TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

AI · resolved market

Will Taylor Swift rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$442,189
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$409,779

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $442,189 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in AI
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xef83…96ecbacked Yes20c59,500$11,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,966.1540%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes14c50,855$7,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,105.292615.4%4 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-70.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2a3…c3a6backed No78c36,398$28,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,165.37771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71ed…d338backed Yes18c21,197$3,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,781.4640%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Yes17c13,338$2,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,267.511315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.26per pick41cpaid-77%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa4fd…6cc0backed Yes18c11,478$2,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,014.55540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-30.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes9c10,092$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.4319011.6%22 W · 168 L-0.4wins0.00per pick12cpaid-58.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bab…1292backed No80c10,000$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0002763%17 W · 10 L+6.3wins+0.23per pick40cpaid+111.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5188…c804backed No79c8,902$7,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,853.545843.1%25 W · 33 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1de…ffd8backed Yes15c8,660$1,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,295.79911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-74.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf732…d078backed Yes23c7,431$1,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,730.51618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-70.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf759…0221backed Yes28c7,211$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b30…29a4backed Yes27c5,634$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-36.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f9b…0029backed Yes40c5,018$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick29cpaid-80.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x87c7…e71dbacked Yes18c5,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9001330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-45.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5cf…9fc6backed Yes11c4,827$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.852626.9%7 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9010…32a0backed Yes15c3,991$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.01128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick27cpaid-86.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a86…dea8backed Yes16c3,912$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.198122.2%18 W · 63 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-54.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e7a…0f0ebacked Yes17c3,834$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.81910.5%2 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick20cpaid-74.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x06ac…1af2backed Yes15c3,767$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56460%0 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c3,740$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.451,3636.8%93 W · 1,270 L-20.2wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-59.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes15c3,416$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.674522.2%10 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes14c3,097$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.893836.8%14 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes12c3,074$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.568923.6%21 W · 68 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x882f…322dbacked Yes25c3,009$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.1740%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8203…0187backed Yes15c2,960$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.12922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-56.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb99…4daebacked Yes18c2,529$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.1630%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x376d…9b48backed Yes12c2,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7314…346ebacked Yes13c2,395$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30340%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes15c2,292$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.196716.4%11 W · 56 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-51.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51fd…d135backed Yes25c2,223$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.35333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed Yes11c2,212$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.975320.8%11 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-33.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x009f…d7f1backed Yes10c2,042$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9690…f2d5backed No80c2,024$1,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.896439.1%25 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-0.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed No79c2,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.991435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x102d…4a57backed Yes26c1,910$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-64.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x711e…a000backed Yes9c1,899$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ddf…0177backed Yes16c1,875$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-77.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2106…4deabacked Yes13c1,619$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.531030%3 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-24.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c2…1398backed Yes13c1,538$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick17cpaid-83%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe020…3455backed Yes16c1,530$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-53.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe52…32c5backed Yes14c1,400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.013342.4%14 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick35cpaid-10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa319…bfc1backed Yes18c1,389$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01e7…89b4backed Yes23c1,324$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.264729.8%14 W · 33 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c29…d822backed Yes16c1,300$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2091618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-61.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cfe…e6dcbacked Yes16c1,258$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6561…c074backed Yes21c1,250$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.5837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-26.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07d4…8991backed Yes15c1,220$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.976291.3%8 W · 621 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-88.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60fe…edd6backed Yes15c1,200$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-74.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe541…52d6backed Yes17c1,194$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd347…5205backed Yes17c1,187$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.192528%7 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75aa…9f2abacked Yes14c1,180$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.8742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d26…a7d1backed Yes15c1,158$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.123831.6%12 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-31.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0bd0…05e9backed Yes16c1,131$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0061…548ebacked Yes15c1,130$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.540%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes17c1,121$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.682313%3 W · 20 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick29cpaid-77.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5215…3164backed Yes10c1,096$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.311464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes5c1,070$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8918311.5%21 W · 162 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-31.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ef5…9e19backed Yes19c1,064$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.1616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-74.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e56…f9aebacked No73c1,019$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.52450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7af…facfbacked Yes24c1,002$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-63.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Yes16c1,000$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.28714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick36cpaid-76.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601643.8%7 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick31cpaid-5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc2ca…e881backed Yes27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbd8…e8e9backed Yes18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-75.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe72…cb10backed No75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2504843.8%21 W · 27 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+24.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5fa7…bb1cbacked Yes7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7060%0 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79da…e355backed Yes20c999.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2853…3482backed No77c963.82$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.692454.2%13 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+59.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc51d…3ca1backed Yes16c879.62$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.241435.7%5 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-33.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b16…a379backed Yes16c856.15$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13550%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes19c803.75$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.693438.2%13 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-32.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2148…639ebacked Yes8c802.4$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.89119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick28cpaid-58.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ef8…eff3backed Yes18c799.99$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-40.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d5a…78e9backed Yes16c784.1$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251612.5%2 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.21per pick34cpaid-69%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e9f…de68backed No76c724.24$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.581323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-63.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04dc…2387backed Yes17c716$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9312839.8%51 W · 77 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes8c703.17$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.66712.8%2 W · 69 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-66.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa827…1d36backed Yes14c627.43$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33df…230ebacked Yes16c623.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-76.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xffad…83bbbacked Yes16c621.34$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-49.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62cf…5826backed No73c618$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.56785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick67cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2a4…a6e0backed Yes17c590$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.330%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x899c…ed9abacked Yes26c573.84$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.321010%1 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick31cpaid-80.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x63a1…1d4abacked Yes18c558.52$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8729…e1a9backed Yes18c558.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x473d…e179backed Yes15c537.01$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8050%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed No62c501.82$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.836841.2%28 W · 40 L+8.4wins+0.12per pick29cpaid+54.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x46ee…eb1ebacked Yes14c500$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick24cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd895…3d8fbacked Yes14c500$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick30cpaid-24.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No79c491.47$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.0847938%182 W · 297 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ad7…e72bbacked Yes10c480.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50110%0 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked No78c471.46$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.564619.6%9 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-64.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f19…3aedbacked Yes22c462.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad52…11acbacked No76c458.57$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.937132.4%23 W · 48 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+49.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01cd…c56cbacked Yes14c450.42$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.921010%1 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick23cpaid-67.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd02d…108ebacked Yes15c441.52$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.87944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick26cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x087a…48c4backed Yes23c427$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick36cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes18c424$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.347611.8%9 W · 67 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-72.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7a6…f9f5backed Yes15c417.82$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.