AI · resolved market

Will Andy Byron rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08a0dbfca8e6f2c5863324054f58d757382c51ccf014dd7346bd4004a6d5a7bd

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 4, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: AIevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $128,533
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $131,741

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,533 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in AI
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xae98…35b9backed Yes	19c	17,000$3,230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,230	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17ce…beecbacked Yes	19c	10,655$2,024 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,024.08	63	28.6%18 W · 45 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bab…1292backed Yes	15c	6,128$903 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$903.25	27	63%17 W · 10 L	+6.3wins	+0.23per pick	40cpaid	+111.3%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x477f…19aabacked Yes	12c	4,798$594 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$593.72	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+2.6wins	+0.11per pick	45cpaid	+30.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bfe…ab8dbacked Yes	20c	3,300$646 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$646	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes	9c	2,670$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.32	190	11.6%22 W · 168 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd7b0…bd69backed Yes	23c	2,592$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-2.0wins	-0.17per pick	33cpaid	-76.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfb3…4b43backed No	79c	2,424$1,906 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$518.12	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+3.3wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xad52…11acbacked Yes	15c	2,383$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$354.83	71	32.4%23 W · 48 L	+4.3wins	+0.06per pick	26cpaid	+49.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d26…a7d1backed Yes	12c	2,152$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.55	38	31.6%12 W · 26 L	-3.9wins	-0.10per pick	42cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0562…9d66backed Yes	20c	1,748$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.62	75	40%30 W · 45 L	+5.6wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8476…5418backed No	80c	1,530$1,224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$305.96	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cad…d35cbacked Yes	13c	1,510$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed No	79c	1,508$1,196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$311.59	41	34.1%14 W · 27 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2853…3482backed Yes	10c	1,500$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+3.8wins	+0.16per pick	38cpaid	+59.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfeee…a4a9backed Yes	17c	1,364$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.81	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74e4…c23fbacked Yes	11c	1,216$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.81	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.12per pick	39cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06dc…af59backed No	79c	1,091$861 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked Yes	21c	1,073$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.3	90	41.1%37 W · 53 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes	16c	1,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	89	23.6%21 W · 68 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cf4…5608backed Yes	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xaa6d…bf08backed Yes	14c	960$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.66	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes	14c	816.9$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.88	48	35.4%17 W · 31 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9690…f2d5backed Yes	12c	726.31$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.29	64	39.1%25 W · 39 L	+4.4wins	+0.07per pick	32cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x002d…2561backed Yes	14c	685.15$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.98	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	+3.2wins	+0.08per pick	34cpaid	+114.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1f9…1245backed Yes	16c	618.6$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.98	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Yes	15c	609.94$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.19	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-3.4wins	-0.26per pick	41cpaid	-77%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	19c	569.83$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	45	22.2%10 W · 35 L	-4.4wins	-0.10per pick	32cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x82bb…3105backed Yes	18c	555.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.16per pick	36cpaid	-69.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes	15c	519$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.84	183	11.5%21 W · 162 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	16c	500$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	574	26.8%154 W · 420 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x227f…41e3backed No	80c	488.27$391 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.65	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.8wins	-0.22per pick	35cpaid	-84.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8593…7314backed No	78c	483.64$377 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.4	4	75%3 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	77cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No	75c	435.6$327 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.9	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e4…5bbcbacked Yes	23c	433.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	28	14.3%4 W · 24 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb0f…2052backed Yes	22c	429$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.38	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.32per pick	52cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked Yes	13c	423.79$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.92	73	38.4%28 W · 45 L	-4.5wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x705d…f3a9backed Yes	19c	419.99$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.1	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-70.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	9c	396.85$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.75	1,363	6.8%93 W · 1,270 L	-20.2wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-59.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed Yes	18c	357.43$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.34	72	22.2%16 W · 56 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-26%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Yes	13c	346.93$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.84	61	36.1%22 W · 39 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdafe…c673backed Yes	22c	323.39$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.7	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	31cpaid	+90.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4b9…d5eabacked Yes	14c	309.84$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.05	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a01…56fdbacked No	80c	302.73$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.55	5	60%3 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…783dbacked Yes	17c	299.98$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	126	36.5%46 W · 80 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes	9c	295.76$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.51	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	27cpaid	-57.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c59…1766backed Yes	11c	292.12$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.13	64	53.1%34 W · 30 L	+12.9wins	+0.20per pick	33cpaid	+95.4%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0x5567…aeedbacked Yes	20c	280.99$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.42	80	41.3%33 W · 47 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dab…9b5fbacked Yes	12c	250$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a3b…3035backed No	80c	250$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32da…63d9backed No	79c	250$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.5	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.11per pick	48cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0238…c051backed Yes	20c	250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.17per pick	31cpaid	-62.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf86c…ba99backed Yes	17c	240$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.8	47	51.1%24 W · 23 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x756d…75e6backed Yes	25c	237.6$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.4	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8803…8ddfbacked Yes	10c	206.45$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.65	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.9wins	+0.14per pick	47cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9360…03e6backed Yes	22c	200$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-50.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes	20c	200$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	22c	199.98$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	20	5%1 W · 19 L	-3.2wins	-0.16per pick	21cpaid	-76%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc42f…78a0backed Yes	12c	188.48$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.5	76	36.8%28 W · 48 L	+4.9wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d5a…78e9backed Yes	14c	182.14$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-3.4wins	-0.21per pick	34cpaid	-69%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes	11c	176.45$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.84	126	39.7%50 W · 76 L	-4.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x881f…dfe9backed Yes	22c	158.87$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.54	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	15c	147.91$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.59	479	38%182 W · 297 L	-11.3wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes	20c	141.35$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.68	70	24.3%17 W · 53 L	-6.9wins	-0.10per pick	34cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9119…d179backed Yes	25c	118.8$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.7	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x189f…11cdbacked Yes	12c	107.73$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-76.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed No	80c	100$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5415…2a6ebacked Yes	21c	100$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe419…5839backed Yes	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	71	39.4%28 W · 43 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xac39…fc45backed Yes	12c	99.98$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8351…5861backed No	80c	90$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.2	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8956…755fbacked No	79c	89.77$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.85	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.24per pick	49cpaid	-68.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29a7…6dd3backed Yes	25c	79.2$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x661a…4d34backed No	80c	74.69$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.19	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5ed…0820backed Yes	18c	72.86$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.9	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-44%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad76…daa4backed Yes	18c	68.79$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.52	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-54.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc60…af79backed No	79c	63.29$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.29	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+1.5wins	+0.09per pick	38cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6074…f9f7backed No	80c	62.5$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.5	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.28per pick	47cpaid	+34%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead3…510dbacked Yes	19c	61.58$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd668…a01cbacked Yes	19c	60$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9099…8491backed Yes	22c	59.56$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.94	78	52.6%41 W · 37 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb65e…3e11backed No	78c	50$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff7c…b233backed Yes	23c	50$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.45	39	23.1%9 W · 30 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-59.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb098…1038backed Yes	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	+249.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed No	77c	40$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.2	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+2.1wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8dc7…116fbacked No	80c	30$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfae2…9c8cbacked No	79c	24.56$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.16	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.41per pick	59cpaid	+91.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Andy Byron rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event