+5.3wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x80f8…7448backed No	78c	176$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.4	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdafe…c673backed Yes	27c	172.24$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.07	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	31cpaid	+90.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf416…6ec9backed Yes	26c	160.68$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.87	98	50%49 W · 49 L	+4.8wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefab…b927backed Yes	22c	150$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+1.3wins	+0.10per pick	28cpaid	+38.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfacd…9109backed No	77c	147.62$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.95	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-27%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes	21c	145.25$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.11	70	24.3%17 W · 53 L	-6.9wins	-0.10per pick	34cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf2e2…06fbbacked No	77c	129.87$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.87	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.30per pick	70cpaid	+43.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90f7…2501backed No	80c	125$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.25	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+2.2wins	+0.08per pick	38cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Yes	11c	120$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.05	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	18c	120$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.6	479	38%182 W · 297 L	-11.3wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x777e…d384backed Yes	23c	100.57$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.11	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x20f5…9495backed No	77c	100$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	+34.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes	22c	100$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.06	893	17.1%153 W · 740 L	-144.9wins	-0.16per pick	33cpaid	-61.3%equal weight	32-0.16 edge/pick
0xf47b…e837backed No	80c	100$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	65cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2c4…5822backed No	76c	100$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.31per pick	70cpaid	+45.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x91d8…fbc5backed Yes	21c	95.24$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa905…fcf1backed No	75c	80$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	67cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked Yes	27c	74.07$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	73	38.4%28 W · 45 L	-4.5wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked No	71c	70$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.14per pick	36cpaid	-65.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507c…4166backed No	75c	66$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.5	38	50%19 W · 19 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51ec…05fdbacked No	68c	66$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.12	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d54…8d9abacked No	78c	65.38$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.38	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec0e…1e4ebacked No	77c	65$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.95	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a50…1123backed No	77c	64.94$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.94	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.30per pick	70cpaid	+43.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa78d…0029backed No	77c	60$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.8	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	71cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked No	74c	59$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.34	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4145…ddd9backed No	77c	54.48$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.53	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.19per pick	56cpaid	+33.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x881f…dfe9backed Yes	25c	52.56$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.14	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8639…fb86backed Yes	23c	50$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	22	4.5%1 W · 21 L	-3.1wins	-0.14per pick	19cpaid	-92.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc70d…ce93backed No	80c	50$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c9b…3796backed No	77c	45$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.35	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+41.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23e9…109fbacked Yes	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca1d…0a71backed Yes	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.16per pick	45cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6555…dd7ebacked No	76c	35.82$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.6	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.20per pick	45cpaid	-65%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a8c…3319backed No	78c	32.14$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.14	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	67cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…c288backed No	77c	25.97$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.97	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	69cpaid	+4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8803…8ddfbacked No	80c	25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.9wins	+0.14per pick	47cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf6c…eb44backed No	75c	25$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.25	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed No	78c	25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.5	205	44.4%91 W · 114 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f1d…db1cbacked No	75c	16.13$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.03	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.43per pick	57cpaid	+93.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Luigi Mangione rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event